Severe Thunderstorm Warning 74, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
225 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 1998

WITH SEA BREEZE PASSAGE TWO HOURS AGO...HAVE HAD THE PLEASURE OF
WATCHING THE TEMP DROP FROM 96F TO 89F...ONLY TO SEE IT RISE BACK UP
TO CURRENT READING OF 97F AND TIE RECORD FOR THE DATE. CAN 98F BE FAR
BEHIND? CHECK THAT...97.7F JUST BROKE THE RECORD. ABSOLUTELY AMAZING
WHAT THE LACK OF SOIL MOISTURE CAN DO. THIS IS NOT THE FIRST TIME
DURING THIS HEAT WAVE THAT A RECORD HAS BEEN ACHIEVED IN THIS MANNER.

MODELS KEEP THE SURFACE TO 700MB RIDGE AXIS ACROSS CENTRAL PENINSULA
THROUGH 48 HOURS...WITH AXIS BECOMING MORE WELL DEFINED WITH TIME
(EASTERLIES INCREASE OVER STRAITS AND WESTERLIES OVER GA/NORTH FL).
250MB TROF IN THE GOMEX MINORS OUT WITH TIME. IN A NUTSHELL...WEATHER
PROBABLY WON'T CHANGE ALL THAT MUCH MON OR TUE. FAVOR A 30 POP ALONG
THE COAST WITH A 40 INLAND AND HIGHER EVENING POPS INLAND WITH ONLY
ISOLD//SLGT CHANCE ALONG COAST. TEMPS L-M90S AND M-U90S INLAND AS
PERSISTENCE CONTINUES TO PUMMEL MOS.

CRISTALDI

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-211630-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1045 AM EDT SUN JUN 21 1998

...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER CONTINUES...
...GOOD CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON STORMS WITH SOME BECOMING STRONG...
...HEAT INDEX VALUES NEAR 105 DEGREES...
...THICK SMOKE FROM BRUSH FIRES CONTINUES ACROSS VOLUSIA COUNTY...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA HAS WEAKENED SUCH THAT THE
EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL DEVELOP EARLY AND BEGIN MOVING INLAND BY
NOON. THIS WILL BRING WINDS AROUND TO THE EAST ACROSS THE COASTAL
COUNTIES AND WILL KEEP AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW 95
DEGREES FOR THE FIRST TIME IN MANY DAYS. THE SEA BREEZE WILL MOVE
INLAND THROUGH MID AND LATE AFTERNOON. A FEW LIGHTNING STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY BY EARLY AFTERNOON. COVERAGE
AND INTENSITY WILL INCREASE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AS THE SEABREEZE
MOVES INLAND AND INTERACTS WITH THE WEST COAST SEABREEZE.

SOME STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE AND PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY
WINDS AND HAIL. DUE TO SLOW STORM MOVEMENT...BETWEEN TWO AND THREE
INCHES OF RAINFALL MAY OCCUR IN SOME SPOTS. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH A FEW STORMS. MOVE
INSIDE TO A SAFE LOCATION AT THE FIRST SIGN OF A STORM. REMEMBER...
MOST LIGHTNING DEATHS OCCUR WHEN THE STORM IS NOT DIRECTLY OVERHEAD.

AS AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE MID 90S...THE COMBINATION OF
HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE 105 DEGREES. IF YOU WILL BE
OUTDOORS...DRINK PLENTY OF WATER AND TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS. THOUGH
SOME AREAS HAVE RECEIVED RAINFALL THE PAST FEW DAYS...MANY LOCATIONS
IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA REMAIN EXTREMELY DRY. THE CHANCE OF LIGHTNING
STORMS INCREASE THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL WILD FIRES. MANY COUNTIES
HAVE BANS ON BURNING...SO IT WOULD BE PRUDENT NOT TO BURN OUTDOORS
FOR ANY REASON...AND DISPOSE OF CIGARETTES PROPERLY.

THICK SMOKE WILL CONTINUE TO REDUCE VISIBILITY ACROSS VOLUSIA COUNTY
THIS AFTERNOON. IF YOU PLAN ON DRIVING ON INTERSTATES 4 OR 95...U.S.
92 OR STATE ROADS 40...44 OR 415...BE PREPARED FOR LOW VISIBILITY.
MAKE SURE TO SLOW DOWN AND USE YOUR LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS WHEN DRIVING
IN SMOKE.

CRISTALDI

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-211630-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1045 AM EDT SUN JUN 21 1998

...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER CONTINUES...
...GOOD CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON STORMS WITH SOME BECOMING STRONG...
...HEAT INDEX VALUES NEAR 105 DEGREES...
...THICK SMOKE FROM BRUSH FIRES CONTINUES ACROSS VOLUSIA COUNTY...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA HAS WEAKENED SUCH THAT THE
EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL DEVELOP EARLY AND BEGIN MOVING INLAND BY
NOON. THIS WILL BRING WINDS AROUND TO THE EAST ACROSS THE COASTAL
COUNTIES AND WILL KEEP AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW 95
DEGREES FOR THE FIRST TIME IN MANY DAYS. THE SEA BREEZE WILL MOVE
INLAND THROUGH MID AND LATE AFTERNOON. A FEW LIGHTNING STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY BY EARLY AFTERNOON. COVERAGE
AND INTENSITY WILL INCREASE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AS THE SEABREEZE
MOVES INLAND AND INTERACTS WITH THE WEST COAST SEABREEZE.

SOME STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE AND PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY
WINDS AND HAIL. DUE TO SLOW STORM MOVEMENT...BETWEEN TWO AND THREE
INCHES OF RAINFALL MAY OCCUR IN SOME SPOTS. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH A FEW STORMS. MOVE
INSIDE TO A SAFE LOCATION AT THE FIRST SIGN OF A STORM. REMEMBER...
MOST LIGHTNING DEATHS OCCUR WHEN THE STORM IS NOT DIRECTLY OVERHEAD.

AS AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE MID 90S...THE COMBINATION OF
HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE 105 DEGREES. IF YOU WILL BE
OUTDOORS...DRINK PLENTY OF WATER AND TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS. THOUGH
SOME AREAS HAVE RECEIVED RAINFALL THE PAST FEW DAYS...MANY LOCATIONS
IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA REMAIN EXTREMELY DRY. THE CHANCE OF LIGHTNING
STORMS INCREASE THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL WILD FIRES. MANY COUNTIES
HAVE BANS ON BURNING...SO IT WOULD BE PRUDENT NOT TO BURN OUTDOORS
FOR ANY REASON...AND DISPOSE OF CIGARETTES PROPERLY.

THICK SMOKE WILL CONTINUE TO REDUCE VISIBILITY ACROSS VOLUSIA COUNTY
THIS AFTERNOON. IF YOU PLAN ON DRIVING ON INTERSTATES 4 OR 95...U.S.
92 OR STATE ROADS 40...44 OR 415...BE PREPARED FOR LOW VISIBILITY.
MAKE SURE TO SLOW DOWN AND USE YOUR LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS WHEN DRIVING
IN SMOKE.

CRISTALDI