Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2001

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 53, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

August 9, 2001Coconino County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 9, 2001, 12:36 PM MST for Coconino County, Arizona. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
Aug 9, 2001, 12:36 PM MST (19:36 UTC)
Expired
Aug 9, 2001, 1:05 PM MST
In force
29 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Coconino County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 18 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2001-08-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2001-08-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 100 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1316 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
138 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

546 
WUUS55 KFGZ 091937
SVRFLG
AZC005-092000-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1236 PM MST THU AUG 9 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTH CENTRAL COCONINO COUNTY IN ARIZONA
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...FLAGSTAFF...KACHINA VILLAGE...
  MOUNTAINAIRE

* UNTIL 105 PM MST

* AT 1236 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER FLAGSTAFF. THE STORM WAS NEARLY           
  STATIONARY.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT OR PASS CLOSE TO...
  3 MILES NORTHEAST OF KACHINA VILLAGE...4 MILES NORTH OF
  MOUNTAINAIRE AT 100 PM MST

IF SEVERE WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER
AWAY FROM CREEK BEDS AND OTHER FLOOD-PRONE AREAS. REMEMBER...A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAN PRODUCE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 58 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.

VERY LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU ARE
IN THE PATH OF THE STORM...PUT YOUR CAR IN A GARAGE AND MOVE TO A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE.

LAT...LON 3524 11162 3517 11178 3497 11170 3508 11146

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 9, 9:00 AM MST, 3 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 9, 9:00 AM MST, 3 hours 36 minutes before
NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
900 AM MST THU AUG 09 2001

.SYNOPSIS...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NEW MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE A MOIST NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OVER ARIZONA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE
RESPONSIBLE FOR CLOUDY...WET AND COOL WEATHER OVER MUCH OF THE
STATE TODAY. THE LOW WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN ON FRIDAY ALLOWING FOR A
LITTLE DRIER AND WARMER WEATHER ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THERE WILL
BE ENOUGH MOISTURE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS.

.DISCUSSION...A MID TO UPPER TROUGH REMAINS OVER NEW MEXICO WITH AN
AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. AS A
RESULT...A MOIST NORTHEAST FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24-HOURS
WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ALMOST ANY HOUR OF THE DAY
(OF COURSE MOST NUMEROUS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS).
LOOKS LIKE STORMS WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS TODAY OVER THE EASTERN
MOGOLLON RIM...WHITE MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN LITTLE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY WHERE IT IS MOSTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING AND DEEP MOISTURE IS
LOCATED. ELSEWHERE...IT REMAINS UNSTABLE ENOUGH FOR SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP TODAY WHERE BREAKS IN
THE MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK FORM. FOR TONIGHT...WITH SUNNY SKIES OVER
UTAH THIS MORNING...EXPECT ANOTHER ORGANIZED AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS
TO MOVE INTO NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF ARIZONA DURING
THE EVENING HOURS. ON FRIDAY...MODELS ARE INSISTING THAT THE UPPER
RIDGE WILL SHIFT NORTHWARD WITH A DRIER NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW
DEVELOPING. THINK THE NET RESULT WILL BE A SLIGHT DOWNTURN IN
ACTIVITY AND A MORE DIURNAL NATURE TO THUNDERSTORMS. CURRENT
FORECAST HANDLES THIS WELL.

MCCOLLUM

.FGZ...NONE.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 9, 9:30 AM MST, 3 hours 6 minutes before
AZZ004>018-037>040-091930-
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
930 AM MST THU AUG 9 2001

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL...

A NEARLY STATIONARY UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE OVER NEW MEXICO
WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A MOIST NORTHEAST FLOW ACROSS NORTHERN
ARIZONA TODAY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.
THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE HEAVY RAIN...WITH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE...AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. FOR TODAY THE MOST INTENSE
STORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY...THE
WHITE MOUNTAINS AND THE MOGOLLON RIM. FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING STRONGER STORMS SHOULD MOVE INTO THE AREA OF THE KAIBAB
PLATEAU...PAGE...THE GRAND CANYON AND THE COCONINO PLATEAU.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 1:37 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai33 min
Aug 9, 2:45 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZYavapai2 hr
Aug 9, 3:44 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZYavapai2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2001Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2001

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.