Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 1998

Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS New York, NY

May 31, 1998Orange County, New York

NWS New York, NY issued this flash flood warning at May 31, 1998, 10:37 PM EDT for Orange County, New York. It was in force for 118 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 31, 1998, 10:37 PM EDT (02:37 UTC)
Expired
Jun 1, 1998, 12:35 AM EDT
In force
118 min
Issued by
NWS New York, NY
Area
Whole counties

County Orange County, NY

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 135 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 1998-06-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 151 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 1998-06-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 233 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
151 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-348 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1224 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
233 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
319 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KNYC 010238
FFWNYC
NYC071-010435-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1037 PM EDT SUN MAY 31 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK

* UNTIL 1235 AM EDT

* AT 1030 PM EDT... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN CONTINUE TO TRAIN ACROSS
  WESTERN ORANGE COUNTY ESPECIALLY IN THE VICINTY OF PORT JERVIS.

  HEAVY CONTINUOUS RAINS OVER THE PAST THREE TO FOUR HOURS WILL
  CAUSE SMALL RIVERS AND STREAMS TO OVERTOP THEIR BANKS.

* DON'T DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD! MOVE TO
  HIGHER TERRAIN IMMEDIATEvLY IF YOU SEE FLOODING OCCURRING.


MCKILLOP

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 31, 6:13 PM EDT, 4 hours 24 minutes before
NYZ067>081-NJZ002>006-011-CTZ005>012-010400-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - EVENING SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
613 PM EDT SUN MAY 31 1998

...ROUGH AND TUMBLE WEATHER IN THE FORM OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS
HEADED FOR THE TRI-STATE REGION...

...A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE TRI-STATE REGION
AND IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM...

A VERY STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO SOUTHEASTERN CANADA WILL
BRING SOME VERY INTENSE WEATHER TO THE TRI-STATE REGION LATER THIS
EVENING.  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF
UPSTATE NEW YORK THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON HOURS...AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA.

THE ATMOSPHERE HAS BECOME VERY UNSTABLE ACROSS OUR REGION AS WELL...
AND SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE LATER THIS EVENING.  ANY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS WELL OVER 60
MPH WHICH MAY DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES...LARGE HAIL.  CONDITIONS
ARE FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES AS WELL.

CURRENT PROJECTIONS INDICATE THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO ARRIVE
IN THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AROUND 730 PM...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY BY
ABOUT 830 PM...AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NEW YORK CITY AND LONG
ISLAND WELL AFTER SUNSET.

ANYONE WITH OUTDOOR PLANS FOR THIS EVENING SHOULD KEEP A WATCHFUL
EYE TO THE SKY.  IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES...BE PREPARED TO
SEEK SAFE SHELTER.  STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER MEDIA
OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST SHORT TERM FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REYNOLDS / NWSFO BROOKHAVEN NY

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 31, 8:17 PM EDTTornado WarningOKXOrange38 min
May 31, 8:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXPutnam57 min
May 31, 8:47 PM EDTTornado WarningOKXOrange58 min
May 31, 9:05 PM EDTTornado WarningOKXWestchester65 min
May 31, 9:56 PM EDTTornado WarningOKXOrange, Putnam59 min
May 31, 9:56 PM EDTTornado WarningOKXRockland59 min
May 31, 10:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXWestchester60 min
May 31, 10:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXRockland48 min
May 31, 10:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXWestchester48 min
Jun 1, 2:03 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXKings, Queens47 min
Jun 1, 2:33 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXNassau, Suffolk47 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 1998Every flash flood warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.