Severe Thunderstorm Warning 35, NWS Lubbock, TX

TXZ021>044-012000-

AREA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1141 AM CDT SAT MAY 1 1999

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTH
PLAINS...LOW ROLLING PLAINS AND EXTREME SOUTHERN PANHANDLE FOR
THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT.

LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT. LATE THIS MORNING...A DRYLINE EXTENDED FROM THE
EASTERN PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO SOUTH INTO THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. AS
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO NORTHERN NEW MEXICO THIS
EVENING...THE DRYLINE SHOULD PUSH INTO THE WESTERN SOUTH PLAINS.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE INTO THE WESTERN SOUTH PLAINS BY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL SHIFT SLOWLY
EAST DURING THE NIGHT HOURS WITH THE MAIN THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER
AFTER MIDNIGHT BEING ALONG AND EAST OF THE CAPROCK.

LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.
HOWEVER...WIND PROFILES WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES...
MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTH PLAINS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE
STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS WILL RANGE FROM ONE TO TWO INCHES PER
HOUR BRINGING THE THREAT OF LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

CBD