Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2001

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 50, NWS Grand Forks, ND

June 13, 2001Ransom County, North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 13, 2001, 5:49 PM CDT for Ransom County, North Dakota. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
Jun 13, 2001, 5:49 PM CDT (22:49 UTC)
Expired
Jun 13, 2001, 6:15 PM CDT
In force
26 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Ransom County, ND

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 13, 5:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2001-06-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2001-06-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 82 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1179 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
82 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
211 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KFGF 132249
SVRFAR
NDC073-132315-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND-GRAND FORKS
549 PM CDT WED JUN 13 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL RANSOM COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 545 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES WEST OF LISBON...OR ABOUT 36 MILES
  SOUTH OF VALLEY CITY...MOVEMENT WAS TO THE NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  ANSELM AT 610 PM CDT...
  ENDERLIN AT 615 PM CDT...

REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA AND EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4642 9791 4634 9768 4663 9738 4u663 9773


$$



NNNN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 13, 2:20 PM CDT, 3 hours 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 13, 2:20 PM CDT, 3 hours 29 minutes before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
220 PM CDT WED JUN 13 2001

FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE CONVECTIVE THREAT THROUGHOUT

.OVERVIEW...
LATEST ANALYSIS SHOWS MAIN SFC LOW OVER SOUTHEAST SD...WITH INVERTED
TROUGH STRETCHING NORTH/NORTHEAST INTO EASTERN FA. DEWPOINTS ARE
AROUND 60 ALONG TROUGH...AND HIGHER TO SOUTH AND EAST. MORE STABLE
AND DRIER AIR AT THE SFC IS IN PLACE TO THE WEST OF INVERTED TROUGH
WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW AND MIDDLE 50S. MODELS ARE HAVING A TOUGH
TIME RESOLVING DETAILS WITH THIS COMPLEX UPPER LOW EJECTING OUT OF
ROCKIES. HAVE LEANED TOWARDS THE AVN SFC PLACEMENT OF SYSTEM...BUT
TRENDED TOWARDS ETA MOISTURE FIELDS.

.SHORT TERM...
WEAK NVA AND ASSOCIATED Q VECTOR DIVERGENCE WILL KEEP THE NORTHERN
2/3 OF THE FA MOSTLY DRY OVERNIGHT...WITH JUST SOME SCATTERED
SHOWERS. IN THE SOUTHERN 1/3 OF THE AREA...CLOSER TO THE INVERTED
TROUGH AND DEEPER MOISTURE...I EXPECT MORE IN THE WAY OF SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS. LI/S APPROACH -3C WITH CAPES NEAR 1000 J/KG HERE BY
00Z COUPLED WITH 55KT SPEED MAX AT 500MB. THIS COUPLED WITH MODEST
SFC CONVERGENCE SHOULD AID THUNDERSTORMS. WITH PRECIPITABLE WATERS
NEAR 1.50 INCHES...AND 850MB JET INCREASING TO NEAR 45KT BY
00Z...ANY THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOP SHOULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN.
WITH UPPER FLOW PARALLELING INVERTED TROUGH NEAR SOUTHERN FA...WILL
ISSUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR EXTREME SOUTHERN FA TONIGHT.

.LONG TERM...
ON THURSDAY...UPPER LOW BEGINS TO EJECT NORTHEAST...WITH SFC LOW
MOVING INTO SOUTHEAST SD BY 00Z FRI. AHEAD OF FEATURE 850MB MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE AND JET INCREASE. IN ADDITION...DEFORMATION NEAR 500MB
AND LARGE SCALE LIFT PER 850-500MB Q VECTOR CONVERGENCE INCREASE
AROUND 00Z. THIS SHOULD PROMOTE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
DURING THE AFTERNOON. LI/S APPROACH -4C WITH 1500J/KG CAPES BY
AFTERNOON IN SOUTHEAST...SO MAY EVEN SEE A FEW SEVERE STORMS WITH
GOOD 0-6KM SHEAR. ON THURSDAY NIGHT...DEFORMATION RAIN SHOULD
DEVELOP...AND MAY EVEN BE HEAVY AT TIMES WITH QPF AMOUNTS NEAR 1
INCH. IN ADDITION...LEFT EXIT REGION OF 300MB 120KT COUPLED JET
STRUCTURE WILL ALSO AID LARGE SCALE LIFT...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER/S
NEAR 1.50 INCHES. WILL ISSUE SPS TO HIGHTLIGHT THU AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY FRIDAY HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHERN
FA...AND DEFORMATION RAIN FURTHER NORTH. LOW SLOWLY LIFTS NORTHEAST
INTO ONTARIO FRIDAY...AND A DRIER AIR WILL FILTER IN ALONG WITH SOME
SUNNY BREAKS BY AFTERNOON. WILL BRING DECREASING CLOUDS INTO WEST ON
FRIDAY.

.EXTENDED...LONG RANGE MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THRU THE PD WITH ALL
ADVERTISING CHANGE TO MORE ZONAL FLOW OVER THE REGION. ONE WEAK SHRT
WV PASSES THRU THE REGION LATE IN THE WEEK...BUT WITH ZONAL FLOW
THIS FEATURE SHOULD BE OUT OF THE AREA PRIOR TO START OF EXTENDED.
SYS DIVING INTO THE PAC NW ON MON TO SHIFT 5H FLOW A BIT MORE SW
WITH UNSETTLED WX RETURNING TO THE REGION AFTER A DRY WEEKEND WITH
BEST CHC FOR PCPN MON NIGHT/TUE MORNING. PAC NW SYS SHEARS OUT IN
ZONAL FLOW AND MOVES THRU ON WED BRINGING A CHC FOR SHOWERS THEN.
WARMEST READINGS EXPECTED ON MON WITH REMAINDER OF EXTENDED SEASONAL
OR SLIGHTLY BLO NORMAL.

.FGF...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT FOR
RANSOM...SARGENT...RICHLAND...WILKIN...GRANT...OTTERTAIL...HUBBARD
AND WADENA.

KELLENBENZ/TURNER

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 13, 4:01 PM CDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
MNZ002-003-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ028>030-038-039-049-052-053-132255-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
401 PM CDT WED JUN 13 2001

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER SOUTHEAST NORTH
DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

SYNOPSIS...LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA WITH ASSOCIATED
WARM FRONT RUNNING UP INTO WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. THIS IS CAUSING
A WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO SURGE NORTHWARD INTO THE
REGION. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS
AND BECOME SEVERE.

AREA OF CONCERN...A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS FORECAST
SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM FORMAN UP TO FARGO AND EAST TO PARK
RAPIDS. A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS FORECAST SOUTH OF A LINE
FROM MAYVILLE TO BEMIDJI.

TIME...430 PM TO 11 PM.

TYPE OF HAZARD...MAIN THREATS WILL BE TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL ALONG
AND NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT.

DONAVON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 13, 1:49 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFBenson, Eddy, Ramsey6 hr
Jun 13, 6:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFCass51 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2001Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2001

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.