Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2001

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 228, NWS Grand Forks, ND

July 31, 2001Grand Forks County, Steele County, North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 31, 2001, 10:14 AM CDT for Grand Forks County, Steele County, North Dakota. It was in force for 46 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 31, 2001, 10:14 AM CDT (15:14 UTC)
Expired
Jul 31, 2001, 11:00 AM CDT
In force
46 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

Counties Grand Forks County, ND, Steele County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 39 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 31, 11:00 AM CDTThunderstorm WindFinley, NDBranches were blown down.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 249 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2001-07-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 381 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2001-07-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 46 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
381 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-626 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1544 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KFGF 311515
SVRFAR

NDC035-091-311600-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND-GRAND FORKS
1014 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

  WESTERN GRAND FORKS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND   
  STEELE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA.

* UNTIL 1100 AM CDT.

* AT 1011 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES SOUTH OF LOGAN CENTER...OR ABOUT 37
  MILES WEST OF GRAND FORKS...MOVEMENT WAS TO THE NORTHEAST AT 50
  MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...

  LOGAN CENTER AT 1015 AM CDT...
  KEMPTON AT 1020 AM CDT AND
  LARIMORE AT 1030 AM CDT.

REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

LAT...LON 4793 9786 4736 9783 4740 9755 4810 9755


$$
04
g
NNNN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 31, 2:40 AM CDT, 7 hours 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 31, 2:40 AM CDT, 7 hours 34 minutes before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
240 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2001

FCST CONCERNS TODAY...SVR POTENTIAL AND HVY RAIN THREAT.

.SHORT TERM...
CURRENT FRONT LOCATED ACROSS NW MN TO SE ND THEN TO WRN SD...NR A
KROX-KGFK-KJMS-KMBG LINE.  VERY HIGH DEW PTS ALONG AND AHD OF FRONT
WITH 80 DEW PTS POOLING FROM FARGO TO WADENA/STAPLES.  MCS MOVING
INTO ERN ND EARLY THIS AM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST.  RUC
ANALYSIS AND VAD WIND PROFILES SHOW LOW LEVEL JET OF 40KTS OVER ERN
SD INTO SE ND AND MN...WITH FAVORABLE LEFT QUAD OVER ERN ND WHICH
SHOULD AID IN KEEPING ELEVATED CONVECTION GOING EARLY THIS MORNING.
OBVIOUSLY...ATMOS VERY JUICED UP WITH HVY RAIN A GOOD BET WITH ANY
STORMS THAT FORM TODAY AND THIS EVENING.  PWATS FROM ETA/MESOETA 2
TO 2.5 INCHES.  THUS WILL MAINTAIN FFA FOR ERN ND TODAY...BUT WILL
ALTER TIMING FOR NW MN TO THIS AFTN/EVE AS BEST CONVECTION NOT
EXPECTED IN ERN CWFA TIL LATE TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT.  COORD WITH
MPX/DLH.

SFC MAP SHOWS WK SFC LOWS OVER SE WYOMING AND OVER NCNTRL SD.  BUT
MODELS DO AGREE THAT STRONG SHORT WAVE MOVING THRU MT/ALBERTA WILL
MOVE ENE AND HELP DEEPEN THE SFC LOW AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST INTO ERN
ND THIS AFTN.  FOCUS OF HVY RAIN SHOULD BE ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF
FRONT THIS MORNING...BUT THEN FOCUS WILL SHIFT INTO MN THIS
AFTN/EVENING AS LOW MOVES NORTHEAST AND DRAGS FRONT INTO VERY JUICED
ENVIRONMENT.  SVR THREAT MOSTLY THIS MORNING FOR ND...THEN VALLEY
EAST INTO MN LATER THIS AFTN/EVENING AS COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.
STRONG DRY PUNCH AT 70H MOVES INTO MN BY 06Z WHICH MAY ENHANCE
SQUALL LINE POTENTIAL.

AS FOR TEMPS/WIND...GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AHD OF DEEPENING LOW IN WCNTRL
MN A GOOD BET SO WILL GO 20-30 MPH AND GUSTY IN ZFP THIS AFTN.
TEMPS WILL APPROACH 90 IN THAT AREA AS WELL...AND WITH HIGH DEW PTS
THIS WILL APPROACH HEAT ADVISORY CONDITIONS.  ATTM WILL NOT HEADLINE
FOR HEAT OR WIND ADVISORIES IN WCNTRL MN AS WANT TO FOCUS ON HVY
RAIN THREAT THIS AFTN/EVE.

