Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 1998

Flash Flood Warning 175, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

October 17, 1998Fayette County, Gonzales County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this flash flood warning at Oct 17, 1998, 4:45 PM CDT for Fayette County, Gonzales County, Texas. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 17, 1998, 4:45 PM CDT (21:45 UTC)
Expired
Oct 17, 1998, 10:45 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Whole counties

Counties Fayette County, TX, Gonzales County, TX

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 1998-10-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2241 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 1998-10-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 90 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2241 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
529 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
4.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KSAT 172146
FFWSAT
TXC149-177-180345-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
445 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  FAYETTE IN TEXAS
  GONZALES IN TEXAS

* UNTIL 1045 PM CDT

* AT 445 PM CDT... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  A THUNDERSTORM WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN MOVING THROUGH GONZALES INTO
  FAYETTE COUNTY... MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEAST.

* VERY HEAVY RAINS OF OVER 2 INCHES PER HOUR WERE MOVING THROUGH
  GONZALES AND INTO FAYETTE COUNTY...AND WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS
  AND FLOODING THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

DON'T DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD!


BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...
ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING. IT IS VERY DIFFICULT
AT NIGHT TO TELL HOW MUCH WATER IS ON ROADS. MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT
DRIVE THROUGH WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION
STATIONS OR CABLE TV FOR THE LATESVT UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS DANGEROUS WEATHER SITUATION.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Oct 17, 2:45 PM CDT, 2 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 17, 2:45 PM CDT, 2 hours before
COASTAL BEND FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
245 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 1998

THE BIG TIME CONVECTION DEVELOPED NORTH OF CWA IN RRQ OF JET THAT
ALSO IS BEING FEED TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM EASTERN PAC TROPICAL
SYSTEM.  MOST OF CWA HAS BEEN IN AREA OF WEAK ISENT LIFT AND
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE THAT IS SETTING OFF WIDELY SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA.
IT LOOKS LIKE THE FRONT WILL ONLY MOVE TO JUST NORTH OF CWA AS SHORT
WAVE RIDGE DEVELOPS OVER WESTERN TX AHEAD SHORT WAVE TROF MOVING
INTO BAJA.  LOOKS LIKE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE MONDAY OR MONDAY
NIGHT.  THIS LEAVES CWA IN INTERESTING SITUATION...WITH PLENTY OF
MOISTURE...THE FRONT...HIGH THETA-E AIR...ISENT LIFT...HOWEVER AT
LEAST THOUGH SUNDAY THE BEST OF ALL OF THE ABOVE REMAIN OVER HILL
COUNTRY AND IN FAR WESTERN CWA.  WILL HOLD ON ANY FFA FOR NOW AND
SEE HOW THE ATMOSPHERE READJUSTS AFTER THE CONVECTION TO NORTH.  MY
FEELING NOW IS THE NORTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES MIGHT NEED AN FFA IF
THINGS REDEVELOP OVER HILL COUNTRY AND SPREAD SOUTH TONIGHT.  WITH
ALL OF THIS SAID...MY MODEL OF CHOICE CONTINUES TO BE THE AVN BUT
WILL BLEND IN SOME ISENT DATA FROM ETA EVEN THOUGH WE HAVE SOME
DIABATIC AFFECTS GOING ON.  WILL KEEP SKIES MOCLD THROUGH PERIOD AND
WILL TREND TEMPS AND POPS TOWARDS FAN GUIDANCE. HOWEVER FAN MAY BE A
BIT TOO LOW FOR MINS AND WILL BUMP THOSE UP.

CRP TW 073/081 071/079 066 5644
NGP    076/082 074/080 067 5644
ALI    073/082 072B/080 066 5644
VCT TW 072/081 069/080 067 5644
LRD TW 072/080 068/080 067 5754

78

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 17, 6:28 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBexar, Blanco, Comal3 hr
Oct 17, 8:08 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXAtascosa, Frio, Medina2 hr
Oct 17, 8:27 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBexar, Comal, Hays4 hr
Oct 17, 8:27 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXTravis, Williamson4 hr
Oct 17, 10:41 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Guadalupe6 hr
Oct 17, 12:19 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBurnet, Travis, Williamson6 hr
Oct 17, 12:19 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBexar, Blanco, Comal, Hays, Kendall6 hr
Oct 17, 12:37 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXCaldwell63 min
Oct 17, 1:15 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXBastrop, Lee60 min
Oct 17, 4:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXCaldwell, Guadalupe6 hr
Oct 17, 4:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBastrop6 hr
Oct 17, 5:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXLavaca6 hr
Oct 17, 6:22 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXLee5 hr
Oct 17, 6:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBlanco, Comal, Hays, Travis5 hr
Oct 17, 6:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBurnet, Williamson5 hr
Oct 17, 6:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBexar, Kendall5 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 1998Every flash flood warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.