Flash Flood Warning 307, NWS Springfield, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...EVENING UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
905 PM CDT MON OCT 5 1998

UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATING POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES:
300 AND 500 MB TROUGH AXES STILL OFF TO THE WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA
WITH RIGHT REAR QUAD OF 110 KT 300 MB JET OVERHEAD. NEGATIVES TO
ANOTHER ROUND OF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL INCLUDE: SURFACE FRONT HAS MOVED
EAST OF SPRINGFIELD AND SHOULD BE THE WESTERN LIMIT OF THE HEAVIEST
RAIN...SQUALL LINE FROM NORTHERN TEXAS TO NORTHERN ARKANSAS APPEARS
TO HAVE CUT OFF THE FEED OF MOISTURE TO THE POST FRONTAL RAIN.

WILL DO THE FOLLOWING: 1) KEEP THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH INTACT
OVERNIGHT. 2) RE-ISSUE THE FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI BEFORE 10 PM DUE TO THE ONGOING
FLOODING AND WAVE OF RAIN MOVING INTO THAT AREA 3) ISSUE A SMALL
STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA TO ADDRESS MINOR
FLOODING THAT IS EXPECTED.

AT FIRST GLANCE...LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE ZONES LOOK TO BE TOO COOL
WITH THE PERSISTENT LOW CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL RAIN. BUT...WINDS HAVE
SHIFTED TO THE NORTH AND COOLER AIR WILL BE ALLOWED TO FILTER INTO
THE REGION SHOULD THE RAIN HOLD OFF. WILL MAKE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE
ZONE WORDING.

SUTTON

MOZ058-070>071-081>083-090>092-094>098-101>106-061300-

SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
945 PM CDT MON OCT 5 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI:

BARRY             CHRISTIAN         DENT              DOUGLAS
GREENE            HOWELL            LACLEDE           LAWRENCE
MARIES            MCDONALD          OREGON            OZARK
PHELPS            PULASKI           SHANNON           STONE
TANEY             TEXAS             WEBSTER           WRIGHT

INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF...

ROLLA             LEBANON           SPRINGFIELD       BRANSON
WEST PLAINS       FORT LEONARD WOOD SALEM             MARSHFIELD
OZARK

A LARGE AREA OF RAIN CONTINUED ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSOURI THIS EVENING. RADAR ESTIMATED THAT BETWEEN ONE AND TWO
INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN IN THE ADVISORY AREA SINCE LATE MONDAY
AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH FLOODING HAD NOT YET BEEN REPORTED THE PERSISTENT
RAIN MAY CAUSE SMALL RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE OUT OF THEIR BANKS
OVERNIGHT...AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS ADJACENT TO THESE STREAMS MAY FLOOD.

THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT FLASH FLOODING MAY DEVELOP OVERNIGHT IF
HEAVY RAINFALL IN ARKANSAS MOVES NORTH. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUED
IN EFFECT FOR THE ADVISORY AREA OVERNIGHT AND RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO
MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND
SHOULD FLASH FLOODING DEVELOP OVERNIGHT.

SUTTON

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-060545-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1000 PM CDT MON OCT 5 1998

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUED IN EFFECT OVERNIGHT FOR ALL OF
SOUTHWEST...SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MISSOURI ALONG WITH EXTREME
SOUTHEAST KANSAS...
...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUED IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS UNTIL 400 AM...
...SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUED IN EFFECT OVERNIGHT FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...

AT 951 PM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR IN SPRINGFIELD CONTINUED
TO INDICATE AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL...
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI. THE RAIN AREA WAS MOVING SLOWLY
TO THE EAST...RESULTING IN RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IN
AN HOURS TIME.

A CHECK OF LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES INDICATED THAT FLOODING
CONTINUED IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL LATE SUNDAY EVENING
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ALSO...THE LARGER RIVERS IN THIS REGION HAD
RISEN OUT OF THEIR BANKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS ADJACENT TO THESE
RIVERS HAD FLOODED AS WELL. FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUED IN EFFECT
UNTIL 400 AM FOR C0UNTIES ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A NEOSHO TO
GREENFIELD...BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...OSAGE BEACH AND TUSCUMBIA LINE.

ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS SINCE THIS MORNING WERE GENERALLY IN THE ONE TO
THREE INCH RANGE AND FLOODING HAD NOT YET DEVELOPED. SMALLER RIVERS
AND STREAMS MAY HOWEVER EXPERIENCE FLOODING OVERNIGHT AND A SMALL
STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT ALONG AND SOUTH OF A PINEVILLE TO
MT. VERNON...SPRINGFIELD AND ROLLA LINE. A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM
CENTRAL ARKANSAS TO NORTHEAST TEXAS COULD MOVE INTO THE ADVISORY AREA
AND CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO DEVELOP AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUED
OVERNIGHT.

BECAUSE OF THE HILLY TERRAIN ACROSS THE OZARKS...THERE ARE HUNDREDS
OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN.
DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES.
BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL WHEN TRAVELLING AT NIGHT.  IT IS OFTEN
DIFFICULT TO SEE FLOODED LOW WATER CROSSINGS...ESPECIALLY DURING
HEAVY RAIN AND FOG.  DON'T RISK YOUR LIFE...TURN AROUND AND SEEK AN
ALTERNATE ROUTE IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED.

SUTTON

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-060545-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1000 PM CDT MON OCT 5 1998

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUED IN EFFECT OVERNIGHT FOR ALL OF
SOUTHWEST...SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MISSOURI ALONG WITH EXTREME
SOUTHEAST KANSAS...
...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUED IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS UNTIL 400 AM...
...SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUED IN EFFECT OVERNIGHT FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...

AT 951 PM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR IN SPRINGFIELD CONTINUED
TO INDICATE AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL...
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI. THE RAIN AREA WAS MOVING SLOWLY
TO THE EAST...RESULTING IN RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IN
AN HOURS TIME.

A CHECK OF LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES INDICATED THAT FLOODING
CONTINUED IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL LATE SUNDAY EVENING
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ALSO...THE LARGER RIVERS IN THIS REGION HAD
RISEN OUT OF THEIR BANKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS ADJACENT TO THESE
RIVERS HAD FLOODED AS WELL. FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUED IN EFFECT
UNTIL 400 AM FOR C0UNTIES ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A NEOSHO TO
GREENFIELD...BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...OSAGE BEACH AND TUSCUMBIA LINE.

ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS SINCE THIS MORNING WERE GENERALLY IN THE ONE TO
THREE INCH RANGE AND FLOODING HAD NOT YET DEVELOPED. SMALLER RIVERS
AND STREAMS MAY HOWEVER EXPERIENCE FLOODING OVERNIGHT AND A SMALL
STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT ALONG AND SOUTH OF A PINEVILLE TO
MT. VERNON...SPRINGFIELD AND ROLLA LINE. A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM
CENTRAL ARKANSAS TO NORTHEAST TEXAS COULD MOVE INTO THE ADVISORY AREA
AND CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO DEVELOP AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUED
OVERNIGHT.

BECAUSE OF THE HILLY TERRAIN ACROSS THE OZARKS...THERE ARE HUNDREDS
OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN.
DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES.
BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL WHEN TRAVELLING AT NIGHT.  IT IS OFTEN
DIFFICULT TO SEE FLOODED LOW WATER CROSSINGS...ESPECIALLY DURING
HEAVY RAIN AND FOG.  DON'T RISK YOUR LIFE...TURN AROUND AND SEEK AN
ALTERNATE ROUTE IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED.

SUTTON

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-060745-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1125 PM CDT MON OCT 5 1998

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT OVERNIGHT FOR SOUTHWEST...SOUTH
CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MISSOURI ALONG WITH EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS...
...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUED IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS UNTIL 400 AM...
...SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUED IN EFFECT OVERNIGHT FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...

