Severe Thunderstorm Warning 80, NWS San Angelo, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
152 AM CDT THU MAY 15 1997

A VERY ACTIVE MORNING IS TAKING PLACE OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS AS
ABILENE HAS BEEN PELTED WITH GOLF BALL HAIL AND A LINE OF STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS ENTERING THE WESTERN CONCHO VALLEY. ALL OF
OUR COUNTIES ARE IN A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 7 AM.

AFTER THESE STORMS END THERE SHOULD BE SOME LEFTOVER BOUNDARIES THAT
COULD BE FOCUS AREAS FOR MORE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ALTHOUGH THE SEVERE RISK FROM SPC ONLY CLIPS
OUR WESTERNMOST COUNTIES WE COULD GET ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER AGAIN
OVER THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF OUR REGION IF WE GET ENOUGH HEATING.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD DOWN A FEW DEGREES TODAY DUE TO HIGH DEW
POINTS AND LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW...AND SCATTERED TO BROKEN MID TO HIGH
LEVEL MOISTURE. I WILL SPLIT GUIDANCE NUMBERS FOR HIGHS AND GO FOR
HIGHER END OF GUIDANCE FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES MAINLY DUE TO
LEFTOVER MORNING CONVECTION.

UNLIKE THIS MORNING...EARLY FRIDAY MORNING SHOULD BE MUCH QUIETER AS
THE LOW LEVEL FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BE MUCH WEAKER AND THE UPPER AND
MID LEVELS DRY OUT SIGNIFICANTLY. LOW CLOUDS ARE LIKELY...HOWEVER...
AS THE ETA KEEPS PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY.
THESE LOW CLOUDS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES ABOVE GUIDANCE TONIGHT.

ABI 080/060 52
JCT 083/060 32
SJT 081/062 52

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TXZ049-053-054-064-065-150845-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
327 AM CDT THU MAY 15 1997

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR
FISHER...MITCHELL...NOLAN...STERLING...AND COKE COUNTIES...

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER
OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS UNTIL 7 AM...

AT 325 AM THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER HAS ENDED OVER THE WESTERN
BIG COUNTRY AND THE NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE CONCHO VALLEY.
THEREFORE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR
FISHER...MITCHELL...NOLAN...STERLING...AND COKE COUNTIES.

A LONG LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

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