Severe Thunderstorm Warning 36, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
200 PM CDT SUN APR 15 2001

FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST N OF CWA JUST MIGHT HAVE ENOUGH PUSH TO MAKE
IT NEAR THE COAST BY LATE TONIGHT. ITS THEN EXPECTED TO WASH OUT
WITH E & SE WINDS REDEVELOPING MONDAY. BIG STORY OF THE WEEK (AND
MAYBE MONTH) IS THE NEXT FRONT. STILL SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES
BETWEEN THE MODELS - WITH ETA BEING THE FASTEST - BUT IT LOOKS TO BE
PASSING THRU LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND OFF THE COAST EARLY TUESDAY AS A
1039 HIGH DROPS INTO THE PLAINS. MODELS ALL SHOWING SOME PRECIP
DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT WITH MOST SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS IN
CENTRAL TX. CLOUDS SHOULD STICK AROUND MOST OF THE DAY TUESDAY
LIMITING MUCH HEATING. APPEARS WE MIGHT ACTUALLY SEE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPS FOR THIS TIME OF MONTH BUT DONT GET USED TO IT. ONSHORE
WINDS RESUME WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS TO
THE EAST.

EXTENDED: H5 RIDGE CENTERED OVER BAJA GRADUALLY FLATTENS ALLOWING NW
FLOW ALOFT TO BECOME ZONAL. OTHER THAN INCREASING HUMIDITIES AND A
GRADUAL WARM-UP...NO SIGNIFICANT WX-MAKERS SEEN ON THE HORIZON.

WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH TSTMS ALONG THE SABINE AND WILL MAKE A
DECISION ON 1ST PERIOD POPS NEAR PRESS TIME. TEMPS HEATING UP NICELY
& 88-D SHOWING SIGNS PRECIP IS STARTING TO BACKBUILD. LEANING TOWARD
MAV TEMPS.

47/34/DO

.HGX...NONE.

PRELIMS...
CLL BC 063/082 058/067 047 214
IAH BC 064/083 061/070 048 212
GLS BC 070/079 066/071 055 211