Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1998

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 265, NWS Tulsa, OK

June 8, 1998Mayes County, Rogers County, Wagoner County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 8, 1998, 7:13 AM CDT for Mayes County, Rogers County, Wagoner County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 47 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 8, 1998, 7:13 AM CDT (12:13 UTC)
Expired
Jun 8, 1998, 8:00 AM CDT
In force
47 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Whole counties

Counties Mayes County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 11 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 8, 7:20 AM CDTHail 1Inola, OK
Jun 8, 7:30 AM CDTHail 0.75Chouteau, OK

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 166 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 1998-06-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 1998-06-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 421 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1128 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
421 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
600 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

147 
WUUS54 KTSA 081212 RRA
SVRTUL
OKC097-131-145-081300-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
713 AM CDT MON JUN 8 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

  SOUTHERN MAYES COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA
  SOUTHEASTERN ROGERS COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA
  NORTHERN WAGONER COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 800 AM CDT

* AT 710 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM JUST EAST OF ONETA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45
  MILES AN HOUR.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...
  INOLA
  CHOUTEAU

  HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA.



BE ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS AS STORMS APPROACH.

WHEN THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH...TAKE COVER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING.
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. TO PROTECT YOURSELF FROM LIGHTNING STAY OFF
THE PHONE AND DONT USE HAND HELD ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES. MOTORISTS
SHOULD NEVER DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 8, 3:55 AM CDT, 3 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 8, 3:55 AM CDT, 3 hours 18 minutes before
FPUS3 KTUL 080855
AFDTUL
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
355 AM CDT MON JUN 8 1998

PROBLEM(S) OF THE DAY:
WILL THERE BE SEVERE CONVECTION?
WILL THE CONVECTION BE SCATTERED OR NUMEROUS?

MDTLY STG S/W MOVING ACROSS NW KS IS THE FOCUS OF ATTENTION. BIG
QUESTION IS WHETHER TSRA WILL DEVELOP IN WAA REGION BEFORE STG LLJ
GOES AWAY LATER TODAY. MODELS STILL INDICATING COMMA TAIL SECTOR
SHOULD BE RIGHT OVER ERN OK AROUND 12Z SPREADING INTO AR TODAY. SO
FAR ONLY STORMS ARE IN NRN KS AND XTRM SW OK/NW TX. IF STORMS DO NOT
DEVELOP OR MOVE INTO THE AREA BY MIDDAY...SUBJECTIVE EXPERIENCE IS
THAT NEW STORM INITIATION WILL BE CLOSER TO SFC BOUNDARIES...WARM
FRONT IN NE AND DRY LINE IN WRN TX. WITH LACK OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS
POINT AND NO STG SFC BOUNDARIES NEARBY...GOING BELOW GUIDANCE FOR
POPS TODAY. HAVE ALSO GONE ABOVE FWC/FAN TEMPS FOR SAME REASONS.

IF STORMS CAN DEVELOP TODAY...SHOULD CONTINUE INTO ERN ZONES THIS
EVENING. BY LATE TONIGHT...S/W SHOULD BE WELL TO THE NE AND TAKING
WHAT LIFT AND WAA IT HAD WITH IT. SFC BOUNDARIES WILL STILL BE NOT
TOO FAR AWAY AND ALTOUGH H5 AND H8 FLOW WILL BE WEAKER...THERE IS
ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND NEARBY BOUNDARIES TO MAINTAIN SLT CHC POPS
FOR THE 3RD AND 4TH PERIODS...INCLUDING EXTENDED FOR THAT MATTER.

NEW MRF STILL SHOWS H5 FLOW BECOMING WSWLY BY THE WEEKEND. MAY BE AN
ACTIVE SVR PERIOD FOR THE TX PANHANDLE WITH A STRAY STORM OR TWO
ROLLING INTO AREAS FURTHER EAST.

