Flash Flood Warning 105, NWS Wilmington, OH

FORECAST COORDINATION MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
220 AM EDT MON JUL 20 1998

FORECAST CHALLENGE...CONVECTION POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON AND
WEDNESDAY.

AT THE MOMENT...KILN SHOWS THUNDERSTORMS FROM RICHMOND TO CVG TO
HTS.  THE WESTERN PART OF THE LINE APPEARS TO BE TRAINING WHILE THE
EASTERN IS MORE PROGRESSIVE IN MOVING SOUTH.  THE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY IS LOCATED IN A MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AREA OVER SOUTHWEST OH
WITH CAPE VALUES IN EXCESS OF 4000 J/KG JUST SOUTH OF CVG.  IT
APPEARS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL DRIFT VERY SLOWLY SOUTH AND
LIKELY STILL BE IN FAR SOUTHERN CWA AROUND THE BEGINNING OF DAY
PERIOD.  KIND AND IR IMAGERY ALSO SHOWING ANOTHER STORM SOUTH OF
LAF.  SO EARLY MORNING PERIOD MAY BE NEEDED.

ALL THREE MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH SAGGING COLD
FRONT INTO FAR SOUTHERN CWA THIS AFTERNOON.  AS A RESULT WOULD LIKE
TO SEE SOME KIND OF POP FOR THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS IN/KY AND FAR
SOUTHERN OH ZONES.  REST OF CWA SHOULD BE PARTLY CLOUDY.

NEXT THREAT OF STORMS WILL BE TUESDAY LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AS COLD FRONT FROM ACTIVE NORTHERN JET STREAM SLIDES SOUTHWARD INTO
OHIO VALLEY.  ETA HAS PROGGED CAPE VALUES IN EXCESS OF 3000 J/KG
PROGGED OVER NW OH AND NRN IN AT 00Z.  WOULD LIKE TO SEE A LATE
AFTERNOON PERIOD FOR WEST CENTRAL OH ON TUESDAY.

FWC AND FAN GUIDANCE LOOK IN THE BALL PARK.

DAY 092/071 094/073 090 112
CMH 093/072 095/072 090 112
CVG 092/072 095/073 090 311
PMH 092/072 095/075 092 311
 TIPTON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OHIO
1058 PM EDT SUN JUL 19 1998

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1049 PM                              OH   1.75 INCH HAIL
07/19/98   HAMILTON                       GOLFBALL HAIL REPORTED IN
                                          NORTH CENTRAL PART OF
                                          COUNTY

1015 PM    VANDALIA                  OH   74 MPH TSTM GUST
07/19/98   MONTGOMERY                     74 MPH IN VANDALIA

1018 PM                              OH   80 MPH TSTM GUST
07/19/98   PICKAWAY                       80 MPH GUST IN 5 POINTS

1030 PM                              OH   WIND DAMAGE
07/19/98   MIAMI                          TREES DOWN COUNTYWIDE

1049 PM                              OH   70 MPH TSTM GUST
07/19/98   GREENE                         70 MPH GUST IN BEAVERCREEK

...CORRECTED FOR DAY AND TIME

OHZ054>056-062>065-073-074-200530-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1219 AM EDT MON JUL 20 1998

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR CENTRAL OHIO AND PART OF THE MIAMI
VALLEY HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAS MOVED SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BEHIND THE LINE WILL AFFECT THE REGION FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER OR THE MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

.END/SITES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OHIO
1228 PM EDT MON JUL 20 1998

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1115 PM    NEWTOWN                   OH   .75 INCH HAIL
07/19/98   HAMILTON

1121 PM                              OH   50 MPH TSTM GUST
07/19/98   CLINTON                        A 50 KTS WIND GUST AT NWS
                                          ILN OFFICE TREES DOWN
                                          ACROSS COUNTY AND
                                          WILMINGTON

1123 PM                              OH   .75 INCH HAIL
07/19/98   CLINTON                        DIME SIZE HAIL NEAR COWEN
                                          LAKE

1145 PM                              OH   WIND DAMAGE
07/19/98   HIGHLAND                       TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN
                                          ACROSS COUNTY

1150 PM                              IN   WIND DAMAGE
07/19/98   WAYNE                          TREES DOWN IN PERSHING

1155 PM                              IN   WIND DAMAGE
07/19/98   UNION                          TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN
                                          ACROSS THE COUNTY

1200 AM                              OH   WIND DAMAGE
07/20/98   BROWN             T             TREES DOWN COUNTYWIDE

1215 AM    PORTSMOUTH                OH   WIND DAMAGE
07/20/98   SCIOTO                         LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN