Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 1998

Flash Flood Warning 170, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

October 17, 1998Bastrop County, Caldwell County, Guadalupe County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this flash flood warning at Oct 17, 1998, 10:41 AM CDT for Bastrop County, Caldwell County, Guadalupe County, Texas. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 17, 1998, 10:41 AM CDT (15:41 UTC)
Expired
Oct 17, 1998, 4:40 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Whole counties

Counties Bastrop County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 12:00Z, 3.7 hours before the alert went out and 236 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 1998-10-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2241 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 1998-10-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 90 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2241 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
529 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
4.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KSAT 171543
FFWSAT
TXC021-055-187-172140-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1041 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  BASTROP IN TEXAS
  CALDWELL IN TEXAS
  GUADALUPE IN TEXAS

* UNTIL 440 PM CDT

* AT 10:30 AM CDT... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
  INDICATED NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM SAN
  ANTONIO NORTHWARD ALONG THE I35 CORRIDOR... MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST
  10 MPH.

RAINFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR ARE INDICATED IN THESE
THUNDERSTORMS.  TOTALS THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON BETWEEN
5 AND 10 INCHES COULD OCCUR...CREATING EXTREMELY DANGEROUS FLASH
FLOOD CONDITIONS.

AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD MONITOR FLOOD CONDITIONS... AND BE PREPARED
TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND... SHOULD FLOOD WATERS THREATEN. IF FLASH
FLOODING IS OBSERVED... ACT QUICKLY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND TO
ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN
WATER BEGINS RISING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS...AND THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY.

STAY TUNED TO LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...THE WEATHER CHANNEL...
LOCAL CABLE TV STATIONS...OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO.  THIS IS AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HEAVY RAIN AND FLOOD SITUATION...TRAVEL IS
DISCOURAGED.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Oct 16, 7:25 PM CDT, 15 hours 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 16, 7:25 PM CDT, 15 hours 16 minutes before
COASTAL BEND FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
725 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 1998

EXPECT ISOLATED SHOWERS TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE CWA...MAINLY OVR THE
COSATAL WATERS...OVERNIGHT IN RESPONSE TO INFLUX OF MSTR FROM THE
GULF AND TROPICAL CONNECTION FROM MADELINE. CURRENT TEMP FCST FOR
TNGT LOOKS GOOD BASED ON CURRENT LAPS DEW POINT TREND PAST FEW
HOURS. ETA MODEL SOUNDINGS PROG LOW LVL CONDITIONS CLOSE TO DRY
ADIABATIC OVERNIGHT OVR THE COASTAL BEND WHICH MAY KEEP WINDS UP
OVERNIGHT ALG THE COAST...HWR CURRENT FCST OF WNDS LOOK REASONABLE
ATTM. NO CHGS ATTM.

ALTHOUGH MODELS PROG WEAK SHRTWVS ACRS THE CWA SAT...THE MAIN
DYNAMIC INFLUENCE SAT WL LIKELY BE THE RRQ OF UPR JET STREAK PROGD
BY ALL SOLNS TO MOV ACRS CNTRL TX. IN ADDITION...THE LLJ WL PERSIST
SAT AND COMBINE WITH THE UPSTREAM SFC FNT...AND UPR DISTURBANCE...
TO ENHANCE MSTR CONVERGENCE OVR CNTRL TX. THUS HEAVY RAIN IS PSBL
OVR THE NRN CWA SAT AFTN/NGT. HVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE OVR THE WRN
CWA AS THE AVN...AND TO A LESSOR EXTENT THE NGM...PROG AN INCREASE
IN 850 THETA-E ACRS THE WRN CWA DRG THE DAY SAT. THE COMBINATION OF
LOW LVL THETA-E RDGS AND MID LVL MSTR...SEEN ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
FM THE TROPICAL CONNECTION...IS CONDUSIVE TO HVY RAIN. THUS THE
NRN/WRN CWA SHOULD BE MONITORED FOR PSBL FLASH FLOOD WATCH SAT. WND
ADVISORY CRITERIA PSBL AGAIN SAT AS 850 MB 35 KT WNDS MIX DOWNWARD.

87

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 17, 5:45 AM CDT, 4 hours 56 minutes before
TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-172300-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
545 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 1998

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY FOR THE TEXAS
HILL COUNTRY AND ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

A SERIES OF WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES AND SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT
WILL INTERACT WITH A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY
AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.  WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE.

PERSONS IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA ARE URGED TO CHECK PREPAREDNESS
REQUIREMENTS...KEEP INFORMED AND BE READY TO TAKE ACTION IF HEAVY
RAIN OR FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED.  MOTORISTS
SHOULD NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED OR LOW LYING AREAS WHERE
WATER IS FLOWING OR OF AN UNKNOWN DEPTH.  KEEP CHILDREN AWAY FROM
STORM DRAINS AND STREAMS.

THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NORMALLY WILL BE UPDATED BY MEANS OF
THE ZONE FORECASTS...SHORT TERM FORECAST...WATCHES...WARNINGS AND
ADVISORIES.  THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK ITSELF WILL BE UPDATED
ONLY IF UNEXPECTED HAZARDOUS WEATHER DEVELOPS OR IF EXPECTED
HAZARDOUS WEATHER NO LONGER IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS HOME PAGE OF THE INTERNET
WORLD WIDE WEB AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/EWX.  TIMELY DELIVERY OF DATA AND
PRODUCTS FROM THIS SERVER THROUGH THE INTERNET IS NOT GUARANTEED...
UNLIKE DATA AND PRODUCTS DELIVERED FROM THE OFFICIAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE SOURCES.

THE OFFICIAL SOURCE OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DATA AND PRODUCTS IS
THE NOAA WEATHER RADIO...NOAA WEATHER WIRE...FAMILY OF SERVICES
AND EMWIN.

THE VOICE OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...NOAA WEATHER RADIO...
OPERATING ON A FREQUENCY BETWEEN 162.400 MHZ AND 162.550 MHZ.

NEARBY HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOKS INCLUDE:
SOUTHWEST TEXAS    FROM MIDLAND            LBBSPSMAF...WWUS35 KMAF
CONCHO VALLEY      FROM SAN ANGELO         LBBSPSSJT...WWUS35 KSJT
NORTH TEXAS        FROM FORT WORTH         FTWSPSFTW...WWUS35 KFTW
SOUTHEAST TEXAS    FROM HOUSTON/6GALVESTON  SATSPSHOU...WWUS35 KHOU
COASTAL BEND/      FROM CORPUS CHRISTI     SATSPSCRP...WWUS35 KCRP
RIO GRANDE PLAINS
Special weather statement, Oct 17, 5:45 AM CDT, 4 hours 56 minutes before
TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-172300-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
545 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 1998

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY FOR THE TEXAS
HILL COUNTRY AND ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

A SERIES OF WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES AND SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT
WILL INTERACT WITH A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY
AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.  WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE.

PERSONS IN OR NEAR THE WATCH AREA ARE URGED TO CHECK PREPAREDNESS
REQUIREMENTS...KEEP INFORMED AND BE READY TO TAKE ACTION IF HEAVY
RAIN OR FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED.  MOTORISTS
SHOULD NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED OR LOW LYING AREAS WHERE
WATER IS FLOWING OR OF AN UNKNOWN DEPTH.  KEEP CHILDREN AWAY FROM
STORM DRAINS AND STREAMS.

THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NORMALLY WILL BE UPDATED BY MEANS OF
THE ZONE FORECASTS...SHORT TERM FORECAST...WATCHES...WARNINGS AND
ADVISORIES.  THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK ITSELF WILL BE UPDATED
ONLY IF UNEXPECTED HAZARDOUS WEATHER DEVELOPS OR IF EXPECTED
HAZARDOUS WEATHER NO LONGER IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS HOME PAGE OF THE INTERNET
WORLD WIDE WEB AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/EWX.  TIMELY DELIVERY OF DATA AND
PRODUCTS FROM THIS SERVER THROUGH THE INTERNET IS NOT GUARANTEED...
UNLIKE DATA AND PRODUCTS DELIVERED FROM THE OFFICIAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE SOURCES.

THE OFFICIAL SOURCE OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DATA AND PRODUCTS IS
THE NOAA WEATHER RADIO...NOAA WEATHER WIRE...FAMILY OF SERVICES
AND EMWIN.

THE VOICE OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...NOAA WEATHER RADIO...
OPERATING ON A FREQUENCY BETWEEN 162.400 MHZ AND 162.550 MHZ.

NEARBY HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOKS INCLUDE:
SOUTHWEST TEXAS    FROM MIDLAND            LBBSPSMAF...WWUS35 KMAF
CONCHO VALLEY      FROM SAN ANGELO         LBBSPSSJT...WWUS35 KSJT
NORTH TEXAS        FROM FORT WORTH         FTWSPSFTW...WWUS35 KFTW
SOUTHEAST TEXAS    FROM HOUSTON/6GALVESTON  SATSPSHOU...WWUS35 KHOU
COASTAL BEND/      FROM CORPUS CHRISTI     SATSPSCRP...WWUS35 KCRP
RIO GRANDE PLAINS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 17, 6:28 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBexar, Blanco, Comal3 hr
Oct 17, 8:08 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXAtascosa, Frio, Medina2 hr
Oct 17, 8:27 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBexar, Comal, Hays4 hr
Oct 17, 8:27 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXTravis, Williamson4 hr
Oct 17, 12:19 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBurnet, Travis, Williamson6 hr
Oct 17, 12:19 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBexar, Blanco, Comal, Hays, Kendall6 hr
Oct 17, 12:37 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXCaldwell63 min
Oct 17, 1:15 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXBastrop, Lee60 min
Oct 17, 4:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXCaldwell, Guadalupe6 hr
Oct 17, 4:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBastrop6 hr
Oct 17, 4:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXFayette, Gonzales6 hr
Oct 17, 5:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXLavaca6 hr
Oct 17, 6:22 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXLee5 hr
Oct 17, 6:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBlanco, Comal, Hays, Travis5 hr
Oct 17, 6:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBurnet, Williamson5 hr
Oct 17, 6:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBexar, Kendall5 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 1998Every flash flood warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.