Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1999

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 79, NWS Tulsa, OK

April 3, 1999Choctaw County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 3, 1999, 6:00 AM CST for Choctaw County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 45 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Apr 3, 1999, 6:00 AM CST (12:00 UTC)
Expired
Apr 3, 1999, 6:45 AM CST
In force
45 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Choctaw County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 190 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Apr 3, 6:10 AM CSTThunderstorm WindHugo, OKA tree was blown down onto a fence.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 195 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 1999-04-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 841 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 1999-04-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 29 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
841 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-35 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
918 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
101 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
2.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KTUL 031200 RRA
SVRTUL
OKC023-031245-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CST SAT APR 3 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CHOCTAW COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 645 AM CST

* AT 600 AM CST A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST
  OF BOSWELL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...  KENT...
  MESSER...SOPER...BOSWELL AND HUGO

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3394 9599 3382 9583 3416 9523 3420 9563

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 3, 5:00 AM CST, 1 hour earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 3, 5:00 AM CST, 1 hour before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 AM CST SAT APR 3 1999

PROBLEM(S) OF THE DAY:
WILL SEVERE WEATHER RE-DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON?
WHAT AFFECT WILL CONVECTION HAVE ON TEMPERATURES?

ZONES HAVE ALREADY BEEN SENT. SEVERE WEATHER IS ONGOING AS SQUALL
LINE PUSHES OFF TO THE EAST AND OTHER CONVECTION FIRED UP EARLIER IN
NW AR AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE. LOOKS LIKE THE EASTERLY VALLEY WIND
NEAR FSM INCREASED STORM RELATIVE HELICITY AND CAUSED SOME OF THESE
STORMS...PARTICULARLY AROUND CRAWFORD COUNTY TO ROTATE. SQUALL LINE
SHOULD CLEAR THE ERN EDGE OF THE FCST AREA BETWEEN 600 AND 700 AM.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT DRYLINE REMAINS OVER THE TX PNHDL. NGM
AND AVN AGREE IN SURGING THE DRYLINE EAST TODAY. BY
MID-AFTERNOON...DAYTIME HEATING MAY HAVE ALLOWED THE ATMOSPHERE TO
RECOVER FROM ONGOING CONVECTION AND ALLOW TSRA RE-DEVELOPMENT ALONG
THE DRYLINE IN ERN OK. THIS NEW FCST ASSUMES THAT RE-DEVELOPMENT WILL
TAKE PLACE ALONG/EAST OF U.S. HWY 69...OR ROUGHLY FROM MIAMI TO
MCALESTER. ONGOING CONVECTION HAS PRODUCED AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IN ITS
WAKE ALONG I-35. BACKED SURFACE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS OUTFLOW
COULD INCREASE STORM-RELATIVE HELICITIES AND ALLOW ANY STORMS THAT
FORM TO ROTATE. DAY SHIFT WILL WANT TO KEEP TABS ON MESOSCALE
DEVELOPMENTS. MUCH OF THIS REMAINS OPEN TO DEBATE 12 HOURS OUT FROM
THE FACT.

ANY AFTN CONVECTION SHOULD MOVE EAST OF THE FCST AREA BY MID-EVNG. IT
IS UNUSUAL TO SEE A DRYLINE MOVE EAST OF THE OK/AR STATE LINE...BUT
MODELS INDICATE THIS WILL HAPPEN DURG THE EVNG. THIS WILL LEAVE A
CLEAR AND DRY ATMOS BEHIND WITH GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING TONIGHT...SO
WENT BELOW GUIDANCE TEMPS. EASTER MRNG SUNRISE LOOKS CLEAR AND
SEASONABLY COOL...BASICALLY DELIGHTFUL. WITH SUNNY SKIES...HIGH TEMPS
ON EASTER SHOULD WARM UP NICELY. WENT A DEGREE OR TWO OVER GUIDANCE.

