Flash Flood Warning 52, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

COASTAL BEND FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1125 PM CST THU NOV 15 2001

...DECIDED TO LOWER TEMPS A LITTLE IN RAIN COOLED AREAS..ALTHOUGH
TEMPS LIKELY TO INCREASE SOME AFTER RAINFALL ENDS.  BUMPED WINDS UP
IN ALL ZONES AND REMOVED THE TOR WATCH THAT EXPIRED AT 11 PM...

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION..
EVENING SOUNDING ONCE AGAIN INDICATED A MOIST ATMOSPHERE WITH PWAT AT
1.53.  THIS IS PLENTY GOOD ENOUGH TO KEEP SHRA/TSRA GOING OVER THE
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE CWFA.  ONE GOOD THING IS THAT THE REL
HELICITY VALUES ARE MUCH LOWER THIS EVENING THAN THIS MORNING AND
THIS HAS BEEN REFLECTED IN THE RADAR TRENDS SHOWING LESS ROTATION
THAN EARLIER TODAY.  SLOW WEAKENING TREND SHOULD CONT OVERNIGHT WITH
THE CURRENT CONVECTION.

LOOKING FOR ANOTHER REPEAT ON FRI AS UPPER LEVEL LOW REMAINS IN THE
VCNTY OF GUADALUPE PASS. AS SPOKES OF ENERGY MOVE OVER THE AREA AND
INTERACT WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE..THIS WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF
SHRA/TSRA.  EXCELLENT DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT SHD ALSO AID IN
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION.  CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN UP AS
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ON ALREADY SATURATED GROUND WILL QUICKLY RUN
OFF..ADDING TO THE ALREADY SERIOUS FLOODING THAT WE CURRENTLY HAVE
IN SEVERAL COUNTIES.  IF MOST RECENT GUIDANCE HOLDS TRUE..THE PCPN
MAY OCCUR CLOSER TO THE COAST..WHERE MUCH LESS PCPN HAS OCCURRED.

WILL TAKE ANOTHER LOOK AT TEMPS AND WINDS WHEN UPDATE IS SENT FOR
EXPIRING TOR WATCH.

MARINE...PRESSURE GRADIENT/INFLOW TOWARD ORGANIZED CONVECTION WILL
GENERATE ADVISORY CRITERIA ACROSS THE MARINE ZONES TONIGHT..AND
SEAS/SUFFICIENT GRADIENT WILL ALLOW SCA CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL
THROUGH MUCH OF FRIDAY AS WELL.  OTHERWISE..DRY ADVECTION FROM THE
EAST WILL DEVELOP LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND..WITH A DIMINISHED ELY GRADIENT EXPECTED.

MSL..73 / BML..76

.CRP...FFA ALL ZONES TXZ229>234-239>247 THROUGH TONIGHT.
       SCA ALL MARINE ZONES.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI,TX
920 PM CST THU NOV 15 2001

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0905 PM    GOLIAD                    TX   FLOODING
11/15/01   2 E FANNIN                     SPOTTER REPORT.
                                          NUMEROUS ROADS
                                          FLOODED IN COLOGNE.

0915 PM    GOLIAD                    TX   0.50 INCH HAIL
11/15/01   2 E FANNIN                     SKYWARN SPOTTER IN
                                          COLOGNE.

LAMARRE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI,TX
1000 PM CST THU NOV 15 2001

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0955 PM    VICTORIA                  TX   0.88 INCH HAIL
11/15/01   VICTORIA                       SPOTTER REPORT.

LAMARRE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI,TX
227 AM CST FRI NOV 16 2001

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

120 AM    AT FREER                  TX   .88 INCH HAIL
11/16/01   DUVAL                          DIME TO PENNY-SIZED HAIL

105 AM    2 SE MATHIS               TX   FLOOD
11/16/01   SAN PATRICIO                   FM 188 AND CR35 WATER OVER
                                          ROAD...ROAD
                                          CLOSED.

GW