Severe Thunderstorm Warning 11, NWS Albany, NY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
410 AM EDT WED MAY 10 2000

DISC...RUNNING LATE SO WL BE BRIEF. WORK ZONES ALREADY IN ALBADMALB.

MODELS INDICATE INSTABILITY BY THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE NIL AS
BACKDOOR CDFNT SLIPS SWWD FM NEW ENG AND BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS OFF
SIGNIFICANTLY FROM THE LAST FEW DAYS.  IN ADDITION...CDFNT TO OUR
WEST WILL OCCLUDE AND PREVENT ANY RETURN OF THE UNSTABLE AIR LATER
TODAY OR THIS EVENING...EVEN FOR A BRIEF TIME. SOME INSTABILITY
LEFTOVER THIS MRNG AND SOME ELEVATED INSTABILITY POSSIBLE THIS AFTN
AND EVE. AS A RESULT...WORDED FORECAST AS OCNL SHWRS/TSTMS TODAY...
AND SHWRS LIKELY TNGT WITH A CHC OF TSTMS. NO THREAT FOR SVR TSTMS
IN ANY ZONES.

BACKDOOR CDFNT WL PRODUCE A LARGE TEMP CONTRAST ACRS THE FCST AREA
WITH ERN ZONES AS MUCH AS 20 DEG COOLER THAN WRN ZONES.

MODELS INDICATE MSTR WL MOVE OUT MORE QUICKLY SO WAS MORE OPTIMISTIC
FOR THU AND THU NIGHT. FCST BCMG MSTLY SUNNY FOR THU WITH NO MENTION
OF SHWRS...AND FCST MSTLY CLR FOR THU NIGHT.

.ALY...NONE.

MAGLARAS

NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-VTZ013-014-MAZ001-CTZ001-
101630-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
550 AM EDT WED MAY 10 2000

...COOLER AIR WILL BRING AN END TO THE THREAT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...

COOLER AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BRING
AN END TO THE THREAT OF ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS BY THIS AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...EARLY THIS MORNING...THE AIR MASS OVER THE REGION MAY
STILL BE UNSTABLE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...
ESPECIALLY TO THE SOUTH AND WEST OF ALBANY.

AT 500 AM...TEMPERATURES HAD DIPPED INTO THE UPPER 40S AND 50S
ACROSS SOUTHERN VERMONT...THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION AND THE
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS. THIS COOLER AIR WILL DRIFT SOUTHWARD DURING
THE DAY...AND DISPLACE THE UNSEASONABLY HOT AND HUMID AIR MASS THAT
HAS BEEN WITH US FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS.  AS A RESULT...EVEN THOUGH
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE COMMON THROUGHOUT THE DAY...IT IS
UNLIKELY THAT ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEVERE DURING THIS AFTERNOON
OR TONIGHT.

NEW YORK STATEWIDE POLICE INFORMATION NETWORK
TROOP G
0623AM     WED MAY 10 2000
GMSO WLSR QHQT QTRF APTS WAPT
01682    FILE 28   MONTGOMERY CO SO FONDA NY0280000          MAY 10-00
TO       NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
         COPY SEMO DUTY OFFICER
                   THUNDERSTORM/HIGH WIND REPORT

COUNTY(S) AFFECTED: MONTGOMERY COUNTY

LOCATION (INCLUDING TOWN AND NEAREST ROAD): TN MINDEN - STHWY 5S

DATE AND TIME CONDITION STARTED: 05/10/00
EXTENT OF DAMAGE OR AREAS IN DANGER:

CHECK ONE:
HAIL SIZE REPORTED
( ) - NO HAIL REPORTED    (X) - LESS THAN 1/2 (PEA)
( ) - 1/2 (MARBLE)       ( ) - 1/2 TO 3/4 (PENNY)
( ) - 3/4 TO 1 (DIME)   ( ) - 1.25 (HALF DOLLAR)
( ) - 1.50 (WALNUT)      ( ) - 1.75 (GOLFBALL)
( ) - 2.00 (HENS EGG)    ( ) - 2.50 (TENNISBALL)
( ) - 2.75 (BASEBALL)    ( ) - 3.00 (TEA CUP)
( ) - 4.00 (GRAPEFRUIT)  ( ) - 4.50 (SOFTBALL)
NUMBER KILLED:          NUMBER INJURED:

CHECK ONE OR MORE AS APPLICABLE:
LIGHTNING REPORTED AS (X) - CLOUD TO CLOUD  ( ) - CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING DAMAGE TO:            ( ) - TREES
( ) - POWER/TELCO POLES   ( ) - POWER/TELCO LINES
( ) - COMM. BUILDINGS     ( ) - PRIVATE HOMES
( ) - OUT/FARM BUILDINGS  ( ) - CROPS
NUMBER KILLED:          NUMBER INJURED:

CHECK ONE OR MORE AS APPLICABLE:
HIGH WIND/TSTORM WIND DAMAGE   ( ) - CROPS
( ) - SMALL TREES/SHRUBS  ( ) - LARGE TREES
( ) - COMM. BUILDINGS     ( ) - PRIVATE HOMES
( ) - OUT/FARM BUILDINGS  ( ) - POWER/TELCO POLES
( ) - POWER/TELCO LINES

RELIABLE WIND SPEED REPORTS:     MPH OR    KNOTS
NUMBER KILLED:          NUMBER INJURED:

FLOODING (IF EXTENSIVE, SEND SEPARATE FLOOD MESSAGE FROM MENU)
( ) - STORM SEWER OVERFLOWS, UNDERPASSES, STREET FLOODING
( ) - LOCAL SMALL CREEKS OVERFLOWING
( ) - STREAMS AND LARGE CREEKS FLOODING (COMPLETE REMARKS W/DAMAGE

REMARKS: FT PLAIN REPORTED PEA SIZE HAIL HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDER AND
LIGHTNING

AUTH PHONE : 518 853-5500

AUTH OFFICER JEFFREY HOWE

OPER - CONRAD,TIMOTHY C               0622