Severe Thunderstorm Warning 10, NWS Lake Charles, LA

SOUTHWEST...CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
236 PM CST FRI JAN 22 1999

SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO PUSH ACROSS EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOME REPORTS OF HAIL/WIND DAMAGE AND
TORNADOES.

88-D SHOWING LEWP DEVELOPING OVER ACADIA AND ST. LANDRY PARISHES.
SEVERAL ROTATING CELLS INDICATED...CLOSELY MONITORING SITUATION. PER
SPC...NEW TOR WW OVER EXTREME SE PARISHES. VWP AT LCH SHOWING SOME
LLVL DRYING TAKING PLACE AS WINDS ARE WEST AROUND 20 KT AT 1K. LOOKING
AT BIG PICTURE...IR/WV LOOP SHOWS UPPER LOW OVER CENTRAL TX MOVING
SLOWLY EASTWARD ATTM. SFC ANALYSIS PLACES COLD FRONT IN CENTRAL TX
WITH PREFRONTAL TROF WELL IN ADVANCE KICKING OFF SVR WX OVER BAYOU
STATE. DEWPOINTS IN EAST TX DROPPING INTO UPPER 30S TO NR 50...SO SOME
LLVL DRYING TAKING PLACE AS WELL BEHIND PREFRONTAL TROUGH.  VIS STLT
SHOWS CLEARING SKIES OVER SE TX WITH WRAPAROUND CLDS COVERING ALL
EXTREME S/SE TX.

FINALLY...THE FCST. ETA/AVN/NGM DIFFER SLIGHTLY IN SOLNS...BUT WILL
GO WITH ETA SOLN. SHORTWAVE WILL EJECT NE OUT OF TX INTO NE STATES BY
END OF PD WITH HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING INTO MS VALLEY. NEXT SHORT
WAVE GETS CARVED OUT OVER NW STATES AS MORE ENERGY DIVES DOWN INTO E
PAC. BACK HOME THOUGH...ETA KEEPS MSTR FIELDS HIGHER THAN NGM. LIKE
THIS SOLN SINCE RESIDUAL LLVL MSTR AND WRAPAROUND CLDS SHOULD MOVE
ACROSS FA TONIGHT AS SFC LOW DEEPENS OVER N LA INTO MS. CF SHOULD TREK
ACROSS FA BEGINNING AROUND 03Z IN NORTHWEST COUNTIES AND EXIT SE
PARISHES BY 09Z. IN 2ND PERIOD...MCLDY SKIES EXPECT OVER CENTRAL LA TO
PCLDY SKIES OVER REMAINDER WITH SLIGHT CLEARING LATE IN THE DAY. 3RD
PERIOD...SHOULD SEE ENOUGH DRYING IN LOW/MID LVLS FOR SKIES TO FINALLY
CLEAR.

FFA CAN BE DROPPED FOR CENTRAL LA AS CONVECTION HAS PUSHED INTO MS
WITH LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED.

WENT CLOSE TO MOS NUMBERS WITH A FEW ADJUSTMENTS.

13

LCH BU 046 058/040 064 000
LFT BU 047 059/040 064 000
AEX EU 045 054/037 065 000
BPT BU 045 060/041 066 000

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1103 AM CST FRI JAN 22 1999

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1102 AM    NORTH OF LEESVILLE       LA      1.75 INCH HAIL
01/22/99   VERNON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
222 PM CST FRI JAN 22 1999

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

200 PM     OPELOUSAS                LA      0.75 INCH HAIL
01/22/99   ST LANDRY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
225 PM CST FRI JAN 22 1999

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

105 PM     ESTHERWOOD               LA      0.75 INCH HAIL
01/22/99   ACADIA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
235 PM CST FRI JAN 22 1999

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1135 AM    DEVILLE                 LA      0.88 INCH HAIL
01/22/99   RAPIDES

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