Flash Flood Warning 31, NWS Paducah, KY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
115 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 1998

MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS TODAY CENTER AROUND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT
INCLUDING FRONTAL PROGRESS.

CLEAR SKIES DURING THE AM HOURS ALLOWED SURFACE TEMPS AND
INSTABILITY TO REACH MAXIMUM VALUES POSSIBLE FOR INITIATION OF
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. ADAP INDICATED
H5 LI/S OF ABOUT -8 ACROSS AREA AT 17Z.

NSAT 2KM VIS SHOWED CU DEVELOPING OVER SOUTHWEST IL WHERE ADAP
SHOWED BEST SURFACE MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND EAST OF LAKE IN
KY...OTHERWISE SKIES LARGELY CLEAR AT MIDDAY.

BEST DYNAMICS...MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FOR THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES TO BE OVER THE NE PART OF THE FA.  COLD FRONT
FROM NW IL TO ABOUT CENTRAL MO AT 18Z SHOULD SPEED UP AS SHORT WAVE
MAKES A DECISIVE SOUTHEAST MOVEMENT NEXT 12 HOURS.  MODEL GRIDDED
DATA SHOWED LITTLE MOISTURE RECOVERY OVER SE MO WITH DRYING (30% RH
AT 850-500/60-50% LOW LEVEL RH) PUSHING EAST INTO MOST OF FA BY 06Z.
THIS MAY PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER SOUTHEAST MO WITH
INCREASING CHANCES NE TOWARD SOUTHWEST IN.  EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO
BE OVER ACROSS E PART OF FA BY MIDNIGHT OR SHORTLY THEREAFTER.

MOS TEMPS LOOKS OK CONSIDERING FASTER PROGRESSION OF FRONT/DRY AIR.

RLS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
802 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0800 PM    MARION WLLMSON CO ARPT    IL   TORNADO
06/12/98   WILLIAMSON                     ILLINOIS STATE POLICE
                                          REPORTED A TORNADO ON OR
                                          NEAR THE GROUND AT
                                          HIGHWAYS 13 AND 148

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
817 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0800 PM    WEST SALEM                IL   50 MPH TSTM GUST
06/12/98   EDWARDS                        REPORTED BY EDWARDS CO
                                          SHERIFF.

0810 PM    PATTON                    IL   TORNADO
06/12/98   WABASH                         TORNADO REPORTED NEAR
                                          PATTON BY SKYWARN
                                          SPOTTERS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
821 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0818 PM    PRINCETON                 IN
06/12/98   GIBSON                         FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED OVER
                                          STATE ROAD 64 NEAR THE
                                          WALMART ON THE NORTHWEST
                                          SIDE OF PRINCETON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
852 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0849 PM    HARRISBURG                IL
06/12/98   SALINE                         FUNNEL CLOUD 12 MILES
                                          SOUTH OF HARRISBURG

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
110>112-114-130515-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1009 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 1998

...LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO CROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY...

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM JUST WEST OF CAPE GIRARDEAU
MISSOURI NORTHEAST ALONG THE OHIO RIVER TO THE EVANSVILLE AND OWENSBORO
AREAS AT 1000 PM. A FEW OF THE STORMS IN THIS LINE HAVE BEEN ACCOMPANIED
BY STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO 60 MPH.

THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WITH THE STORMS OVER SOUTHWEST
INDIANA AND NORTHWEST KENTUCKY. THEREFORE...A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR THOSE AREAS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. IN KENTUCKY...THE WATCH IS ALONG
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM MARION KY TO CENTRAL CITY.

THE LINE OF STORMS WILL PASS THROUGH EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND
MUCH OF WESTERN KENTUCKY BY 200 AM. ANY OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE
STRONG WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH...WHICH COULD RESULT IN DOWNED TREES
AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE.

BE READY TO MOVE TO A WELL CONSTRUCTED BUILDING AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS.

YORK

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