Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS Albuquerque, NM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1030 AM MDT FRI JUL 13 2001

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SKIES ARE CLEARING A LITTLE ACROSS MUCH OF
CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW MEXICO. THIS WILL HELP DAYTIME HEATING FOR
ANOTHER ROUND OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. WATER VAPOR AND
IR IMAGERY SHOW A WEAK VORT MAX SWIRLING AROUND NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO
AND THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO HELP SET OFF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. DIFFERENTIAL HEATING AND
LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW ALONG THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS WILL
LIKELY GENERATE ADDITIONAL EVENING AND OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORMS. AS
THE STORMS MOVE SOUTHEAST OFF THE MOUNTAINS...EXPECT A NOCTURNAL MCC
TO DEVELOP IN THE VICINITY OF AN OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY CURRENTLY
STRETCHED FROM KLVS TO TCC AND KCVN. THE PRIMARY WEATHER WITH THIS
FEATURE SHOULD BE STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL...ALTHOUGH SOME
LARGE HAIL MAY BE POSSIBLE DURING THE FORMATION OF THE THUNDERSTORMS.

OTHERWISE...CONDITIONS REMAIN ABOUT THE SAME WITH THE DIURNAL CYCLE
DRIVING THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH MOST OF THE ACTIVITY DIMINISHING DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

.AzBQ...NONE.

NMZ001>021-026-132045-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1000 AM MDT FRI JUL 13 2001

NORTH AND NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT...A FEW
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE GUST WINDS AND HAIL.

BURNED AREA RAIN OUTLOOK...SMALL AMOUNTS OF RAIN CAN STILL PRODUCE
MAJOR FLASH FLOODING IN AREAS THAT SUFFERED LARGE WILDFIRES IN YEAR
2000 OR YEAR 2001. THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOOD PRODUCING RAIN TODAY
AND TONIGHT...
IN LINCOLN COUNTY...LOW.
IN LOS ALAMOS COUNTY...MODERATE.
IN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY...MODERATE.

WEATHER SYNOPSIS...SKEIS HAVE BEGUN TO CLEAR ACROSS MUCH OF NEW
MEXICO. MOISTURE LEFTOVER FROM PREVIOUS CONVECTION COMBINED WITH
DAYTIME HEATING AND A WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVE WILL LIKELY CAUSE
SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO LATE TODAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY.
THE PRIMARY AREA OF CONCERN FROM THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS TO
THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION...MAY BE NEED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

COUNTIES IN EASTERN NEW MEXICO WHERE SKYWARN SPOTTERS MAY BE
REQUIRED...
UNION...      HARDING...   QUAY...        CURRY...
COLFAX...     MORA...      SAN MIGUEL...  GUADALUPE...

COUNTIES IN CENTRAL NEW MEXICO WHERE SKYWARN SPOTTERS MAY BE
REQUIRED...
NONE.

COUNTIES IN WESTERN AND NORTHERN NEW MEXICO WHERE SKYWARN SPOTTERS
MAY BE REQUIRED...
NONE.

THIS OUTLOOK PRODUCT IS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES TO IDENTIFY POTENTIAL
HAZARDOUS OR LIFE THREATENING WEATHER. IT IS NOT INTENDED TO REPLACE
SPECIFIC STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS RELATED TO FLASH FLOODS AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.
FOR FAR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO USE PRODUCT WWUS84 KMAF.
FOR SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO USE PRODUCT WWUS84 KEPZ.