Severe Thunderstorm Warning 10, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL
958 AM CST MON JAN 29 2001

SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS PARTS OF MISSOURI, WITH COLD
FRONT NEAR A KSGF-KGLH-KHEZ-KLFT LINE.  GRADIENT CONTINUES TO
INCREASE, SO ISSUED WIND ADVISORY FOR ENTIRE AT 1507 UTC FOR TODAY
AND TONIGHT. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF LIGHTNING ACTIVITY TO THE WEST.
MORNING UPPER AIR RUNS SHOWING 50+ KNOT LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS PARTS OF
LOUISIANA AND ARKANSAS MOVING EASTWARD.

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA, MORE SO
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF.  CONTINUE WITH CURRENT FORECAST WORDING.

.BHM...WIND ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT ENTIRE AREA.

ALZ001>038-040>050-300100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1245 PM CST MON JAN 29 2001

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL ALABAMA.

A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL OF
ALABAMA...THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW
AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. A LINE OF STRONG
TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...IS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS EASTERN
MISSISSIPPI...AND WILL ENTER WESTERN ALABAMA AROUND 1:30 PM...AND
CONTINUE ACROSS THE STATE THROUGH THE EVENING. WITH THE VERY STRONG
WINDS WITH THIS SYSTEM...THE MAIN THREAT LOOKS TO BE DAMAGING WINDS.
ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO COULD BE POSSIBLE. A LIMITING FACTOR
WILL BE THE LACK OF INSTABILITY. AT THIS TIME...THE MAIN AREA FOR
SEVERE STORMS LOOKS TO BE SOUTH A LINE FROM VERNON TO BIRMINGHAM TO
ANNISTON. NORTH OF THIS LINE IS STILL UNDER A SLIGHT RISK...BUT THE
WEAK INSTABILITY COULD BE OVERCOME BY THE STRONG DYNAMICS...AND THE
THREAT OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. PERSONS SHOULD KEEP
ALERT FOR FUTURE WATCHES...WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS...CONCERNING THIS
WEATHER SYSTEM.

STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.