AT 1122 PM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI. THE RAIN AREA WAS MOVING SLOWLY TO THE EAST RESULTING IN
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IN AN HOURS TIME...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH AND EAST OF WEST PLAINS.

LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES INDICATED THAT FLOODING CONTINUED IN AREAS
THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL LATE SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. ALSO...LARGER RIVERS IN THE REGION HAD RISEN OUT OF THEIR
BANKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS ADJACENT TO THESE RIVERS HAD FLOODED AS
WELL. FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS WERE IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM FOR C0UNTIES
ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A NEOSHO TO GREENFIELD...BOLIVAR...BUFFALO
...OSAGE BEACH AND TUSCUMBIA LINE.

ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS SINCE THIS MORNING WERE GENERALLY IN THE ONE TO
THREE INCH RANGE AND FLOODING HAD NOT YET DEVELOPED. SMALLER RIVERS
AND STREAMS MAY HOWEVER EXPERIENCE FLOODING OVERNIGHT AND A SMALL
STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT ALONG AND SOUTH OF A PINEVILLE TO
MT. VERNON...SPRINGFIELD AND ROLLA LINE. THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL
ARKANSAS TO NORTHEAST TEXAS COULD MOVE INTO THE ADVISORY AREA AND
CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO DEVELOP. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUED
OVERNIGHT IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

BECAUSE OF THE HILLY TERRAIN ACROSS THE OZARKS...THERE ARE HUNDREDS
OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN.
DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES.
BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL WHEN TRAVELLING AT NIGHT.  IT IS OFTEN
DIFFICULT TO SEE FLOODED LOW WATER CROSSINGS...ESPECIALLY DURING
HEAVY RAIN AND FOG.  DON'T RISK YOUR LIFE...TURN AROUND AND SEEK AN
ALTERNATE ROUTE IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED.

SUTTON

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-060745-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1125 PM CDT MON OCT 5 1998

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT OVERNIGHT FOR SOUTHWEST...SOUTH
CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MISSOURI ALONG WITH EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS...
...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUED IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS UNTIL 400 AM...
...SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUED IN EFFECT OVERNIGHT FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...

AT 1122 PM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI. THE RAIN AREA WAS MOVING SLOWLY TO THE EAST RESULTING IN
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IN AN HOURS TIME...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH AND EAST OF WEST PLAINS.

LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES INDICATED THAT FLOODING CONTINUED IN AREAS
THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL LATE SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. ALSO...LARGER RIVERS IN THE REGION HAD RISEN OUT OF THEIR
BANKS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS ADJACENT TO THESE RIVERS HAD FLOODED AS
WELL. FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS WERE IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM FOR C0UNTIES
ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A NEOSHO TO GREENFIELD...BOLIVAR...BUFFALO
...OSAGE BEACH AND TUSCUMBIA LINE.

ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS SINCE THIS MORNING WERE GENERALLY IN THE ONE TO
THREE INCH RANGE AND FLOODING HAD NOT YET DEVELOPED. SMALLER RIVERS
AND STREAMS MAY HOWEVER EXPERIENCE FLOODING OVERNIGHT AND A SMALL
STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT ALONG AND SOUTH OF A PINEVILLE TO
MT. VERNON...SPRINGFIELD AND ROLLA LINE. THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL
ARKANSAS TO NORTHEAST TEXAS COULD MOVE INTO THE ADVISORY AREA AND
CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO DEVELOP. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUED
OVERNIGHT IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

BECAUSE OF THE HILLY TERRAIN ACROSS THE OZARKS...THERE ARE HUNDREDS
OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN.
DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES.
BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL WHEN TRAVELLING AT NIGHT.  IT IS OFTEN
DIFFICULT TO SEE FLOODED LOW WATER CROSSINGS...ESPECIALLY DURING
HEAVY RAIN AND FOG.  DON'T RISK YOUR LIFE...TURN AROUND AND SEEK AN
ALTERNATE ROUTE IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED.

SUTTON