Severe Thunderstorm Warning 83, NWS Charleston, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
815 PM EST SAT DEC 16 2000

WARM FRONT CONTS TO LIFT N ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVE. A COUPLE LINES
OF STRONG STORMS IN WRN AND SERN GA MAKING STEADY PROGRESS TO THE E.
EXPECT TO HAVE THREAT CONTINUE FOR SVR ACTIVITY THRU THE OVERNIGHT PD
ACROSS THE CWA AHEAD OF FROPA AS VIGOROUS VORT MAX MOVES E ACRS THE
SRN APPLCHNS. LIKE THE WAY THE AFTN PKG IS PUT TOGETHER AS FAR AS
POPS AND MENTION OF SVR...ONLY REASON FOR UPDATE IS TO REMOVE WORDING
FOR LATE EVENING. VWP HAS SRLY WINDS AOA 40 KTS NR 2K FT...BUT WINDS
AHEAD OF FRONT IN SRN AL AND WRN GA HAVE NOT EXCEEDED WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA AND BLV THAT WILL BE THE CASE OVERNIGHT. THE THREAT OF SVR
CONDS ALREADY ANNOTATED IN ZONES WITH ASSOCIATED STORMS...WILL
MAINTAIN THE SVR WX OUTLOOK FOR THE OVERNIGHT PD WITH ANTICIPATED
THREAT SHIFTING TO THE E...NO REASON TO ARGUE WITH POPS. LIKEWISE...
COLD FROPA WILL DICTATE MINS TONIGHT AND WILL NOT CHG TEMPS ON THIS
UPDATE.

CWF...HAVE SEEN THE BEGINNINGS OF SPEED INCREASES OVER LAST FEW
HOURS AND WILL ADJUST WORDING TO MATCH OBS. NO CHG TO HEADLINES.

.CHS...
GA...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AMZ354-374.
SC...GALE WARNING AMZ330-350-352.

GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-042>045-047>050-170900-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
800 PM EST SAT DEC 16 2000

...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OR ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS SOUTH COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA OVERNIGHT...

INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL USHER IN UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOIST
AIR ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. A POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM
WILL MOVE FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST
COAST OVERNIGHT BRINGING A STRONG COLD FRONT WITH IT. EARLY THIS
EVENING...SEVERAL LINES OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAD
DEVELOPED ACROSS EASTERN ALABAMA INTO WESTERN AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.
THESE STORMS WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT. MANY OF THESE STORMS HAVE HAD A HISTORY OF DAMAGING WIND WITH
A FEW TORNADOES REPORTED.

THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE OVERNIGHT AND WIND
FIELDS WILL STRENGTHEN AS THE STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES. THIS
COMBINATION MAY CAUSE A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME SEVERE.
THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH. SOME LARGE HAIL...UP TO NICKEL SIZE...MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH
THESE STORMS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO A POSSIBILITY.

THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE AFTER 9 PM FOR FAR INLAND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING
REIDSVILLE...METTER...MILLEN AND ALLENDALE. CLOSER TO THE COAST...
THE CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AROUND MIDNIGHT OR LATER.

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TONIGHT. SPOTTERS AND
EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO THE DEVELOPING WEATHER
SITUATION AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF ANY WATCHES OR WARNINGS
ARE ISSUED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLET FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

RVT