FCSTID = 26
TUL   82  68  88  71 /  50  20  20  20
FSM   80  65  89  67 /  40  30  20  20
MLC   82  68  87  70 /  40  30  20  20
BVO   80  67  89  69 /  50  20  10  20
FYV   78  65  84  65 /  40  30  20  20
IDB   85  66  87  67 /  30  30  20  20
BYV   78  63  83  64 /  40  30  20  20
MIO   80  67  87  68 /  40  30  20  20
MKO   81  69  87  70 /  50  30  20  20
F10   81  68  88  71 /  50  20  20  20
HHW   85  68  87  70 /  30  30  20  20

.TUL...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

---------------------
EXPERIMENTAL OUTPUT:

GENERAL WEATHER EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS: CONVECTIVE PRECIP
HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS: SLIGHT CHANCE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
NGM CONFIDENCE:  6 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
ETA CONFIDENCE:  6 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
AVN CONFIDENCE:  5 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10
FCST CONFIDENCE: 7 ON A SCALE OF 0 TO 10

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 8, 6:00 AM CDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-091200-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CDT MON JUN 8 1998

A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT IN NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TO THE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS TO THE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.

STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WERE TRANSPORTING MOISTURE RAPIDLY
NORTH INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING.
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS KANSAS HAS RESULTED IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN KANSAS AND
ALSO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP AND INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING AS THE UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES MOVING EAST.

SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY REMAINS EXTREMELY LIMITED EARLY THIS MORNING
BUT ELEVATED INSTABILITY IS BECOMING FAIRLY STRONG. THUS SOME OF THE
STORMS THIS MORNING MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...MAINLY
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40.

SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY WILL BECOME GREATER LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS
TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S AND DEWPOINTS RISE
THROUGH THE 60S. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY ALONG ANY RESIDUAL BOUNDARIES LEFT OVER BY THE MORNING
SHOWERS AND STORMS. IF STORMS CAN DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
THIS EVENING...THEY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY EVEN TORNADOES GIVEN THE FAVORABLE WIND
PROFILES.

SINCE NO ACTUAL FRONTAL BOUNDARIES WILL BE IN THE AREA TONIGHT AND
SINCE THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE AREA...
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOULD
WEAKEN AFTER 10 PM.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS AND STORM SPOTTER GROUPS IN EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY
AND TONIGHT AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION.

AN UPDATED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON..
Special weather statement, Jun 8, 6:00 AM CDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-091200-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CDT MON JUN 8 1998

A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT IN NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TO THE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS TO THE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.

STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WERE TRANSPORTING MOISTURE RAPIDLY
NORTH INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING.
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS KANSAS HAS RESULTED IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN KANSAS AND
ALSO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP AND INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING AS THE UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES MOVING EAST.

SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY REMAINS EXTREMELY LIMITED EARLY THIS MORNING
BUT ELEVATED INSTABILITY IS BECOMING FAIRLY STRONG. THUS SOME OF THE
STORMS THIS MORNING MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...MAINLY
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40.

SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY WILL BECOME GREATER LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS
TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S AND DEWPOINTS RISE
THROUGH THE 60S. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON
ESPECIALLY ALONG ANY RESIDUAL BOUNDARIES LEFT OVER BY THE MORNING
SHOWERS AND STORMS. IF STORMS CAN DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
THIS EVENING...THEY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY EVEN TORNADOES GIVEN THE FAVORABLE WIND
PROFILES.

SINCE NO ACTUAL FRONTAL BOUNDARIES WILL BE IN THE AREA TONIGHT AND
SINCE THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE AREA...
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOULD
WEAKEN AFTER 10 PM.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS AND STORM SPOTTER GROUPS IN EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY
AND TONIGHT AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION.

AN UPDATED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON..

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 7, 9:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage29 min
Jun 8, 7:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSARogers, Tulsa43 min
Jun 8, 9:49 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek41 min
Jun 8, 9:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair32 min
Jun 8, 10:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOkfuskee38 min
Jun 8, 10:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSATulsa45 min
Jun 8, 10:49 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAWagoner41 min
Jun 8, 10:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMuskogee, Sequoyah38 min
Jun 8, 10:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh38 min
Jun 8, 5:20 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAOsage70 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 1998Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.