Severe Thunderstorm Warning 142, NWS Bismarck, ND

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
300 PM CDT FRI AUG 11 2000

SFC LOW IN SERN SASK. WIND SWITCH TO SWLY AND WLY WI BOUNDARY
EVIDENT ON MINOT RADAR...BUT WONDERING IF THIS IS AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY FROM NERN MT MORNING CONVECTION. TRUE FRONT MAY STILL LIE
FROM E OF ISN TO NEAR DIK. MAY BE A SMALL THERMAL LOW IN EXT NWRN
SD. AT ANY RATE...NWLY WINDS AND DRIER AIR BEHIND FRONT. STRONG H7
CAP THIS MORNING...15 C AT BIS...HAS ALLOWED ONLY A FEW HIGH-BASED
SHOWERS/MAYBE A LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO IN WRN ND TODAY. MODELS
BREAK DOWN THE CAP AFTER THE SFC FRONT MOVES THROUGH. TSTM ACTIVITY
IN MT HAS BEEN ASSOCIATED WITH TWO VORT CENTERS...THE SECOND OF
WHICH IS IN VCNTY OF TSTMS IN CNTRL MT. THIS VORT IS TO ENTER NWRN
ND THIS EVE AND GREATEST CHC TSTMS WL BE ISN/MOT AREA OF CWA. WL
MENTION SVR POTENTIAL AS MODIFIED SOUNDING CAPES RANGED FROM 2000 TO
OVER 5000. AFT 06Z UPPER SHORTWAVE ENERGY PULLS NEWD WELL INTO
MANITOBA AND THINK CHCS ARE LOW IN SRN ND FOR TSTMS. MAY SEE MORE
ISOLATED OR WIDELY SCT TSTMS SOUTH...BUT FEEL CHCS ARE GOOD FOR GOOD
AREAL TSTM COVERAGE IN THE NW AND N CNTRL. MID LEVELS COOL OVERNIGHT
SO MAY BE ENOUGH SFC CONVERGENCE AND LIFT NEAR THE FRONT FOR TSTMS
IN THE JMS AREA...SO WL KEEP POPS THERE AS WELL.

DRIER AIR MOVES IN WITH HIGH PRES FOR SAT AND SUN. ANOTHER LOW DEVS
IN WRN/CNTRL PLAINS SUN NIGHT AND MOVES EWD MON BRINGING A CHC OF
TSTMS TO ND MON...THEN ANOTHER LOW FORMS OVER WRN HIGH PLAINS FOR
CHC TSTMS AGAIN TUE NIGHT INTO WED.

.BIS...NONE.

VINING

NDZ001-120100-

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  WILLISTON NORTH DAKOTA
705 PM CDT FRI AUG 11 2000

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IN NORTHEAST MONTANA...WILL MOVE FROM EXTREME
NORTHEAST MONTANA INTO SOUTHEAST SASKATCHEWAN THROUGH 730 PM CDT.
THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN MONTANA.
EXPECT STRONG GUSTY WINDS...POSSIBLE HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL IN PORTIONS
OF NORTHWEST DIVIDE COUNTY N NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

MR
E
N

NDZ001-120100-

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  WILLISTON NORTH DAKOTA
715 PM CDT FRI AUG 11 2000

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IN NORTHEAST MONTANA...WILL MOVE FROM EXTREME
NORTHEAST MONTANA INTO SOUTHEAST SASKATCHEWAN THROUGH 730 PM CDT.
THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN MONTANA.
EXPECT STRONG GUSTY WINDS...POSSIBLE HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL IN PORTIONS
OF NORTHWEST DIVIDE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH 730 PM CDT.

MR

N

NDZ001-120125-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILLISTON ND
725 PM CDT FRI AUG 11 2000

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CONTINUES TO MOVE ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL
BORDER BETWEEN SASKATCHEWAN AND DIVIDE COUNTY. THIS STORM HAS A
HISTORY OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN MONTANA. PEOPLE ALONG
THE CANADIAN BORDER IN DIVIDE COUNTY SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR VERY
STRONG WINDS TO 60 MPH AND POTENTIALLY LARGE HAIL AND LIGHTNING!!!

N

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILLISTON ND
1110 PM CDT FRI AUG 11 2000

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0845 PM    5 W GRASSY BUTTE          ND    65 MPH WIND GUST.
08/11/00   MCKENZIE                        REPORTED BY
                                           WEATHER SPOTTER

0855 PM    17 S ARNEGARD             ND    60 MPH WIND GUST. LARGE
08/11/00   MCKENZIE                        TREE LIMBS DOWN. REPORTED
                                           BY WEATHER SPOTTER.

0915 PM    TRNP N UNIT               ND    60 MPH WIND GUST.
08/11/00   MCKEYNZIE                        REPORTED BY LAW
                                           ENFORCEMENT.

DTJ