Severe Thunderstorm Warning 56, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

COASTAL BEND FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
310 PM CST SAT FEB 21 1998

A VERY ACTIVE WX PATTERN CONTINUES TO UNFOLD ACROSS THE CWA THIS
AFTERNOON.  LOOK LIKE THE EVENT IS NOW UNDERWAY AND SPC HAS JUST COME
OUT WITH TOR WATCH 52.  THIS COVERS THE ENTIRE CWA.  AFTER STORMS
MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT THINGS WILL CLR FAIRLY RAPIDLY BEHIND THE SYSTEM
ON SUN.  WITH A W/NW FLOW AT H5 DRY WX PATTERN WILL AGAIN TAKE OVER
WITH SUNNY DRY DAYS AND CLEAR COOL NIGHTS.  THEN NEXT IN THE NEVER
ENDING SERIES OF WEST COAST SYSTEMS WILL ARRIVE BY MID WEEK WITH
INCREASING PCPN CHCS AGAIN.

STRONG S/W CONTINUES TO HEAD E/SE AND WILL MOVE ACROSS LATER TONIGHT.
SFC LOW WILL DEVELOP TO THE S CRP AND MOVE NE TO OFF THE COAST OF GLS
BY 12Z SUN AND CONTINUE NEWRD FROM THERE.  ADAP SMC INDICATES A
BULLSEYE OVER THE CWA FROM THE COASTAL BEND/RIO GRANDE PLAINS TO VCT
AND LIS HAVE FALLEN TO -4 TO -6 ACROSS THE LOWER VALLEY.  VIS
SATELLITE PIX SHOW BREAKS W/SW OF CRP AND THIS COULD LEAD TO
ADDITIONAL HEATING TO HELP DESTABILIZE THINGS FURTHER.

WILL CONTINUE WIND ADVSRY UNTIL 9 PM FOR CRP/VCT.  LRD CAN BE
DROPPED.  NEED TO MAINTAIN SCA ON THIS PKG.  ALL NECESSARY PRODUCTS
HAVE BEEN UPDATED.

.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH AN 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
CRP...80% VCT...SOME LIKELY SEVERE.  SE WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTY
CRP...E WIND 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTY VCT.

//LRD// 40% CHC OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING THEN DECREASING
CLOUDINESS LATE.  S WIND 10 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE W/NW AT 10 TO
15 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY AND BREEZY.  W/NW WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH
AND GUSTY.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR.

.MONDAY...SUNNY.

CRP UU  052/073  048/077  054  6100
NGP     058/073  052/075  058
ALI UU  050/073  048/078  054  6100
LRD UU  052/075  052/079  055  4100
VCT UU  047/071  048/074  053  8100

MSL..73..