Severe Thunderstorm Warning 339, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
330 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 1998

LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK COLD FRONT ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
TO WEST CENTRAL ZONES. EXPECT THIS FEATURE TO STALL...THEN RETREAT
NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT. INSTABILITY ANALYSIS REVEALS AXIS OF 4000+
J/KG SURFACE BASED CAPE VALUES ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN ZONES.
LOW LEVEL FORCING IS WEAK...DO NOT EXPECT MORE THAN ISOLATED
CONVECTION ACROSS THIS AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

UPPER TROF NOW ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST
THROUGH SHORT TERM PERIOD. SURFACE REFLECTION EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS CENTRAL HIGHS PLAINS ON SATURDAY...THEN MOVE EAST. DRYLINE
EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE PRONOUNCED ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
PANHANDLES ON SATURDAY...THEN SHOULD MOVE EAST. THE BETTER FORCING
IS EXPECTED WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE CWA...AND ANY FORCING WILL HAVE
TO OVERCOME A MODERATE CAP. STILL EXPECT WIDELY SCATTERED/SCATTERED
CONVECTION ALONG THE BOUNDARY....WITH THE ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO MOVE
EAST-NORTHEAST.

REST OF THE SHORT TERM AND EXTENDED PERIODS APPEAR DRY. COOLER
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE EXTENDED PERIODS.

FCSTID = 22
OKC   66  94  69  90 /   0   0  20  10
HBR   60  96  67  91 /   0   0  30   0
SPS   65  97  69  93 /   0   0  20   0
GAG   60  96  62  91 /   0   0  30   0
PNC   66  99  69  93 /   0   0  30  10
DUA   72  96  72  91 /   0   0  20  10

.OUN...
OK...NONE.
BTX...NONE.