Severe Thunderstorm Warning 162, NWS Baltimore/Washington

Issued

Jun 27, 2000, 4:19 PM EDT (20:19 UTC)

Expired

Jun 27, 2000, 5:00 PM EDT

In force

41 min

Issued by

NWS Baltimore/Washington

Area

Whole counties

County City of Fredericksburg, VA

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

000 
WUUS51 KLWX 272019
SVRWBC
VAC099-179-630-272100-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE-WASHINGTON
419 PM EDT TUE JUN 27 2000

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CITY OF FREDERICKSBURG IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA
  KING GEORGE COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA
  STAFFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA

* UNTIL 500 PM EDT

* AT 420 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF
  FREDERICKSBURG TO 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FREDERICKSBURG...MOVING
  EAST AT 20 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE...
  OVER FREDERICKSBURG AT 424 PM
  3 MILES SOUTH OF STAFFORD AT 438 PM

IF SEVERE WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER
AWAY FROM CREEK BEDS AND OTHER FLOOD-PRONE AREAS. REMEMBER...A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAN PRODUCE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 55 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.

AS THE STORM APPROACHES MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY. TUNE INTO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TV STATION FOR THE LATEST
WEATHER INFORMATION.

JA/DMW-

NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 27, 2:15 PM EDT, 2 hours 4 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON
215 PM EDT TUE JUN 27 2000

GOING INTO A CLOUDY AND OCNL WET PERIOD. UPR LVL TROF ADVANCES
EWD TO THE ERN US AND H5 RDG OFF THE ATLC COAST MOVES FURTHER EWD
NXT 48 TO 60 HRS. MEANWHILE AT THE SFC...CDFNT WL PUSH INTO THE AREA
TNGT BUT THEN STALL OVR THE CWA WED THRU THU AS UPR LVL FLO BACKS IN
RESPONSE TO H5 HGT FALLS TO OUR W AS MORE ENERGY DIVES INTO THE BASE
OF THE UPR LVL TROF. SERIES OF SHRTWVS COMING OUT OF THE BASE OF THE
TROF WL RESULT IN SFC WAVES DVLPG ALONG THE WAVY FRONT OVR THE AREA
LATE WED INTO THU AND POSSIBLY INTO FRI.

NGM/AVN AND ETA ALL OFFER DIFFERING SOLUTIONS ON TIMING OF SFC WAVES UP
AND ALONG THE WAVY FRONT. MODELS OFTEN HAVE DIFFICULTY IN TIMING SUCH
SYSTEMS IN AND OUT OF THE AREA IN SUCH A PATTERN. DISPARITY IS SEEN IN
THE NGM/AVN POP AND QPF FIELDS. WL LEAVE POPS OUT (HIDDEN 20) FAR NW ZNS ON
WED WHERE I THINK SOME DRIER AIR MAY TEMPORARILY MOVE INTO THAT AREA.
OTHERWISE...I AM ONLY CONFIDENT ENUF TO GO WITH CHC POPS 1ST THRU 4TH
PDS.

FRONT HANGS AROUND INTO FRI SO WILL KEEP THE CHC POPS IN THE FCST. BY
SAT/SUN...MRF INDICATES THE ERN US TROF WL MOVE EWD AND H5 RDG WL BUILD
IN FROM THE WEST. THIS SHUD CAUSE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVR THE AREA TO
MOVE OFFSHR. THUS...AFTER A WEEK FILLED WITH LOTS OF CLOUDS AND SHRA/TSRA
THERE IS STILL HOPE FOR A SUNNY WEEKEND.

FCSTID = 15
DCA   68  83  F70  77 /  50  40  50  50
BWI   68  82  70  77 /  50  40  50  50
MRB   63  82  64  76 /  50  20  50  50

.LWX...
DC...NONE.
MD...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Virginia, 2000Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2000

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.