Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1999

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 76, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

September 16, 1999Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 16, 1999, 2:54 PM MST for Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 16, 1999, 2:54 PM MST (21:54 UTC)
Expired
Sep 16, 1999, 3:40 PM MST
In force
46 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Whole counties

County Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 16, 12:00 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 98 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 1999-09-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 563 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 1999-09-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 24 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
563 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-49 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1072 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

The text of this product is not in the archive. The NWS text archive before 2002 is incomplete.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 16, 2:30 PM MST, 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 16, 2:30 PM MST, 24 minutes before
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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 16, 9:30 AM MST, 5 hours 24 minutes before
AZZ004>018-037>040-162000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
930 AM MST THU SEP 16 1999

...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY ACROSS NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA TODAY...

...SPOTTER REPORTS REQUESTED...

DISCUSSION...ANOTHER WEAK TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA
TODAY. THE AIR MASS OVER THE NORTHLAND REMAINS UNSTABLE ALONG THE
KAIBAB AND COCONINO PLATEAUS...THE WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM AND THE
NORTHERN HALF OF YAVAPAI COUNTY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN DEVELOPING BY MID MORNING IN THESE AREAS.
THE FLOW ALOFT TODAY IS SOMEWHAT SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED STORMS...
ESPECIALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM PAGE TO FLAGSTAFF TO PRESCOTT.
HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR IN SOME OF THE
STRONGER STORMS. MOST OF THE STORM ACTIVITY WILL BE TAPERING OFF OR
MOVING INTO EASTERN ARIZONA...AND WEAKENING...LATER THIS EVENING.

PEREZ
Special weather statement, Sep 16, 9:30 AM MST, 5 hours 24 minutes before
AZZ004>018-037>040-162000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
930 AM MST THU SEP 16 1999

...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY ACROSS NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA TODAY...

...SPOTTER REPORTS REQUESTED...

DISCUSSION...ANOTHER WEAK TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA
TODAY. THE AIR MASS OVER THE NORTHLAND REMAINS UNSTABLE ALONG THE
KAIBAB AND COCONINO PLATEAUS...THE WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM AND THE
NORTHERN HALF OF YAVAPAI COUNTY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN DEVELOPING BY MID MORNING IN THESE AREAS.
THE FLOW ALOFT TODAY IS SOMEWHAT SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED STORMS...
ESPECIALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM PAGE TO FLAGSTAFF TO PRESCOTT.
HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR IN SOME OF THE
STRONGER STORMS. MOST OF THE STORM ACTIVITY WILL BE TAPERING OFF OR
MOVING INTO EASTERN ARIZONA...AND WEAKENING...LATER THIS EVENING.

PEREZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 15, 5:12 PM MSTTornado WarningFGZYavapai33 min
Sep 15, 5:42 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai33 min
Sep 16, 11:15 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino30 min
Sep 16, 11:33 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino47 min
Sep 16, 12:19 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai41 min
Sep 16, 12:35 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino45 min
Sep 16, 12:42 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino48 min
Sep 16, 1:17 PM MSTTornado WarningFGZCoconino33 min
Sep 16, 1:59 PM MSTTornado WarningFGZCoconino16 min
Sep 16, 2:24 PM MSTTornado WarningFGZCoconino11 min
Sep 16, 2:30 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZNavajo50 min
Sep 16, 4:16 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai49 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 1999Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1999

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.