HOWEVER...MOISTURE WILL LURK JUST SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER AND SHOULD
MAKE A RAPID RETURN ON SUN NGT AHEAD OF NEXT POWERFUL STORM NOW
DIVING SOUTHWARD THRU NRN CA. STRONG MOISTURE ADVECTION...STRONG
ISENTROPIC LIFT...AND MODERATE ELEVATED CONVECTION SHOULD PRODUCE THE
LIKELIHOOD OF RAPID PCPN DEVELOPMENT SUN NGT. UPR SYS MOVES RAPIDLY
BY ON MON MRNG WITH ANOTHER DRYLINE SURGING ACROSS THE AREA. THIS
SHOULD CLEAR THINGS OUT AGAIN LATE MON AFTN/ERLY MON EVNG.

THE LAST IN A SERIES OF UPR SYSTEMS IS CURRENTLY OVER THE BERING
STRAITS NEAR AK AND WILL MOVE ACRS THE AREA ON WED NGT. ADDED SMALL
POPS TO FCST ON WED...BUT THINK THAT MAIN TSRA THREAT WILL BE ON WED
NGT/THU MRNG.

FCSTID = 22
TUL   74  46  73  57 /  60  10   5  70
FSM   72  47  75  55 /  90  40   0  70
MLC   76  45  74  58 /  70  20   5  70
BVO   73  45  73  55 /  60  10   5  70
FYV   69  45  74  55 /  90  40   0  60
IDB   75  48  74  62 /  80  30   5  70
BYV   68  45  75  54 /  90  40   0  60
MIO   73  44  74  54 /  80  20   0  60
MKO   75  45  74  56 /  80  20   5  70
F10   75  45  73  57 /  70  10   5  70
HHW   75  47  74  61 /  70  30   5  70

.TUL...
OK...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 900 AM CST FOR ZONES
OKZ056>058...OKZ061>063...OKZ067>072...OKZ074.

AR...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 900 AM CST FOR ZONES
ARZ001>002...ARZ010>011...ARZ019>020...ARZ029.

--------------------
EXPERIMENTAL OUTPUT:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS: SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
NGM CONFIDENCE:  7 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
ETA CONFIDENCE:  5 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
AVN CONFIDENCE:  8 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
FCST CONFIDENCE: 8 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 3, 3:52 AM CST, 2 hours 8 minutes before
STORM REPORT CORRECTED                  ...CORRECTED FOR TIME...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA, OK
352 AM CST SAT APR 03 1999

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0344 AM    BIXBY                     OK   .75 INCH HAIL
04/03/99   TULSA

0344 AM    BIXBY                     OK   60 MPH TSTM GUST
04/03/99   TULSA
Local storm report, Apr 3, 4:02 AM CST, 1 hour 58 minutes before
STORM REPORT CORRECTED                   ...CORRECTED FOR TIME...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA, OK
402 AM CST SAT APR 03 1999

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0359 AM    BARTLESVILLE              OK   WIND DAMAGE
04/03/99   WASHINGTON                     WINDOW BLOWN OUT OF A
                                          HOUSE
Local storm report, Apr 3, 4:16 AM CST, 1 hour 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
416 AM CST SAT APR 03 1999

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0306 AM    BRISTOW                   OK   60 MPH TSTM GUST
04/03/99   CREEK
Local storm report, Apr 3, 4:18 AM CST, 1 hour 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
418 AM CST SAT APR 03 1999

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0306 AM    MANNFORD                  OK   60 MPH TSTM GUST
04/03/99   CREEK

0306 AM    MANNFORD                  OK   .75 INCH HAIL
04/03/99   CREEK
Special weather statement, Apr 3, 6:00 AM CST, 0 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041200-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CST SAT APR 3 1999

...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS MORNING...

...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
INTO THE EARLY EVENING OVER FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...

.SYNOPSIS...
AT 600 AM...A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM NEAR
FAYETTEVILLE IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TO HUGO IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXISTED WELL AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT
STRETCHED FROM SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA.  IN
ADDITION...A DRY LINE EXTENDED FROM NEAR THE OKLAHOMA CITY AREA
SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DISCUSSION...
THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA BY 9 AM.  WHILE A SLOW WEAKENING
TREND IS EXPECTED...WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH AND DIME SIZE HAIL WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS.

