Flash Flood Warning 102, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
807 PM CST WED DEC 12 2001

UPDATED A BIT AGO TO REMOVE SVR STORM WATCH AND SHOW PRECIPITATION
AS REDEVELOPING. ALSO RAISED OVERNIGHT MINS A BIT BASED ON CURRENT
TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS. ALL ELSE STILL LOOKS GOOD.

.PRELIMS...
JAN 62/65/44/56 8++3
MEI 60/67/48/60 4++6

.JAN...
MS...FFA ALONG/W OF A GRENADA-YAZOO CITY-VICKSBURG-BUDE LINE
     TONIGHT/THURS MORNING...FFA SE OF THAT LINE THURSDAY/THURS
     NIGHT.
LA...FFA ALL NE ZONES TONIGHT/THURS MORNING.
AR...FFA ALL EXTREME SE ZONES TONIGHT/THURS MORNING.

08

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
131200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
428 PM CST WED DEC 12 2001

...THUNDERSTORMS...
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT WEST OF A LINE FROM GORE
SPRINGS...TO PICKENS...TO PRENTISS...TO JAYESS. THE PRIMARY
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL TO
ONE INCH IN DIAMETER. THROUGH 8 PM TODAY... ATMOSPHERIC
CONDITIONS WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES TO
DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM BASTROP LOUISIANA...TO
YAZOO CITY...TO BRANDON AND THE JACKSON METROPOLITAN AREA.

A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS EVENING. THE COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY...WHERE THE COLD AIR WILL COLLIDE
WITH WARM...MOIST...AND UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. AT
THE SAME TIME...INTENSIFYING WINDS AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS
OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND
WESTERN MISSISSIPPI WILL FOSTER THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG STORMS
TONIGHT.

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL WILL BE NECESSARY THIS EVENING. PLEASE
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION.

...FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR AREAS
GENERALLY WEST OF A GRENADA TO YAZOO CITY TO VICKSBURG TO BUDE
LINE. MANY RIVERS AND CREEKS WILL REMAIN NEAR BANK-FULL AND MINOR
FLOODING HAS OCCURRED AT SOME LOCATIONS. THE THREAT FOR
ADDITIONAL FLOODING WILL BE ENHANCED AS MORE RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND OCCUR REPEATEDLY OVER THE
SAME LOCATIONS THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

THE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE FORECAST TO SPREAD ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
WILL BE LIKELY WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS
OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE IN STRONGER STORMS.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PERSIST OVER MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST
MISSISSIPPI THROUGHOUT THE DAY THURSDAY AND INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.
MANY AREAS WILL RECEIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
TONIGHT. LATER THURSDAY MORNING...RAINFALL TOTALS WILL INCREASE.

IF YOU LIVE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS...KEEP ADVISED OF THE LATEST
WEATHER INFORMATION BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. BE READY
FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR WARNINGS ARE ISSUED
LATER TODAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

MSZ035-036-040>043-047>049-053>055-059>064-130200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
701 PM CST WED DEC 12 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT JACKSON HAS CANCELED ALL OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH 845.

THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER HAS TEMPORARILY DIMINISHED.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN LATER TONIGHT...WITH ISOLATED SEVERE
STORMS POSSIBLE.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
131200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
727 PM CST WED DEC 12 2001

...THUNDERSTORMS...
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT WEST OF A LINE FROM GORE
SPRINGS...TO PICKENS...TO PRENTISS...TO JAYESS. THE PRIMARY
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL TO
ONE INCH IN DIAMETER.

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS EVENING. THE COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY OVERNIGHT. THE INTERACTION OF THE
FRONT WITH UNSEASONABLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS THE REGION
WILL ALLOW THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW OF WHICH MAY
BECOME SEVERE.

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL MAY BE NECESSARY OVERNIGHT.

...FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR AREAS
GENERALLY WEST OF A GRENADA TO YAZOO CITY TO VICKSBURG TO BUDE
LINE. MANY RIVERS AND CREEKS WILL REMAIN NEAR BANK FULL AND MINOR
FLOODING HAS OCCURRED AT SOME LOCATIONS. THE THREAT FOR
ADDITIONAL FLOODING WILL BE ENHANCED AS MORE RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND OCCUR REPEATEDLY OVER THE
SAME LOCATIONS THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

THE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE FORECAST TO SPREAD ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
WILL BE LIKELY WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS
OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE IN STRONGER STORMS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL
AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI. WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OCCUR
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH THE THREAT OF FLOODING
INCREASING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS FOR
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

IF YOU LIVE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS...KEEP ADVISED OF THE LATEST
WEATHER INFORMATION BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO. BE READY
FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR WARNINGS ARE ISSUED
LATER TODAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.