Flash Flood Warning 32, NWS Louisville, KY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY
325 PM EDT MON JUN 28 1999

MAJOR FORECAST PROBLEM DEALING WITH HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING
AT LEAST THROUGH THE EARLY NIGHT HOURS...THEN OVERNITE AND TUESDAY
HOW TO HANDLE THE DIMINISHING AND ENDING OF PCPN NW TO SE ACRS FA
AS WEAK COLD FRONT BRINGS TEMP RELIEF...BEFORE MORE HEAT AND HUMIDITY
RETURN LATER THIS WEEK.

CONTS TO LOOK LIKE MAIN PCPN THREAT WILL BE WELL AHEAD OF CDFNT
WI TSTM COMPLEX MVG ACRS FA DURG LATE AFTN AND EARLY NITE...HWVR WI
AMPLE RH IN PLACE BEHIND THIS SYS...WILL STILL GO WI 50 PCT POPS OR HIER
AFT MIDNIGHT...AND MTN EARLY MRNG RW ERN ACRS SRN PTNS OF FA.

NEW FWC POPS APEAR TO BE MUCH TOO LOW FOR TNGHT...OTHRW NO MJR PROBS
WI REST OF FWC POP GUID...TEMP TREND IN FWC LUK OK TOO.

.SDF...NONE.

KYZ035>037-039>043-046>049-054>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-290000-

CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1145 AM EDT MON JUN 28 1999

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
MUCH OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY ROUGHLY ALONG AND WEST OF A NORTH SOUTH
LINE THROUGH FRANKFORT KENTUCKY.

THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS FROM DAMAGING WINDS. A THUNDERSTORM
COMPLEX MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST FROM WESTERN MISSOURI IS EXPECTED TO
REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER WESTERN KENTUCKY AND THEN SPREAD
EASTWARD.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OR THE MEDIA FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION.
SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED LATER TODAY.

KYZ035>037-039>043-046>049-054>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-290000-

CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1145 AM EDT MON JUN 28 1999

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
MUCH OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY ROUGHLY ALONG AND WEST OF A NORTH SOUTH
LINE THROUGH FRANKFORT KENTUCKY.

THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS FROM DAMAGING WINDS. A THUNDERSTORM
COMPLEX MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST FROM WESTERN MISSOURI IS EXPECTED TO
REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER WESTERN KENTUCKY AND THEN SPREAD
EASTWARD.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FROM THE NATIONAVL WEATHER SERVICE
OR THE MEDIA FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION.
SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED LATER TODAY.