Severe Thunderstorm Warning 173, NWS Kansas City, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
345 AM CDT THU JUN 14 2001

IR SAT SHOWS THAT CLOUD TOPS CONTINUE TO COOL THIS MORNING...WITH
SRN EXTENT OF CONVECTION RIGHT IN THE MIDDLE OF KANSAS ALONG FRONT.
AS THE LLVL JET MOVES EAST...EXPECT THE LINE OF CONVECTION TO FOLLOW
ALONG. NWRN ZONES WILL SEE ACTIVITY BY ZONE ISSUANCE...HOWEVER THE
REST OF WRN CWA WILL HAVE TO WAIT TIL MORE LIKE 12Z.  WHILE THE
ACTIVITY MAY WEAKEN SOMEWHAT AS IT ENTERS CWA...EXPECT DAYTIME
HEATING TO REDEVELOP/STRENGTHEN IT IN ERN CWA. SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL
PROBABLY BE HIGHEST EAST OF I35.  DIRECTIONAL SHEAR MORESO THAN
SPEED SHEAR. WILL DO POPS CLOSE TO CURRNT ZFP/GUID. NOT EXPECTING A
LOT OF TRAINING AS FRONT SEEMS TO MOVE PRETTY FAST BY EVENING...BUT
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE.    TEMPS ARE TRICKY. FEEL THAT TSRA
WILL TAKE LONG ENOUGH THAT ERN CWA WILL BE ON THE WARM SIDE...WHERE
THE WRN CWA WILL HALT WARMING ONCE PRECIP ARRIVES. WARM CURRENT
TEMPS...SO WILL GO NEAR 85 IN THE WEST AND UPPER 80S IN THE EAST.

MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE EXITING SYSTEM...AND THIS IS
ALONG THE LINES OF CURRNT PKG.  COOLER DAY EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...WITH
WARM UP FOR THE WEEKEND. NO OTHER CHANGES PLANNED.

.EAX...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.

LVQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
911 AM CDT THU JUN 14 2001

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0852 AM    6 SW TRENTON              MO   1.75 INCH HAIL
06/14/01   GRUNDY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
913 AM CDT THU JUN 14 2001

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0845 AM    JAMESPORT                 MO   1.75 INCH HAIL
06/14/01   DAVIESS                        REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1105 AM CDT THU JUN 14 2001

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1050 AM    4 SW NEW BOSTON           MO   .75 INCH HAIL
06/14/01   LINN                           REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-151200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
100 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2001

...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...

FORECAST: STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG AND EAST OF A
COLD FRONT ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS INTO NORTHWEST MISSOURI.  A FEW OF
THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING DUE TO
STORM INTERACTIONS AND AFTERNOON HEATING.  THE SEVERE THREAT
FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  HEAVY RAIN
WILL ALSO BE A POSSIBILITY AS STORMS TRAIN ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

DISCUSSION: A LINE OF STRONG STORMS HAS FORMED ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS
INTO NORTHWEST MISSOURI.  THUNDERSTORMS WHICH MOVED ACROSS NORTHERN
MISSOURI THIS MORNING AND CLOUD COVER FROM A LARGE COMPLEX OF STORMS
OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS HAS HELPED TO STABILIZE THE
ATMOSPHERE...REDUCING THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER.  SOME STORMS
MAY BE SEVERE HOWEVER DUE TO STORM INTERACTIONS AND THE POTENTIAL
FOR HEATING IN PLACES WHERE THE CLOUD COVER THINS OUT THIS
AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN MAY BE AN ADDITIONAL THREAT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS
THUNDERSTORMS TRAIN ACROSS THE SAME AREAS WHILE THE LINE TRANSLATES
SLOWLY EAST.  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING SHOULD THE STORMS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED.

OUTLOOK: THE NEXT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. AT THIS TIME...THE SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS TO BE MINIMAL.

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/EAX.

PB

ZCZC STLLSRMCI ALL

TTAA00 KMCI DDHHMM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO

202 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2001

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...

           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0152 PM    PARKER                    KS    WIND DAMAGE

06/14/01   LINN                            LARGE TREES DOWN

0154 PM    OSAWATOMIE
        KS    WIND DAMAGE

06/14/01   MIAMI                           LARGE TREES DOWN

NNNN