Severe Thunderstorm Warning 386, NWS Grand Forks, ND

FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
530 PM CDT THU SEP 6 2001

...WILL BE BRIEF WITH SEVERE WEATHER ONGOING...

SENT OUT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR AREAS ALONG AND IMMEDIATELY EAST OF
THE SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT. INTENSE MOISTURE FLUX CONVERGENCE ALONG
FRONT...COUPLED WITH PRECIPITABLE WATERS TO 1.75 INCHES AND
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE SPELL CONTINUATION OF TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS.
NEW RUC ALSO IS PICKING UP ON SLOW MOVING FRONT...WITH 850 JET
CONTINUING TO FEED INTO AREA ALONG FRONT.

.FGF...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST ND AND PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALONG AND
60 MILES EAST OF A VALLEY CITY TO HILLSBORO TO WARROD LINE.

KELLENBENZ

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-062000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
115 PM CDT THU SEP 6 2001

...THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND WESTERN MINNESOTA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...

SYNOPSIS...A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL ENCOUNTER A MOIST AND
MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS AS IS ADVANCES INTO EASTERN NORTH THIS
AFTERNOON...AND INTO WESTERN MINNESOTA EARLY THIS EVENING.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 80S THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AND WHEN
COMBINED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S...INSTABILITY
WILL BE MAXIMIZED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY.

AREA OF CONCERN...A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS EAST
OF A HALLOCK TO COOPERSTOWN AND ELLENDALE LINE.

TIME...START AFTER 300 PM AND DIMINISH AFTER 900 PM.

TYPE OF HAZARD...MAINLY LARGE HAIL. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE A
THREAT...AS WILL LOCALLY FLOODING RAINS FROM SLOW MOVING OR REPEAT
THUNDERSTORM EVENTS.

GUST