Severe Thunderstorm Warning 268, NWS Norman, OK

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OKZ004>053-TXZ083>090-162030-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1230 PM CDT MON JUN 16 1997

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS MAINLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM QUANAH TEXAS TO LAWTON
TO SEMINOLE. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE FLOODING RAIN...DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL.

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT OVER PARTS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...NORTH OF THE
MODERATE RISK AREA AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CHEYENNE TO GUTHRIE TO
STILLWATER. THE MAIN THREATS WITHIN THE SLIGHT RISK AREA WILL BE
FLOODING RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDED ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO FAR
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AT NOON.  AT THE SAME TIME AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WAS
ACCELERATING IN ITS EASTWARD MOVEMENT AS IT CROSSED EAST CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO.  HIGH LEVELS OF INSTABILITY AND VERY MOIST LOW LEVEL AIR WERE IN
PLACE ACROSS THE SLIGHT AND MODERATE RISK AREAS.

AS THE UPPER STORM APPROACHES THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING...WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP.  THE FRONT
WILL PROBABLY FOCUS THE INITIAL STORM DEVELOPMENT.  THE STORMS ARE THEN
EXPECTED TO EXPAND IN COVERAGE AND WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT.

STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS SHOULD BE
PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

THIS IS A SPECIAL THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK DUE TO THE THREAT OF SEVERE
WEATHER.  ROUTINE OUTLOOKS WILL RESUME NEXT SPRING.

CMS/CB

OKZ004>053-TXZ083>090-162030-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1230 PM CDT MON JUN 16 1997

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS MAINLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM QUANAH TEXAS TO LAWTON
TO SEMINOLE. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE FLOODING RAIN...DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL.

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT OVER PARTS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...NORTH OF THE
MODERATE RISK AREA AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CHEYENNE TO GUTHRIE TO
STILLWATER. THE MAIN THREATS WITHIN THE SLIGHT RISK AREA WILL BE
FLOODING RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDED ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO FAR
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AT NOON.  AT THE SAME TIME AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WAS
ACCELERATING IN ITS EASTWARD MOVEMENT AS IT CROSSED EAST CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO.  HIGH LEVELS OF INSTABILITY AND VERY MOIST LOW LEVEL AIR WERE IN
PLACE ACROSS THE SLIGHT AND MODERATE RISK AREAS.

AS THE UPPER STORM APPROACHES THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING...WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP.  THE FRONT
WILL PROBABLY FOCUS THE INITIAL STORM DEVELOPMENT.  THE STORMS ARE THEN
EXPECTED TO EXPAND IN COVERAGE AND WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT.

STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS SHOULD BE
PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

THIS IS A SPECIAL THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK DUE TO THE THREAT OF SEVERE
WEATHER.  ROUTINE OUTLOOKS WILL RESUME NEXT SPRING.

CMS/CB

OKZ004>053-TXZ083>090-162030-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
345 PM CDT MON JUN 16 1997

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM
HENRIETTA TEXAS TO LAWTON TO SEMINOLE. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE FLOODING
RAIN...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT OVER THE REST OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDED ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO FAR
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AT 330 PM.  AT THE SAME TIME AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
WAS MOVING EAST INTO THE WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.  HIGH LEVELS OF
INSTABILITY AND VERY MOIST LOW LEVEL AIR WERE IN PLACE ACROSS THE SLIGHT
AND MODERATE RISK AREAS.

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND
ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AS WELL AS WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.  INSTABILITY IS EXTREME IN SOUTH CENTRAL...SOUTHEAST...AND
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...AND VERY HIGH ELSEWHERE IN THE RISK AREAS.  EVEN
THOUGH THE WIND PROFILE SHOWS LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SHEAR...THE RISK OF
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL EXIST DUE TO THE HIGH LEVELS OF
INSTABILITY...ESPECIALLY IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA.

STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS SHOULD BE
PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

THIS IS A SPECIAL THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK DUE TO THE THREAT OF SEVERE
WEATHER.  ROUTINE OUTLOOKS WILL RESUME NEXT SPRING.

CMS

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