Severe Thunderstorm Warning 296, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
148 PM CDT FRI JUN 20 1997

KMAF 88D INDICATES CONVECTION DEVELOPING W OF THE PECOS INVOF OF
EVOLVING DRYLINE AND IN AREA OF LOW-LEVEL MSTR CONVERGENCE PER 12Z
RUC. DWPNTS AT KMRF HAVE DROPPED IN THE 40S WITH WLY WINDS...FURTHER
E DWPNTS ARE SLOWLY FALLING INTO THE M50S WITH CAPES AROUND 1500
J/KG. WILL LOOK FOR WIDELY SCATTERED HIGH-BASED STORMS TO CONTINUE
DEVELOP THRU THE AFTERNOON WITH THREAT SLOWLY SHIFTING E AS TEMPS
CLIMB INTO THE MID TO U90S. LOW-LEVEL WINDS SWLY ATTM ACROSS MOST OF
THE AREA...HOWEVER WINDS EXPECTED TO BACK TO THE S EARLY THIS
EVENING AND STRENGTHEN IN RESPONSE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW INVOF WRN
KS. THEREFORE WILL LOOK FOR MSTR TO GENERALLY REMAIN IN PLACE OR
RETURN WARRANTING WIDELY SCATTERED POPS ACROSS THE PB AS FAR E AS
KMAF THRU THIS EVENING. 7H SHEAR AXIS EVIDENT ON GRIDDS TO THE NW TO
REMAIN IN PLACE THRU TMRW WITH INDICATIONS OF LESS INSTABILITY...7H
THERMAL RIDGE TO PERSIST AS WELL AND WILL OPT TO KEEP DRY FCST GOING.

MAF 69/97 20/-
CNM 66/99 20/-
MRF 58/92 20/-
P07 70/95 10/-

MURDOCH/BRITE

NMZ027>029-TXZ045>048-050>052-057>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-210500-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
1117 AM CDT (1017 AM MDT) FRI JUN 20 1997

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN WEST TEXAS:

ANDREWS   CULBERSON  GLASSCOCK   MARTIN    REAGAN   UPTON
BORDEN    DAWSON     HOWARD      MIDLAND   REEVES   WARD
BREWSTER  ECTOR      JEFF DAVIS  PECOS     SCURRY   WINKLER
CRANE     GAINES     LOVING      PRESIDIO  TERRELL

AND IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO:

EDDY      LEA

A RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...THE TRANS-PECOS REGION...AND THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS
IN EDDY COUNTY.

SHALLOW LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA IS
EXPECTED TO DECREASE THROUGH DAY AS DEEP MIXING OCCURS. HOWEVER
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE AREA WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ALLOWING FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF HIGH-BASED SHOWERS AND STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND SMALL HAIL. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO APPROACH CENTRAL AREAS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN BY LATE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING INCREASING THREAT FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS FURTHER
EAST.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FOR THE WEST CENTRAL TEXAS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT LBBSPSSJT.
FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT LBBSPSLBB.

MURDOCH/BRITE

NMZ027>029-TXZ045>048-050>052-057>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-210500-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...CORRECTION TO WORDING...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
1117 AM CDT (1017 AM MDT) FRI JUN 20 1997

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN WEST TEXAS:

ANDREWS   CULBERSON  GLASSCOCK   MARTIN    REAGAN   UPTON
BORDEN    DAWSON     HOWARD      MIDLAND   REEVES   WARD
BREWSTER  ECTOR      JEFF DAVIS  PECOS     SCURRY   WINKLER
CRANE     GAINES     LOVING      PRESIDIO  TERRELL

AND IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO:

EDDY      LEA

A RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...THE TRANS-PECOS REGION...AND THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS
IN EDDY COUNTY.
SHALLOW LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA IS
EXPECTED TO DECREASE THROUGH DAY AS DEEP MIXING OCCURS. HOWEVER
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE AREA WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ALLOWING FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF HIGH-BASED SHOWERS AND STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE ISOLATED GUSTY WINDS
TO AROUND 60 MPH AND SMALL HAIL. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO APPROACH CENTRAL AREAS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN BY LATE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING INCREASING THE THREAT FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS FURTHER
EAST.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FOR THE WEST CENTRAL TEXAS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT LBBSPSSJT.
FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT LBBSPSLBB.

MURDOCH/BRITE