Severe Thunderstorm Warning 31, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1010 AM EDT MON JUN 2 1997

EXAMINATION OF MODIFIED 12Z XMR SOUNDING SHOWS POTENTIAL FOR
HAIL/STRONG WINDS WITH STORMS TODAY AS STRONG DRYING HAS WORKED IN
ABOVE 650 WITH WBZ DOWN TO 11.5 KFT. CASE EN POINTE...SVR ISSUED FOR
ORANGE ALREADY WITH SMALL HAIL BEING REPORTED. DEW POINT BOUNDARY
CURRENTLY WORKING THROUGH WILL ACT TO FOCUS STORMS. ECSB ALSO
POSSIBLE IF LOW LEVEL SW WINDS DON':T PICK UP. WILL BUMP UP POPS SE OF
THE BOUNDARY AND KEEP THINGS AS IS TO THE NW.

CRISTALDI

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-021230-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
700 AM EDT MON JUN 2 1997

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY...A FEW POSSIBLY SEVERE...

A DEEP STORM SYSTEM WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS NORTHERN
MISSISSIPPI TODAY. THIS STORM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS
ABOVE THE SURFACE ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA. AS THE ATMOSPHERE WARMS
ACROSS THE PENINSULA THIS MORNING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE INTERIOR COUNTIES WITHIN THE
UNSTABLE AIR MASS...AND MOVE NORTHEAST AT 25 TO 30 MPH.

DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
STATE TODAY AND SHOULD LOWER THE COVERAGE OF STORMS NORTH OF A
LAKELAND TO CAPE CANAVERAL LINE. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MORE NUMEROUS
FARTHER TO THE SOUTH...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

COLDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND THE PRESENCE OF A LAYER OF
DRIER AIR AT MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE MAY ACT TO ENHANCE
THUNDERSTORM INTENSITY TODAY. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE AND
PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. IF A SEA BREEZE FORMS
THIS AFTERNOON...THE POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE FOR SEVERE STORMS OVER
THE COASTAL COUNTIES. BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY MANY OF THE STORMS. MOVE
QUICKLY TO A SAFE LOCATION AT THE FIRST SIGN OF AN APPROACHING
THUNDERSTORM.

MARINE OUTLOOK...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY OFFSHORE
THE PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. ALTHOUGH THE BEST
CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL OCCUR OVER THE INTRACOASTAL AND COASTAL WATERS
SOUTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL...A FEW STORMS WILL ALSO OCCUR FARTHER NORTH.
SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL....AND SQUALLY WEATHER.

SPRATT

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-021230-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
700 AM EDT MON JUN 2 1997

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY...A FEW POSSIBLY SEVERE...

A DEEP STORM SYSTEM WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS NORTHERN
MISSISSIPPI TODAY. THIS STORM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS
ABOVE THE SURFACE ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA. AS THE ATMOSPHERE WARMS
ACROSS THE PENINSULA THIS MORNING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE INTERIOR COUNTIES WITHIN THE
UNSTABLE AIR MASS...AND MOVE NORTHEAST AT 25 TO 30 MPH.

DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
STATE TODAY AND SHOULD LOWER THE COVERAGE OF STORMS NORTH OF A
LAKELAND TO CAPE CANAVERAL LINE. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MORE NUMEROUS
FARTHER TO THE SOUTH...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

COLDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND THE PRESENCE OF A LAYER OF
DRIER AIR AT MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE MAY ACT TO ENHANCE
THUNDERSTORM INTENSITY TODAY. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE AND
PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. IF A SEA BREEZE FORMS
THIS AFTERNOON...THE POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE FOR SEVERE STORMS OVER
THE COASTAL COUNTIES. BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY MANY OF THE STORMS. MOVE
QUICKLY TO A SAFE LOCATION AT THE FIRST SIGN OF AN APPROACHING
THUNDERSTORM.

MARINE OUTLOOK...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY OFFSHORE
THE PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. ALTHOUGH THE BEST
CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL OCCUR OVER THE INTRACOASTAL AND COASTAL WATERS
SOUTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL...A FEW STORMS WILL ALSO OCCUR FARTHER NORTH.P
SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL....AND SQUALLY WEATHER.

SPRATT

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-021730-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1125 AM EDT MON JUN 2 1997

...A FEW SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE...MAINLY SOUTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL AND
ORLANDO...

LATE THIS MORNING...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SEPARATING SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR
TO THE NORTH WITH MOIST...UNSTABLE AIR TO THE SOUTH WAS ALONG A CAPE
CANAVERAL TO ST CLOUD LINE. THIS BOUNDARY WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE
PENINSULA WHILE WEAKENING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. AS IT DOES SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG IT AND MOVE NORTHEAST AT 25 TO 30
MPH. DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE STATE TODAY...LOWERING THE COVERAGE OF STORMS NORTH OF THE
BOUNDARY. IN ADDITION...SCATTERED STORMS WILL ALSO DEVELOP ALONG
THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE FROM SARASOTA SOUTHWARD AND QUICKLY MOVE
EAST INTO AREAS FROM FORT DRUM AND FORT PIERCE SOUTHWARD. STORMS WILL
INCREASE IN COVERAGE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

COLDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND A LAYER OF DRY AIR AT MID
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL ENHANCE STORM INTENSITY TODAY. A FEW
STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS. IF A SEA BREEZE FORMS THIS AFTERNOON...THE POTENTIAL WILL
INCREASE FOR SEVERE STORMS OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES. BRIEF PERIODS
OF HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY
MANY OF THE STORMS. MOVE QUICKLY TO A SAFE LOCATION AT THE FIRST SIGN
OF AN APPROACHING THUNDERSTORM.

MARINE OUTLOOK...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY OFFSHORE
THE PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. ALTHOUGH THE BEST
CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL OCCUR OVER THE INTRACOASTAL AND COASTAL WATERS
SOUTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL...A FEW STORMS MAY ALSO OCCUR FARTHER NORTH.
SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS.

CRISTALDI