.LONGER TERM...
SYSTEM TO MOVE EAST TONIGHT WITH CONVECTION EXITING MN CWFA AFTER
06Z.  THEN RELIEF WILL COME IN LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS LOWER
DEW PTS OVERSPREAD THE AREA.  WITH SRN END OF 50H TROUGH SWINGING
ALONG INTERNATIONAL BORDER COULD BE SOME INSTABILITY SHOWERS FAR NE
ND AND NW MN.  ATTM WILL KEEP IT DRY AND LET LATER SHIFTS EVAULATE
THIS.

.EXTENDED...
NO CHANGES TO EXTENDED.  50H RIDGE RE-BUILDS IN MN THIS WEEEKEND
SETTING THE STAGE FOR A RETURN TO WARMER AND HUMID WEATHER THIS
WEEKEND.  POTENTIAL FOR SOME TSRA AS WELL ESPLY SUNDAY AS FRONT
TRIES TO ADVANCE EAST.

.FGF...FLASH FLOOD WATCH EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND THE RED RIVER
VALLEY TODAY AND NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

RIDDLE

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 31, 6:05 AM CDT, 4 hours 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS
605 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2001

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0240 AM    VALLEY CITY               ND   WIND DAMAGE
07/31/01   BARNES                         TREES DOWN

0357 AM    HALSTAD                   MN   67 MPH TSTM GUST
07/31/01   NORMAN

0417 AM    HAWLEY                    MN   .88 INCH HAIL
07/31/01   CLAY

0425 AM    CROOKSTON                 MN   WIND DAMAGE
07/31/01   POLK                           4-5 INCH DIAMETER LIMBS
                                          DOWN

0425 AM    GENTILLY                  MN   WIND DAMAGE
07/31/01   POLK                           4-5 INCH DIAMETER LIMBS
                                          DOWN
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 6:47 AM CDT, 3 hours 27 minutes before
MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027-028-311250-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
647 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2001

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 645 FOR NORTHWEST MINNESOTA HAS
BEEN CANCELLED....

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED OUT OF NORTHWEST MINNESOTA AND
HAVE WEAKENED.  THUS THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH THAT WAS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CDT FOR BELTRAMI...LAKE OF THE WOODS...ROSEAU...
KITTSON...MARSHALL...PENNINGTON...RED LAKE...POLK...HUBBARD...
CLEARWATER...NORMAN...MAHNOMEN...BECKER AND CLAY COUNTIES HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

RIDDLE
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 6:59 AM CDT, 3 hours 15 minutes before
MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-311455-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
659 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2001

...SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING FROM THE RED RIVER VALLEY EAST INTO MINNESOTA...

SYNOPSIS...LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST INTO EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA AND STRENGTHEN THIS AFTERNOON.  THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE
INTO MANITOBA THIS EVENING WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING EAST INTO
MINNESOTA. THE ATMOSPHERE OVER EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST
MINNESOTA IS VERY UNSTABLE AND VERY MOIST.  AS THE LOW AND FRONT
INTERACT WITH THIS AIRMASS LATER TODAY AND EARLY EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RE-DEVELOP WITH SOME SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.

AREA OF CONCERN...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER EAST OF
A PEMBINA TO LAKOTA TO VALLEY CITY NORTH DAKOTA LINE...THEN
EAST TO INCLUDE ALL THE RED RIVER VALLEY AND NORTHWEST AND WEST
CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

TIME...BETWEEN 3 PM AND MIDNIGHT CDT.

TYPE OF HAZARD...HEAVY RAIN...STRONG WINDS...AND LARGE HAIL.

RIDDLE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 31, 2:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBarnes, Cass, Griggs, Steele23 min
Jul 31, 3:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrand Forks, Steele, Traill34 min
Jul 31, 10:29 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFGrand Forks, Griggs, Steele3 hr
Jul 31, 10:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFTraill38 min
Jul 31, 10:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrand Forks, Steele46 min
Jul 31, 4:39 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFGrand Forks4 hr
Jul 31, 4:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFCass49 min
Jul 31, 4:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrand Forks51 min
Jul 31, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFTraill32 min
Jul 31, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFCass32 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2001Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2001

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.