Flash Flood Warning 25, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
752 PM CDT MON MAY 24 1999

CONVECTION COMING TOGETHER WRN AREAS AS TSTMS THAT INITIATED IN
MEXICAN MTNS DRIFTING E/NE WITH MEAN STEERING FLOW. EXPECT TSTMS TO
INCREASE IN COVERAGE...ESPECIALLY W OF PECOS RIVER...AS WELL DEFINED
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY NEARING THE PECOS RIVER LIKELY TO ENHANCE ONGOING
CONVECTION. OTHERWISE N OF THE BOUNDARY TEMPS HAVE COOLED AND
00Z KMAF SOUNDING SHOWING CAPES 1400 J/KG BUT STILL A CAP TO
OVERCOME. ATTM WOULD OPT TO MAINTAIN POPS N/E OF BOUNDARY WITH
UPDATES POSSIBLY LATER.

GPM

NMZ027>029-TXZ045>048-050>052-057>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-250000-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND-ODESSA TX
232 PM CDT MON MAY 24 1999

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN WEST TEXAS:

ANDREWS   CULBERSON  GLASSCOCK   MARTIN    REAGAN   UPTON
BORDEN    DAWSON     HOWARD      MIDLAND   REEVES   WARD
BREWSTER  ECTOR      JEFF DAVIS  PECOS     SCURRY   WINKLER
CRANE     GAINES     LOVING      PRESIDIO  TERRELL

AND IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO:

EDDY      LEA

SYNOPSIS:
DAYTIME HEATING ACTING ON A MOIST AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS
EVENING... SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE.  SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED AROUND NOON TODAY OVER THE NORTHERN PERMIAN
BASIN WHERE AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM LAST NIGHTS STORMS PROVIDED
THE NEEDED LIFT.

STORMS THAT DEVELOP EAST OF A KERMIT TO FORT STOCKTON LINE ARE
EXPECTED TO BE SINGLE TO MULTICELL STORMS THAT ARE SLOW MOVING AND
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING AND
STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS AND HAIL UP TO ABOUT NICKEL SIZE.

STORMS THAT DEVELOP WEST OF A WINK TO FORT STOCKTON LINE ARE MORE
LIKELY TO BE STRONGER AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO GOLFBALL SIZE
AND DAMAGING WIND. A FEW ROTATING SUPERCELLS MAY ALSO DEVELOP THAT
COULD PRODUCE ISOLATED TORNADOES.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS
EXTREME SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.

FOR THE WEST CENTRAL TEXAS OUTLOOK SEE THE PRODUCT LBBSPSSJT ISSUED
BY NWS SAN ANGELO (WWUS35 KSJT).

NMZ027>029-TXZ045>048-050>052-057>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-250000-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND-ODESSA TX
232 PM CDT MON MAY 24 1999

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN WEST TEXAS:

ANDREWS   CULBERSON  GLASSCOCK   MARTIN    REAGAN   UPTON
BORDEN    DAWSON     HOWARD      MIDLAND   REEVES   WARD
BREWSTER  ECTOR      JEFF DAVIS  PECOS     SCURRY   WINKLER
CRANE     GAINES     LOVING      PRESIDIO  TERRELL

AND IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO:

EDDY      LEA

SYNOPSIS:
DAYTIME HEATING ACTING ON A MOIST AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS
EVENING... SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE.  SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED AROUND NOON TODAY OVER THE NORTHERN PERMIAN
BASIN WHERE AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM LAST NIGHTS STORMS PROVIDED
THE NEEDED LIFT.

STORMS THAT DEVELOP EAST OF A KERMIT TO FORT STOCKTON LINE ARE
EXPECTED TO BE SINGLE TO MULTICELL STORMS THAT ARE SLOW MOVING AND
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING AND
STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS AND HAIL UP TO ABOUT NICKEL SIZE.

STORMS THAT DEVELOP WEST OF A WINK TO FORT STOCKTON LINE ARE MORE
LIKELY TO BE STRONGER AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO GOLFBALL SIZE
AND DAMAGING WIND. A FEW ROTATING SUPERCELLS MAY ALSO DEVELOP THAT
COULD PRODUCE ISOLATED TORNADOES.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS
EXTREME SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.

FOR THE WEST CENTRAL TEXAS OUTLOOK SEE THE PRODUCT LBBSPSSJT ISSUED
BY NWS SAN ANGELO (WWUS35 KSJT).