Alert archive / Florida / Flash Flood Warnings in 1998

Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

March 19, 1998Sarasota County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this flash flood warning at Mar 19, 1998, 11:04 PM EST for Sarasota County, Florida. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 19, 1998, 11:04 PM EST (04:04 UTC)
Expired
Mar 20, 1998, 5:05 AM EST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Whole counties

County Sarasota County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 00:00Z, 4.1 hours before the alert went out and 58 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 00:00Z on 1998-03-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 69 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 00:00Z on 1998-03-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 111 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
69 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-132 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
501 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
111 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
242 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KTBW 200405
FFWTBW
FLC115-201005-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1104 PM EST THU MAR 19 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A...FLOOD WARNING
EFFECTIVE UNTIL 505 AM EST FOR

...PHILIPPE CREEK IN SARASOTA COUNTY...

RAPIDLY RISING WATERS ALONG PHILIPPE CREEK HAS CAUSED A VOLUNTARY
EVACUATION OF HOMES ALONG GREER AND GEHARDT FACING THE CREEK IN
SARASOTA COUNTY. WHILE THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS ENDED FOR THE
EVENING...THE CREEK LEVELS SHOULD CONTINUE TO RISE OVERNIGHT...
POTENTIALLY FLOODING UP TO 30 HOMES. ANY ADDITIONAL SHOWERS THAT DO
FALL WILL ONLY AGGRAVATE THE PROBLEM.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. IF YOU
ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. RESIDENTS
LIVING IN AREAS THAT FLOOD EASILY OR ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD
TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS
BY FOOT OR BY AUTO.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODS. MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH
WATER
WHICH COVERS THE ROAD. LESS THAN TWO FEET OF WATER WILL STALL CARS
AND MAKE THEM FLOAT.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Mar 19, 7:25 PM EST, 3 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 19, 7:25 PM EST, 3 hours 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY-RUSKIN, FL
725 PM EST THU MAR 19 1998

88D STILL VERY ACTIVE WITH NEARLY CONTINUOUS LINE OF SHWS/TSTMS
FORMING A LARGE INVERTED L-SHAPE PATTERN FROM POLK COUNTY...WEST
TO TPA AREA...THEN SW INTO THE GULF. THIS AREA HAS NOT BEEN PRODUCING
ANY SVR WX...BUT 88D ESTIMATED 1 HR RAINFALL AMTS IN THIS AREA HAVE
BEEN 1-1.5 INCHES. THUS...EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL AND SOME MINOR FLOODING
BIGGEST PROBLEM TONIGHT. WILL CHANGE ZFP WORDING TO ADD MENTION OF HEAVY
RAINFALL...ESPEC GIVEN THE CURRENT FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT.

NEXT PROBLEM IS WHETHER OR NOT THERE WILL BE A BREAK IN THE ACTION TONIGHT.
CURRENTLY...PASCO NORTH IS RELATIVELY RAIN-FREE...BUT NEXT CONVECTIVE
COMPLEX IN THE NORTHEAST GULF MAY MOVE INTO THE N FA VERY LATE TONIGHT OR
EARLY FRI. REST OF FA LIKELY TO RAIN THROUGH AT LEAST MIDNIGHT...THEN
THERE COULD BE A BIT OF A LET UP BEFORE ANOTHER BATCH AHEAD OF COLD
FRONT ON FRI. WITH UPR JET AND MODERATE INSTABILITY AROUND TONIGHT THROUGH
FRI...CONFIDENCE OF WHETHER THERE WILL BE A BREAK IN RAINFALL TONIGHT IS
PRETTY LOW. ZONES WILL BE UPDATED TO ADD AT LEAST MENTION OF HEAVY RAINFALL
AND MAYBE TWEAK POPS A LITTLE. WILL HOLD OFF AN HOUR OR SO TO ESTABLISH
A TREND...FOR WHAT ITS WORTH.

MORALES

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 20, 11:14 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWManatee51 min
Mar 20, 12:54 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWManatee, Sarasota61 min
Mar 20, 1:54 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHardee, Highlands, Polk46 min
Mar 20, 2:45 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHighlands35 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Florida, 1998Every flash flood warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.