Severe Thunderstorm Warning 5, NWS Gaylord, MI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
127 PM EDT FRI MAY 12 2000

SOUTHERN ZONES WILL BE UPDATED FOR TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6
PM.

.APX...TORNADO WATCH MIZ025>036-041-042-LMZ345-LHZ362 TIL 6 PM EDT.

FARINA

*** THE NWS IN MICHIGAN IS CONDUCTING A SURVEY TO LEARN MORE ABOUT
HOW OUR CUSTOMERS USE THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION (AFD). PLEASE
COMPLETE THIS SHORT SURVEY AT WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/APX/AFDSURVEY.HTM.
THE FEEDBACK WE RECEIVE WILL HELP US PROVIDE A BETTER PRODUCT FOR
YOU. IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR IF YOU NEED A PAPER VERSION OF THE
SURVEY...CONTACT BRUCE SMITH AT (517) 731-3384 EXT 766. THANK YOU
FOR YOUR PARTICIPATION. ***

WWUS35 KAPX 111531
SPSAPN
MIZ008-015>036-041-042-121200-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1132 AM EDT FRI MAY 12 2000

...SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTHERN LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN...

DISPATCHERS PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGERS IMMEDIATELY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ACROSS THE SAGINAW BAY REGION OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. SPOTTER
ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
WEST OF I-75 AND EAST UPPER MICHIGAN BETWEEN 200 PM AND 600 PM. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH...SPREADING INTO NORTHEAST
LOWER MICHIGAN BETWEEN 400 PM AND 800 PM. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

SOME OF THESE STORMS SOUTH OF M-55 ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND
GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH AND HAIL TO 3/4 INCH. HEAVY RAINFALL IN POSSIBLE
WITH ALL STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

YOU ARE URGED TO FREQUENTLY CHECK WITH NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL
TELEVISION OR RADIO STATIONS OR OTHER MEDIA OUTLETS THROUGH TONIGHT
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER
IN NORTHERN LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN.

SWR

MIZ025>036-041-042-LMZ345-LHZ348-122200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
115 PM EDT FRI MAY 12 2000

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS
OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN EFFECTIVE UNTIL 600 PM EDT FRIDAY
EVENING. THIS WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES

IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
     OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...WEXFORD...GRAND TRAVERSE...GLADWIN...
     CRAWFORD...OGEMAW...IOSCO...MISSAUKEE...KALKASKA...MANISTEE...
     ALCONA...ARENAC AND BENZIE

THIS WATCH INCLUDES THE ADJOINING COASTAL WATERS OF AFFECTED
LAKESHORE COUNTIES.

A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES. IF YOU
LIVE IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA...YOU SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY
CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR
LOCAL TELEVISION OR RADIO STATIONS FOR FURTHER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
W+ARNINGS.

SWR

WWUS35 KAPX 111531
SPSAPN
MIZ008-015>036-041-042-131200-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
134 PM EDT FRI MAY 12 2000

...SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTHERN LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN...

DISPATCHERS PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGERS IMMEDIATELY.

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT MAINLY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF M-72. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY SOUTH OF M-72. A
FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABALE OF PRODUCING LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND EVEN A FEW TORNADOS. THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING.

YOU ARE URGED TO FREQUENTLY CHECK WITH NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL
TELEVISION OR RADIO STATIONS OR OTHER MEDIA OUTLETS THROUGH TONIGHT
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER
IN NORTHERN LOWER AND EAS!TERN UPPER MICHIGAN.

FARINA