Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1997

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 22, NWS Tucson, AZ

July 7, 1997Cochise County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 7, 1997, 12:45 PM MST for Cochise County, Arizona. It was in force for 65 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 1997, 12:45 PM MST (19:45 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 1997, 1:50 PM MST
In force
65 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Whole counties

County Cochise County, AZ

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 1997-07-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 807 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 1997-07-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 78 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
807 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-222 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2117 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
78 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
150 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KTUS 071945 RRA
SVRTUS
AZC003-072050-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1245 PM MST MON JUL 7 1997

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON AZ HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 150 PM MST
FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION...

IN SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA

   ...WESTERN COCHISE COUNTY
 
AT 1245 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS FROM INTERSTATE 10 NEAR BENSON TO 10 MILES WEST OF
BISBEE IN WESTERN COCHISE COUNTY. MOVEMENT OF CELLS ARE TO THE EAST
AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

END/WJM

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 7, 9:17 AM MST, 3 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 7, 9:17 AM MST, 3 hours 28 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
915 AM MST MON JUL 7 1997

NOT A BAD 12Z TUS RAOB. PW UP TO .96 WITH COOLING TEMP PROFILE
LWR LAYERS. OUTFLOW FROM LAST NGTS NW MEX CONVECTION AGN ON THE
SHALLOW SIDE BUT THESE ARE STARTING TO MOUNT UP. DIRECT SLY MSTR
INFLUX DONE ATTM FOR OUR AREA (ALTHO YUMA KYUX STILL SHOWING WK
SURGE ALONG WITH SFC DEWPTS IN THE LWR 70S)...SO LWR LVLS AND SFC
DEWPTS SHUD ONCE AGN MIX OUT LATER TDA. WV IMAGERY SHOWING DRIER
AREA PUSHING IN ALF FROM THE W. STILL...SHUD BE ENUF FOR A FEW
MORE CLDS THAN PREV FCST ADVERTISED AS WELL AS SOME ISOLD DRY
TSTM ACTION IN ZN019 AND SRN ZN028 TO GO WITH ZN030. MSTR WITH
LWR LVL COOLING MAY ALSO KNOCK TEMPS DOWN A COUPLE DEGS. ALL
REFLECTED IN UPDATE A LTL ERYR.

MSTR HAS BEEN HANGING ON (WITH NGTLY REINFORCEMENTS FROM OLD MEX)
IN THE FACE OF GENERALLY WLY FLOW FOR SEVERAL DAYS. SIGNS WLY
FLOW WILL INCR WITH MEX ACTIVITY SUPRESSED A BIT..4.MORE ON THAT
THIS AFTN. TUS 000. MEYER

TUS...NONE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 7, 11:45 AM MST, 1 hour before
AZZ019-026>030-080700-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...SOUTHEAST ARIZONA CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1145 AM MST MON JUL 7 1997

                AREAL    PROBABILITY   RAIN GREATER THAN   STORM
              COVERAGE    OF SEVERE     1.00       2.00    MOTION

COCHISE          30          30           0          0      W10
GRAHAM           20          10           0          0      W10
GREENLEE         20           0           0          0     SW15
TUCSON/ERN PIMA  30          30           0          0      W15
TOHONO OODHAM    0           0           0          0
WESTERN PIMA      0           0           0          0
SOUTHEAST PINAL  10           0           0          0      W10
SANTA CRUZ       30          30           0          0      W10

SYNOPSIS...
INFLUX OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FROM NORTHERN MEXICO OVERNIGHT
ADDED TO WHAT WAS HERE HAS INCREASED THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY AND THIS EVENING THROUGH ESPECIALLY COCHISE...SANTA CRUZ
AND EASTERN PIMA COUNTIES. SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO GENERATE SEVERE WEATHER WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD GENERALLY BE A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS
FROM ANY GIVEN STORM.

*****************************************************************
KEY...
AREAL COVERAGE - PERCENT OF COUNTY OR AREA THAT WILL EXPERIENCE
                  THUNDERSTORMS
PROB OF SEVERE - THE PROBABILITY THAT ANY ONE OF THE STORMS WILL
                  REACH SEVERE LEVELS (DAMAGING WIND AND/OR
                  LARGE HAIL)
RAIN GRTR THAN - THE PROBABILITY THAT ANY ONE OF THE STORMS WILL
                  PRODUCE RAIN EXCEEDING 1 INCH OR 2 INCHES IN
                  ANY LOCATION
STORM MOTION   - GENERAL DIRECTION FROM WHICH THE STORMS WILL
                  LIKELY MOVE AND SPEED IN MPH

NOTE...
VALID TIME IS FROM 12 NOON TO 12 MIDNIGHT OF THE DAY OF ISSUANCE

THIS PRODUCT IS NOT TO BE USED IN PLACE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS OR WATCHES. THIS PRODUCT IS ONLY USED FOR
OUTLOOK PURPOSES.

END/WJM
Special weather statement, Jul 7, 11:51 AM MST, 54 minutes before
AZZ019-026>030-080700-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...SOUTHEAST ARIZONA CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1145 AM MST MON JUL 7 1997

                AREAL    PROBABILITY   RAIN GREATER THAN   STORM
              COVERAGE    OF SEVERE     1.00       2.00    MOTION

COCHISE          30          30           0          0      W10
GRAHAM           20          10           0          0      W10
GREENLEE         20           0           0          0     SW15
TUCSON/ERN PIMA  30          30           0          0      W15
TOHONO O'ODHAM    0           0           0          0
WESTERN PIMA      0           0           0          0
SOUTHEAST PINAL  10           0           0          0      W10
SANTA CRUZ       30          30           0          0      W10

SYNOPSIS...
INFLUX OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FROM NORTHERN MEXICO OVERNIGHT
ADDED TO WHAT WAS HERE HAS INCREASED THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY AND THIS EVENING THROUGH ESPECIALLY COCHISE...SANTA CRUZ
AND EASTERN PIMA COUNTIES. SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO GENERATE SEVERE WEATHER WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD GENERALLY BE A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS
FROM ANY GIVEN STORM.

*****************************************************************
KEY...
AREAL COVERAGE - PERCENT OF COUNTY OR AREA THAT WILL EXPERIENCE
                  THUNDERSTORMS
PROB OF SEVERE - THE PROBABILITY THAT ANY ONE OF THE STORMS WILL
                  REACH SEVERE LEVELS (DAMAGING WIND AND/OR
                  LARGE HAIL)
RAIN GRTR THAN - THE PROBABILITY THAT ANY ONE OF THE STORMS WILL
                  PRODUCE RAIN EXCEEDING 1 INCH OR 2 INCHES IN
                  ANY LOCATION
STORM MOTION   - GENERAL DIRECTION FROM WHICH THE STORMS WILL
                  LIKELY MOVE AND SPEED IN MPH

NOTE...
VALID TIME IS FROM 12 NOON TO 12 MIDNIGHT OF THE DAY OF ISSUANCE

THIS PRODUCT IS NOT TO BE USED IN PLACE OFN SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS OR WATCHES. THIS PRODUCT IS ONLY USED FOR
OUTLOOK PURPOSES.

END/WJM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 1:44 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima46 min
Jul 7, 3:12 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima63 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 1997Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1997

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.