Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1997

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 24, NWS Tucson, AZ

July 7, 1997Pima County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 7, 1997, 3:12 PM MST for Pima County, Arizona. It was in force for 63 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 1997, 3:12 PM MST (22:12 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 1997, 4:15 PM MST
In force
63 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Whole counties

County Pima County, AZ

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 84 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 1997-07-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 807 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 1997-07-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 78 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
807 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-222 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2117 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
78 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
150 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KTUS 072212 RRA
SVRTUS
AZC019-072315-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
312 PM MST MON JUL 7 1997

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON AZ HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 415 PM MST
FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION...

IN SOUTHERN ARIZONA

   ...NORTHEASTERN PIMA COUNTY
 
AT 309 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR
ORO VALLEY JUST NORTH OF TUCSON  MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM ARE...
CATALINA                BY 322 PM MST
SUMMERHAVEN            BY 352 PM MST

MEYER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 7, 2:30 PM MST, 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 7, 2:30 PM MST, 42 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
230 PM MST MON JUL 7 1997

WELL...THE 12Z TUS RAOBS POTENTIAL HAS HELD PRETTY WELL TDA. HI
CAPES HAVE TRANSLATED THROUGH TO A FEW SEVERE CELLS. COVERAGE
GENERALLY THROUGH EASTERN ZONES AND A LITTLE MORE THAN INITIALLY
EXPECTED. ALL A WLY FLOW HAS MEANT THE PAST 5 DAYS IS THAT MSTR MOVG
UP THRU YUMA IN THE LOW LVLS HAS MIXED INTO THE LWR PTNS OF THE FLOW
AND INTO OUR AREA. WE HAVE ALSO HAD REPEATED DOSES OF A MORE DIRECT
NATURE WITH OUTFLOWS FROM TSTMS IN NWRN MEX THE LAST SVRL NIGHTS.

YES...WLY FLOW IS INCRG WITH SOME ENERGY TO OUR N BREAKING INTO THE
RDG...BUT I THINK THAT AT LEAST FAR SE PTNS WILL HOLD ONTO SOME MSTR
RIGHT ON UNTIL THE RDG REBUILDS TO OUR E WITH SLY FLOW PICKING UP
MORE ACTION FOR OUR AREA.

WILL GO AHEAD AND SHOW A DECRG TSTM TREND WITH ONLY ZN030 HOLDING
ON TO AFTN TSTMS BY PD 4. EXTD LOOKS MORE PROMISING...BUT WE NEED
TO WATCH FOR THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE MRF HAS CONTINUED TO

ADVERTISE. IF THE RDG SETS UP TOO FAR E...WE COULD BE IN A DRIER
THAN DESIRED SWLY FLOW ONLY ON THE WRN EDGE OF THE REAL WX PAST
THE EXTD FCST PD.
TUS2000. MEYER

TUS...NONE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 7, 11:45 AM MST, 3 hours 27 minutes before
AZZ019-026>030-080700-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...SOUTHEAST ARIZONA CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1145 AM MST MON JUL 7 1997

                AREAL    PROBABILITY   RAIN GREATER THAN   STORM
              COVERAGE    OF SEVERE     1.00       2.00    MOTION

COCHISE          30          30           0          0      W10
GRAHAM           20          10           0          0      W10
GREENLEE         20           0           0          0     SW15
TUCSON/ERN PIMA  30          30           0          0      W15
TOHONO OODHAM    0           0           0          0
WESTERN PIMA      0           0           0          0
SOUTHEAST PINAL  10           0           0          0      W10
SANTA CRUZ       30          30           0          0      W10

SYNOPSIS...
INFLUX OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FROM NORTHERN MEXICO OVERNIGHT
ADDED TO WHAT WAS HERE HAS INCREASED THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY AND THIS EVENING THROUGH ESPECIALLY COCHISE...SANTA CRUZ
AND EASTERN PIMA COUNTIES. SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO GENERATE SEVERE WEATHER WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD GENERALLY BE A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS
FROM ANY GIVEN STORM.

*****************************************************************
KEY...
AREAL COVERAGE - PERCENT OF COUNTY OR AREA THAT WILL EXPERIENCE
                  THUNDERSTORMS
PROB OF SEVERE - THE PROBABILITY THAT ANY ONE OF THE STORMS WILL
                  REACH SEVERE LEVELS (DAMAGING WIND AND/OR
                  LARGE HAIL)
RAIN GRTR THAN - THE PROBABILITY THAT ANY ONE OF THE STORMS WILL
                  PRODUCE RAIN EXCEEDING 1 INCH OR 2 INCHES IN
                  ANY LOCATION
STORM MOTION   - GENERAL DIRECTION FROM WHICH THE STORMS WILL
                  LIKELY MOVE AND SPEED IN MPH

NOTE...
VALID TIME IS FROM 12 NOON TO 12 MIDNIGHT OF THE DAY OF ISSUANCE

THIS PRODUCT IS NOT TO BE USED IN PLACE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS OR WATCHES. THIS PRODUCT IS ONLY USED FOR
OUTLOOK PURPOSES.

END/WJM
Special weather statement, Jul 7, 11:51 AM MST, 3 hours 21 minutes before
AZZ019-026>030-080700-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...SOUTHEAST ARIZONA CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1145 AM MST MON JUL 7 1997

                AREAL    PROBABILITY   RAIN GREATER THAN   STORM
              COVERAGE    OF SEVERE     1.00       2.00    MOTION

COCHISE          30          30           0          0      W10
GRAHAM           20          10           0          0      W10
GREENLEE         20           0           0          0     SW15
TUCSON/ERN PIMA  30          30           0          0      W15
TOHONO O'ODHAM    0           0           0          0
WESTERN PIMA      0           0           0          0
SOUTHEAST PINAL  10           0           0          0      W10
SANTA CRUZ       30          30           0          0      W10

SYNOPSIS...
INFLUX OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FROM NORTHERN MEXICO OVERNIGHT
ADDED TO WHAT WAS HERE HAS INCREASED THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY AND THIS EVENING THROUGH ESPECIALLY COCHISE...SANTA CRUZ
AND EASTERN PIMA COUNTIES. SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO GENERATE SEVERE WEATHER WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD GENERALLY BE A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS
FROM ANY GIVEN STORM.

*****************************************************************
KEY...
AREAL COVERAGE - PERCENT OF COUNTY OR AREA THAT WILL EXPERIENCE
                  THUNDERSTORMS
PROB OF SEVERE - THE PROBABILITY THAT ANY ONE OF THE STORMS WILL
                  REACH SEVERE LEVELS (DAMAGING WIND AND/OR
                  LARGE HAIL)
RAIN GRTR THAN - THE PROBABILITY THAT ANY ONE OF THE STORMS WILL
                  PRODUCE RAIN EXCEEDING 1 INCH OR 2 INCHES IN
                  ANY LOCATION
STORM MOTION   - GENERAL DIRECTION FROM WHICH THE STORMS WILL
                  LIKELY MOVE AND SPEED IN MPH

NOTE...
VALID TIME IS FROM 12 NOON TO 12 MIDNIGHT OF THE DAY OF ISSUANCE

THIS PRODUCT IS NOT TO BE USED IN PLACE OFN SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS OR WATCHES. THIS PRODUCT IS ONLY USED FOR
OUTLOOK PURPOSES.

END/WJM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 12:45 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCCochise65 min
Jul 7, 1:44 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima46 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 1997Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1997

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.