Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Warnings in 1997

Tornado Warning 45, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

October 31, 1997Polk County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this tornado warning at Oct 31, 1997, 2:09 PM EST for Polk County, Florida. It was in force for 46 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Oct 31, 1997, 2:09 PM EST (19:09 UTC)
Expired
Oct 31, 1997, 2:55 PM EST
In force
46 min
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Whole counties

County Polk County, FL

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Oct 31, 2:15 PM ESTTornado F1Mulberry, FLA tornado touched down and damaged a warehouse distribution center, overturned two tractor trailers, tore down 100 feet of chain link fence and blew down several power poles along State Road 60 near County Road 676.The tornado touched down a second time and da
Oct 31, 2:30 PM ESTTornado F1Mulberry, FLA tornado touched down along State Road 37 near State Road 640 and uprooted or snapped, half-way up, 50 to 60 pine trees, destroyed a shed and caused structural damage to a home in rural western Polk county before it lifted and dissipated.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Oct 31, 1:45 PM ESTTornado WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 74 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 1997-10-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1009 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 1997-10-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 146 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1009 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-17 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
577 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
146 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
197 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KTBW 311910 RRA
TORTBW
FLC105-311955-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
209 PM EST FRI OCT 31 1997

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A...TORNADO WARNING
EFFECTIVE UNTIL 255 PM EST FOR

...WESTERN POLK COUNTY


AT 207 PM EST... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR IN RUSKIN
INDICATED A DEVELOPING TORNADO JUST TO THE SOUTH OF MULBERRY NEAR ROUTE
37 IN WESTERN POLK COUNTY. THE TORNADO WAS MOZVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT
20 TO 25 MPH.

ANOTHER SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH A POSSIBLE TORNADO WAS LOCATED IN
SOUTHEASTERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY MAY MOVE INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF POLK
COUNTY BY 230 PM AS WELL.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Oct 31, 9:55 AM EST, 4 hours 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 9:55 AM EST, 4 hours 14 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY-RUSKIN, FL
955 AM EST FRI OCT 31 1997

...POTENTIAL FOR SVR WX LATE THIS AFTN AND EVNG...

LATEST WV LOOP SHOWING PAIR OF STRN SHRT WVS...ONE IN E TX AND ANOTHER
JUST INTO CENTRL LA. THESE IMPULSES ARE FCST TO MOVE NE INTO GA LATER
THIS EVNG. WV ALSO SHOWING DIFFLUENT PATTERN OVR MOST OF FL. CONVECTION
DEVELOPING OVR MOST OF GLF WITH NO REAL ORGANIZATION SHOWING UP IN
LTNG DATA YET. SMALL PERSISTENT AREA OF TSTMS JUST OFF SRQ CST THAT HAS
HAS STRENTHENED IN LAST 1/2 HR WITH HINTS OF ROTATION. STILL LOOKS LIKE
TIME FRAME FOR BEST CHCS FOR SVR WX WILL BE SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 5 AND 10 PM.
WILL TRY TO NAIL DOWN TIMING BETTER WITH NEXT MODEL RUN. NEEDLESS TO SAY...
TRICK OR TREATERS LIKELY TO HAVE A STORMY NIGHT IN STORE. ONLY TWO FACTORS
THAT WOULD WORK AGAINST SVR EVENT:  NOT MUCH LLVL CONVERGENCE FCST S OF
DEVELOPING SFC LO...AND NO REAL COLD AIR MOVING IN BEHIND THIS LO.  COLD
AIR/FRNT HANGING BACK OVR W GLF...WAITING FOR NEXT STRNG UPR WV LATER THIS
WEEKEND.

WILL UPDATE CURRENT ZONES TO TWEAK MAX TEMPS DOWNWARD DUE TO THICK
CLD COVER. WOULD ALSO LIKE TO HIT EVENG FORECAST HARDER THAN IT IS
CURRENTLY TO ADD HIGHER POPS AND MENTION OF POSSIBLE SVR WX...ESPEC
SINCE IT IS HALLOWEEN. MIA...WILL GIVE YOU A CALL IF I DECIDE TO TWEAK
SECOND PERIOD.

MORALES

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 31, 10:10 AM EST, 3 hours 59 minutes before
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-504-505-312100-
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA RUSKIN FL
1010 AM EST FRI OCT 31 1997

  ...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING SOUTH OF LOUISIANA WILL TRACK
EAST NORTHEAST TO NEAR THE BIG BEND BY THIS EVENING.  UPPER LEVEL
WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY AND A SQUALL LINE
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE WESTERN PANHANDLE OF
FLORIDA INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE ALREADY DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND WILL
EXPAND IN COVERAGE AND MOVE OVER WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
BEFORE NOON.

LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...A SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THEN MOVE EAST...
AFFECTING WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA BETWEEN 6 PM AND 10 PM. HOWEVER...
EXACT TIMING IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT AT THIS TIME.
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND SMALL HAIL.
CONDITIONS MAY ALSO BECOME FAVORABLE FOR A FEW SHORT LIVED TORNADOES
TO DEVELOP.

AS TONIGHT IS HALLOWEEN...PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO AVOID BEING
CAUGHT OUTSIDE DURING THUNDERSTORMS.  LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE
WEATHER RELATED CAUSE OF DEATH IN FLORIDA.  RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE
TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL TV FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND FURTHER STATEMENTS.

PELATTI/MORALES
Special weather statement, Oct 31, 10:14 AM EST, 3 hours 55 minutes before
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-504-505-312100-
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA RUSKIN FL
1010 AM EST FRI OCT 31 1997

  ...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING SOUTH OF LOUISIANA WILL TRACK
EAST NORTHEAST TO NEAR THE BIG BEND BY THIS EVENING.  UPPER LEVEL
WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY AND A SQUALL LINE
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE WESTERN PANHANDLE OF
FLORIDA INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE ALREADY DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND WILL
EXPAND IN COVERAGE AND MOVE OVER WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
BEFORE NOON.

LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...A SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THEN MOVE EAST...
AFFECTING WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA BETWEEN 6 PM AND 10 PM. HOWEVER...
EXACT TIMING IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT AT THIS TIME.
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND SMALL HAIL.
CONDITIONS MAY ALSO BECOME FAVORABLE FOR A FEW SHORT LIVED TORNADOES
TO DEVELOP.

AS TONIGHT IS HALLOWEEN...PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO AVOID BEING
CAUGHT OUTSIDE DURING THUNDERSTORMS.  LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE
WEATHER RELATED CAUSE OF DEATH IN FLORIDA.  RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE
TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL TV FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND FURTHER STATEMENTS.

PELATTI/MORALES

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 31, 11:36 AM ESTTornado WarningTBWManatee, Sarasota29 min
Oct 31, 12:14 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWManatee, Sarasota51 min
Oct 31, 12:48 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWManatee47 min
Oct 31, 1:56 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWHillsborough29 min
Oct 31, 2:50 PM ESTTornado WarningTBWPolk45 min
Oct 31, 3:29 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough, Pasco, Pinellas61 min
Oct 31, 3:44 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWPolk31 min
Oct 31, 4:30 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough45 min
Oct 31, 4:40 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWPinellas50 min
Oct 31, 5:31 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWPolk49 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Florida, 1997Every tornado warning in 1997Tornadoes in 1997

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.