MEANWHILE...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER NEW MEXICO EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL SWING INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA BY LATE
MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON.  THIS WILL AID IN PUSHING THE COLD
FRONT/DRYLINE COMBINATION EASTWARD INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA.  CLEARING WILL
BE SLOW BEHIND THE INITIAL LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...BUT ENOUGH AFTERNOON
HEATING IS EXPECTED FOR THE ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE.
SURFACE BASED CONVERGENCE ALONG THE COLD FRONT OR DRYLINE...COMBINED
WITH INCREASING INSTABILITY MAY LEAD TO THE REDEVELOPMENT OF
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA.  THIS ACTIVITY
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 69...OR EAST OF A VINITA
TO MUSKOGEE TO MCALESTER LINE.  ANY CONVECTION THAT FORMS WOULD SHIFT
EAST INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING.

WHILE SOME STORM ROTATION IS POSSIBLE...FORECAST WIND PROFILES SUGGEST
THAT STRONG WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

.EMERGENCY AGENCY AND SPOTTER ACTIVATION...
SPOTTERS ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED AGAIN BY THIS AFTERNOON.  SPOTTER
GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES ARE URGED TO LISTEN TO LATER
FORECASTS INCLUDING THE UPDATED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK TO BE ISSUED
AROUND 1 PM.
Special weather statement, Apr 3, 6:00 AM CST, 0 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041200-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CST SAT APR 3 1999

...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS MORNING...

...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
INTO THE EARLY EVENING OVER FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...

.SYNOPSIS...
AT 600 AM...A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM NEAR
FAYETTEVILLE IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TO HUGO IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXISTED WELL AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT
STRETCHED FROM SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA.  IN
ADDITION...A DRY LINE EXTENDED FROM NEAR THE OKLAHOMA CITY AREA
SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DISCUSSION...
THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA BY 9 AM.  WHILE A SLOW WEAKENING
TREND IS EXPECTED...WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH AND DIME SIZE HAIL WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS.

MEANWHILE...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER NEW MEXICO EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL SWING INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA BY LATE
MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON.  THIS WILL AID IN PUSHING THE COLD
FRONT/DRYLINE COMBINATION EASTWARD INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA.  CLEARING WILL
BE SLOW BEHIND THE INITIAL LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...BUT ENOUGH AFTERNOON
HEATING IS EXPECTED FOR THE ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE.
SURFACE BASED CONVERGENCE ALONG THE COLD FRONT OR DRYLINE...COMBINED
WITH INCREASING INSTABILITY MAY LEAD TO THE REDEVELOPMENT OF
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA.  THIS ACTIVITY
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 69...OR EAST OF A VINITA
TO MUSKOGEE TO MCALESTER LINE.  ANY CONVECTION THAT FORMS WOULD SHIFT
EAST INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING.

WHILE SOME STORM ROTATION IS POSSIBLE...FORECAST WIND PROFILES SUGGEST
THAT STRONG WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

.EMERGENCY AGENCY AND SPOTTER ACTIVATION...
SPOTTERS ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED AGAIN BY THIS AFTERNOON.  SPOTTER
GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES ARE URGED TO LISTEN TO LATER
FORECASTS INCLUDING THE UPDATED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK TO BE ISSUED
AROUND 1 PM.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 3, 2:32 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Osage, Pawnee58 min
Apr 3, 3:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOkfuskee, Okmulgee, Tulsa49 min
Apr 3, 3:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAWashington49 min
Apr 3, 3:32 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage28 min
Apr 3, 3:47 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMuskogee, Wagoner43 min
Apr 3, 3:47 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSARogers43 min
Apr 3, 4:04 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSANowata, Washington41 min
Apr 3, 4:23 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Mayes37 min
Apr 3, 4:23 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Muskogee, Wagoner37 min
Apr 3, 4:23 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh37 min
Apr 3, 4:47 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSADelaware, Ottawa58 min
Apr 3, 5:13 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALatimer62 min
Apr 3, 6:12 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningTSAPushmataha3 hr
Apr 3, 6:59 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningTSALatimer, LeFlore3 hr
Apr 3, 7:42 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore48 min
Apr 3, 10:06 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOkfuskee39 min
Apr 3, 10:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAPittsburg, Pushmataha65 min
Apr 3, 11:06 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALatimer, Pushmataha39 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 1999Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.