Tornado Warning 7, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
827 PM CST SUN JAN 11 1998

A COUPLE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS OVER GRIMES/MONTGOMERY COUNTY
MOVING EAST.  SOUTHERNMOST STORM TRAVELLING TO THE RIGHT WITH A STRONG
MESOCYCLONE SIGNATURE.  S/W PASSING BY TO THE NORTH WITH DRYING
EVIDENT SO EXPECT THE SEVERE THREAT TO END AFTER 2 AM OR SO BUT THE
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE WITH THE SSW LLJ OVER THE AREA...(ONLY HOPE
IS THE CAP GETS STRONGER.)

THE DRY LINE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO RETREAT LEAVING THE OLD
STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS A FOCUS FOR MORE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG AS THE NEXT S/W OVER NM APPROACHES THE
AREA IN THE MORNING.  WILL LEAVE IN THE MENTION OF SVR AND HOLD OFF ON
ALTER TORNADO WATCH.  WOULD LIKE TO ADD THE MENTION OF LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL POSSIBLE FOR THE NORTHERN ZONES.

WILL ALSO INCLUDE CHICKEN 20 POPS FOR MONDAY FOR THE TIME BEING.

45

PRELIMS...
NE  T/E>B  B/>E  053/072 048/070  7202  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE
CLL T/E>B  B/>E  051/074 049/070  7202  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE
IAH T/E>B >E/E   055/074 052/071  6223
GLS T/E>B >E/E   060/069 058/069  6223

TXZ211-237-210-227-198-213-163-200-511-236-199-179-178-164-177-
212-197-226-196-195-214-238-235-176-120445-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1027 PM CST SUN JAN 11 1998

...THE TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS HAS BEEN ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE AS OF 10 PM...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT FROM NEAR
GIDDINGS TO NEAR ANDERSON TO NEAR GROVETON WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
SETTLE SOUTHWARD.  THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY BRING A BROAD SWATH OF
RAIN ACROSS THE REGION WITH RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS AVERAGING AROUND
1/2 INCH.

TXZ211-237-210-227-198-213-163-200-511-236-199-179-178-164-177-
212-197-226-196-195-214-238-235-176-120445-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1027 PM CST SUN JAN 11 1998

...THE TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS HAS BEEN ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE AS OF 10 PM...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT FROM NEAR
GIDDINGS TO NEAR ANDERSON TO NEAR GROVETON WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
SETTLE SOUTHWARD.  THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY BRING A BROAD SWATH OF
RAIN ACROSS THE REGION WITH RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS AVERAGING AROUND
1/2 INCH.

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-121240-

HEAVY RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1050 PM CST SUN JAN 11 1998

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO RUMBLE ALONG THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.  MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE TO STREAM OUT OF THE GULF AND RIDING UP AND OVER THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY TONIGHT CONTINUING THE THREAT OF LOCALLY RAINS.
THIS FRONT WILL LIKELY SAG SOUTH DURING THE NIGHT-TIME HOURS.  THE
THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS SHOULD BE MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM
BRENHAM TO NEAR CONROE TO CLEVELAND.

RAINFALL WITH THE STORMS ALONG THE BOUNDARY SHOULD AVERAGE AROUND
1/2 INCH WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. AND ALTHOUGH MANY OF
THE SMALLER STREAMS AROUND REGION HAVE FALLEN AND THE THREAT OF
FLOODING HAS SHIFTED TO THE MAINSTEM RIVERS SUCH AS THE TRINITY
RIVER...PERSONS IN THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA MAY SEE SOME OF
THE SMALLER STREAMS RISE AGAIN TONIGHT.

AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER CONDITIONS AND IF
HEAVY RAINS OR FLOODING ARE OBSERVED...BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-121240-

HEAVY RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1050 PM CST SUN JAN 11 1998

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO RUMBLE ALONG THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.  MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE TO STREAM OUT OF THE GULF AND RIDING UP AND OVER THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY TONIGHT CONTINUING THE THREAT OF LOCALLY RAINS.
THIS FRONT WILL LIKELY SAG SOUTH DURING THE NIGHT-TIME HOURS.  THE
THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS SHOULD BE MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM
BRENHAM TO NEAR CONROE TO CLEVELAND.

RAINFALL WITH THE STORMS ALONG THE BOUNDARY SHOULD AVERAGE AROUND
1/2 INCH WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. AND ALTHOUGH MANY OF
THE SMALLER STREAMS AROUND REGION HAVE FALLEN AND THE THREAT OF
FLOODING HAS SHIFTED TO THE MAINSTEM RIVERS SUCH AS THE TRINITY
RIVER...PERSONS IN THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA MAY SEE SOME OF
THE SMALLER STREAMS RISE AGAIN TONIGHT.

AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER CONDITIONS AND IF
HEAVY RAINS OR FLOODING ARE OBSERVED...BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.