Severe Thunderstorm Warning 291, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL
203 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2001

UPPER LOW OVER WRN KY THIS AFTN WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SLOLY WWD
DURG THE NXT CUPL OF DAYS...THEN STALL OUT OVER AR/MO TOWARD THE
WEEKEND.  ENTIRE FA WILL BE FAIRLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE...AND ITS
LIKELY THAT DAILY FOCI OF CONVECTION WILL BE GOVERNED BY LOCATIONS
OF MORNING CLOUDY/CLEAR AREAS AND OTHER MESOSCALE FEATURES WHICH
ARE NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO PINPOINT THIS FAR OUT.  IN GENERAL...WILL
KEEP CHC POPS IN EFFECT THRU THURS...WITH HIGHEST POPS IN NW AL WED
WHERE INSTABILITY/LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN A BIT GREATER.  SCATTERED
DIURNAL CONVECTION APPEARS THE RULE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND EARLY
PART OF NEXT WEEK AS WELL.

TEMP GUIDANCE LOOKS GOOD AND WAS ACCEPTED WITH MINOR ADJUSTMENTS.
66

FIRST PD POPS SUBJECT TO CHANGE PRIOR TO RELEASE...

HSV BB 064/085 066/087 067 66542
BHM BB 065/087 067/087 068 66232
MGM BB 066/090 069/089 069 66132=

.BHM...NONE.

ALZ001>038-040>050-262300-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1100 AM CDT TUE JUN 26 2001

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL ALABAMA.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW...JUST TO THE NORTH OF ALABAMA...WILL CONTINUE TO
BE THE MAIN WEATHER MAKER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE ATMOSPHERE
HAS MOISTENED UP FROM YESTERDAY AND BECOME MORE UNSTABLE...AS
UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR ALOFT HAS SPREAD OVER THE FORECAST AREA.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH LESSER
COVERAGE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE IN THE FORM OF LARGE HAIL...WITH SOME
DAMAGING WIND POSSIBLE. ALSO...THESE STORMS WILL GENERALLY MOVE
EASTWARD AT LESS THAN 10 MPH...THUS BRINGING THE THREAT OF HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FLOODING WITH THE LARGER THUNDERSTORMS.

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...LAW ENFORCEMENT AND EMA OFFICIALS OVER THE NORTHERN HALF
OF THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD REMAIN ABREAST OF DEVELOPING WEATHER
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION...AND BE
ESPECIALLY PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF LARGE HAIL WITH A FEW OF
THE THUNDERSTORMS.

WET MICROBURST POTENTIAL FACTOR:
HUNTSVILLE IS 3,
BIRMINGHAM IS 3,
MONTGOMERY IS 2,

1 BEING THE LOWEST...AND 5 THE HIGHEST THREAT.

FOR MORE INFORMATION AND A UDESCRIPTION OF WHAT IS A WET MICROBURST,
SEE OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BMX/HWO.HTML.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
209 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2001

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0150 PM    KIMBERLY                  AL   0.75 INCH HAIL
06/26/01   JEFFERSON                      KIMBERLY PD REPORTED DIME
                                          HAIL AT THE CITY HALL.

0155 PM    MOULTON                   AL   0.75 INCH HAIL
06/26/01   LAWRENCE                       PUBLIC REPORTED DIME HAIL
                                          IN CITY.