Severe Thunderstorm Warning 14, NWS Brownsville, TX

DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
130 PM CDT MON MAY 1 2000

DO NOT PLAN TO CHANGE FORECAST MUCH. STORM CHANCES HERE APPEAR
SIGNIFICANT AS UPPER LOW IN OKLAHOMA MEANDERS SOUTHEAST THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. LOW HAS A CONVECTIVE HISTORY. FOR A PERIOD...BACK SIDE
OF THE LOW WILL BE UNSTABLE BEFORE AIR SUBSIDES AND DRIES WEST OF
THE LOW. BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN HERE SEEM TO BE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW
AS LOW LEVEL GULF AIR FEEDS THE MONSTER ALOFT NEARBY BEFORE
CONVERGENT AREA SHIFTS NORTHEAST TOMORROW AFTERNOOON.

WILL LOWER MARINE FLAGS AS GRADIENT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN.

BRO TB 073/086 070/084 070 62553
MFE TB 072/088 071/088 070 62553
RGC TB 070/089 066/089 067 62553
SPI TB 076/082 075/082 076 62553

.WFO BRO INTERNET ADDRESS...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BRO

.BRO...NONE.

TXZ248>257-020200-

DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
330 PM CDT MON MAY 1 2000

CHANGES FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING ARE
SIGNIFICANT OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. KEEP CLOSE TABS ON THE WEATHER.

A STRONG UPPER DISTURBANCE OVER NORTH TEXAS THAT HAS HAD A STORMY
HISTORY IS MEANDERING SOUTHEAST. IT WILL BRING STORMY WEATHER THAN
RECENTLY SLAMMED NORTH TEXAS...CLOSER TO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP TONIGHT OVER SOUTH TEXAS AND APPROACH THE DEEP SOUTH. A FEW OF
THESE ARE EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE.
AND ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT EITHER.

SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS SHOULD BE ON THE ALERT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE WEATHER
TONIGHT. ALL RESIDENTS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS SHOULD KEEP UPDATED ON
THE WEATHER TODAY THROUGH LOCAL RADIO...TELEVISION...OR CABLE
SOURCES...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO.