Severe Thunderstorm Warning 86, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
234 AM CST THU FEB 26 1998

COMPLICATED WX PATTERN ACRS TX THIS MRNG WITH LN OF STRNG TSTMS
ALONG SFC TROF AXIS PUSHING ACRS FA WITH MORE DVLPMNT BEHIND THIS
LN AS MAIN CF IS STILL BACK ACRS WEST CTNRL TX.  ALSO...SFC LOW CONTS
TO DEEPEN NEAR BRO AND PROGD TO PUSH UP THE TX COAST TDY.  MAIN
MID-UPR LOW HAS BECOME VERTICALLY STACKED OVR NE/SD AREA SO DONT
EXPECT MUCH MVMNT OVR NXT 48HRS WITH TX RMNG UNDER MAIN TROF AXIS.
BELIEVE KEY TO OUR WX IS THIS SFC LOW OVR BRO. MDLS TAKE IT UP THE TX
COAST AND INTO SRN LA BY 18Z WITH AREA WNDS SHIFTING WEST AS CF
PUSHES OFF UPR TX COAST ARND 18-19Z WITH SOME CLRG IN ITS WAKE.  AT
SAME TIME...850 MB WNDS SHIFT WEST WITH LAST VOR MAX PUSHING EAST &
DRIER AIR ADVECTING IN FM WEST.  THEREFORE...WILL KEEP CLDS & CHC
SHWRS/TSTMS IN FA THRU 18Z THEN BECOME PTLY CLDY IN THE AFTN.  WILL
NOT MENTION PSBL SVR THIS MRNG AS MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL CONT
TO DECREASE.  FAIR SKIES LOOK BEST TNGT WITH FEW HIGH CLDS ARND...BUT
NOT BUYING NGMS RTRN FLOW...MOISTURE & CLDS BY 36-48HRS SINCE DONT
BELIEVE LOW LVL WNDS WILL BE ABLE TO TURN WITH DEEP 990 MB SFC LOW
STILL PARKED OVR IA/IL AREA.  WILL STAY WITH PTCLY CLDY SKIES ON FRI
SINCE NOT SURE WHAT MOISTURE WILL BE ABLE TO RIDE DOWN BACK SIDE OF
UPR LONG TROF SITLL OVR TX.  LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER STRNG SPD MAX WILL
PUSH DOWN BACKSIDE OF TROF AXIS FRI NGT AND FINALLY KICK UPR LOW EWD.
THIS SPD MAX SHUD BRING CLDS AND ANOTHER CHC OF RAIN BACK TO FCST FOR
SAT BEFORE CLRG OUT BY SUN UNDER A DRIER NW FLOW ALOFT.  LEANING TWRD
COOLER AVN NUMBERS IN WAKE OF FROPA. 39

PRELIMS...(CHC SHWRS/TSTMS THRU NOONISH THEN BCMG PTLY CLDY AFTN)
CLL T>B/A B/B 66/39 65/42 3002
IAH T>B/A B/B 67/41 65/43 3002
GLS T>B/A B/B 66/52 63/55 4002