Severe Thunderstorm Warning 167, NWS Goodland, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
144 PM MDT (244 PM CDT) WED AUG 12 1998

      ...CLOUDS AND TEMPS WILL BE CHALLENGES THIS RUN...
   AT 19Z...VIS SATL SHOWING ENHANCED CU FIELD MOVING SSEWD THRU NEB
PANHANDLE ALONG WITH SHALLOW CU BACKBUILDING TO THE WSW TOWARDS
GLD FROM MCK/HLC AREA.
   WITH PWS CONSIDERABLY LOWER ACROSS 12Z RAOB NETWORK TODAY AND
ETA/NGM QPFS SHOWING LIGHT AMOUNTS IN HLC/MCK AREA ONLY...WILL LOWER
GOING 50 POPS IN WRN ZONES BACK DOWN TO 20 OR 30...AND WORD FOR
EVENING TSRA ONLY AS SUN SETS AND KILLS DIURNAL SC/CU/TCU FIELDS.
   AVN/ETA SEEMED TO HANDLE THE WEAK SFC LOW AND STATIONARY FRONTAL
POSITION OVER CWA WELL ALTHOUGH IT APPEARS TO BE ABOUT 100 MILES
WEST/AND 6 HOURS LATE IN WHERE/WHEN IT SAID IT WOULD BE BASED ON
WEAK SPIN OF CU FIELD INVOF LBF AT 1925Z. SFC LOW SHOULD BE INVOF
GLD BETWEEN 01Z-04Z.
   BY THEN...SOME ENERGY FROM THE SPIN IN SC WYO SHOULD BE ARRIVING
FROM OUR NW. BAD TIMING FOR RAIN AT GLD...BUT SHOULD KEEP SOME
THICKER MID/UPPER MOISTURE AROUND AWHILE ON THURSDAY. WILL STICK
WITH FAN FOR TEMPS/POPS AS NGM NOT COMPENSATING FOR WET GROUND
CWA-WIDE. CANT RULE OUT -RA FOR A TIME EARLY THURSDAY WITH THE COOLER
H7 AIR...BREAKS IN THE LOW CLOUDS/FOG AND GENERALLY LIGHT UPSLOPE
WINDS...ALTHOUGH BY AFTERNOON...CU WILL BE HI BASED IN NATURE AND
ALONG H7 BOUNDARY.
.GLD...NONE.

VOJTESAK