Severe Thunderstorm Warning 124, NWS Wichita, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
254 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2001

MAIN CONCERN THIS PACKAGE CONTINUES TO BE PRECIP CHANCES. STORMS
HAVE FIRED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SC/SE KS...MORE ARE CURRENTLY
DEVELOPING IN NW KS. THESE STORMS SHOULD DRIFT SE INTO THE CWA LATER
TONIGHT IN THE UPPER LEVEL NW FLOW.  MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT WITH
THE SFC LOW DEVELOPING IN SE CO WILL DEEPEN AND SAG SOUTH OVERNIGHT
...HOWEVER THE SFC BOUNDARY IS CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM GLD TO NEAR
ICT AND WITH THE SHEARED OUT 500MB S/W EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS MON...WILL GO AHEAD AND BUMP POPS UP TO LIKELY
FOR TONIGHT.  BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTH WITH THE SFC LOW
BY MONDAY...WILL KEEP MENTION OF POPS FOR MONDAY MORNING MAINLY
SOUTHERN SECTIONS. WITH WEAK RIDGE ALOFT AND SEVERAL SHORTWAVES
APPROACHING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN STREAM WILL KEEP POPS GOING FOR
MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY AS 850MB REBOUND BACK INTO THE DOUBLE
DIGITS.  AVN PUSHES A FRONT SOUTH INTO THE AREA LATE TUES NIGHT AND
INTO WEDNESDAY...SO WILL KEEP POPS GOING INTO THE EXTENDED.

NOONAN

FCSTID = 15
ICT   60  81  58  80 /  70  20  40  30
HUT   59  81  56  80 /  70  20  40  30
EWK   60  81  57  80 /  70  20  40  30
EQA   60  81  58  80 /  70  20  40  30
WLD   60  81  58  80 /  70  20  40  30
RSL   58  79  56  79 /  60  10  40  40
GBD   59  80  56  80 /  60  10  40  40
SLN   59  79  56  79 /  60  10  40  40
MPR   59  80  56  79 /  60  10  40  40
CFV   63  80  57  80 /  60  20  30  30
CNU   62  80  57  80 /  60  20  30  30
K88   62  80  57  80 /  60  20  30  30

.ICT...NONE.

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-280500-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1204 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2001

A HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES IN:

CENTRAL KANSAS...
         RUSSELL            LINCOLN              SALINE
         BARTON             ELLSWORTH            MCPHERSON
         RICE

SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
         RENO                KINGMAN             HARPER
         HARVEY              SEDGWICK            SUMNER
         BUTLER              COWLEY              MARION
         CHASE

SOUTHEAST KANSAS...
         GREENWOOD           ELK                 CHAUTAUQUA
         WILSON              WOODSON             MONTGOMERY
         ALLEN               NEOSHO              LABETTE

THE SYNOPSIS:
A WEAK WARM FRONT LIFTING ACROSS KANSAS WAS PROVIDE THE INITIAL
FOCUS FOR CONVECTION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  THIS BOUNDARY COMBINED
WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO THE WESTERN KANSAS MAY
ENHANCE THE CONVECTION.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON
OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.  THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD
SPREAD INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS LATER THIS EVENING.

THE MAIN AREA FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED OVER
WESTERN KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...SPREADING INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS BY LATER AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.  THE MAIN THREAT
WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
THIS EVENING.

/BAKER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA, KANSAS
104 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2001

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1240 PM    1 W AUGUSTA               KS   .75 INCH HAIL
05/27/01   BUTLER                         REPORTED BY EOC

1253 PM    AUGUSTA                   KS   1.00 INCH HAIL
05/27/01   BUTLER                         REPORTED BY AUGUSTA PD.

GN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA, KANSAS
138 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2001

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0127 PM    6N ATLANTA                KS   1.00 INCH HAIL
05/27/01   COWLEY                         REPORTED BY 911

GN