Severe Thunderstorm Warning 292, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
1054 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 1997

SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES SHALLOW LOW-LEVEL MSTR IS W INTO THE
MTNS WITH WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATING CYCLONIC CIRCULATION MOVING
SE FROM VICINITY OF PB. 12Z RUC MODEL INDICATES DRYLINE TO EVOLVE
THRU THE DAY AS DEEP MIXING OCCURS AND IS EXPECTED TO BE INVOF OF
KMAF BY LATE AFTERNOON. TODAYS CONDITIONS SIMILAR TO YESTERDAYS WITH
EXCEPTION OF GREATER INSTABILITY. EXPECT HI BASED STORMS TO INITIATE
ACROSS WRN PB WHERE WARMEST TEMPS TO BE FOUND AND SLOWLY DEVELOP
FURTHER E. NO SURPRISE THAT 12Z KMAF SOUNDING INDICATES MAIN THREAT
WILL BE FROM WINDS WITH A CLASSIC INVERTED-V SIGNATURE PRESENT...THE
WIND INDEX SUPPORTS WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 KT. WILL HOLD OFF ON
MENTION OF SEVERE ATTM WITH PRESENCE OF VERY WARM 7H TEMPS...WILL
ADDRESS IN NOWS AND OUTLOOK. TEMP RISES INHIBITED BY CLOUD COVER
VERSUS 24HRS AGO HOWEVER WILL HOLD ON MSTR SLOWLY DECREASES.
FCST LOOKS GOOD.

MURDOCH/BRITE

NMZ027>029-TXZ045>048-050>052-057>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-210500-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
1117 AM CDT (1017 AM MDT) FRI JUN 20 1997

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN WEST TEXAS:

ANDREWS   CULBERSON  GLASSCOCK   MARTIN    REAGAN   UPTON
BORDEN    DAWSON     HOWARD      MIDLAND   REEVES   WARD
BREWSTER  ECTOR      JEFF DAVIS  PECOS     SCURRY   WINKLER
CRANE     GAINES     LOVING      PRESIDIO  TERRELL

AND IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO:

EDDY      LEA

A RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...THE TRANS-PECOS REGION...AND THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS
IN EDDY COUNTY.

SHALLOW LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA IS
EXPECTED TO DECREASE THROUGH DAY AS DEEP MIXING OCCURS. HOWEVER
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE AREA WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ALLOWING FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF HIGH-BASED SHOWERS AND STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND SMALL HAIL. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO APPROACH CENTRAL AREAS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN BY LATE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING INCREASING THREAT FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS FURTHER
EAST.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FOR THE WEST CENTRAL TEXAS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT LBBSPSSJT.
FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT LBBSPSLBB.

MURDOCH/BRITE

NMZ027>029-TXZ045>048-050>052-057>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-210500-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...CORRECTION TO WORDING...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
1117 AM CDT (1017 AM MDT) FRI JUN 20 1997

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN WEST TEXAS:

ANDREWS   CULBERSON  GLASSCOCK   MARTIN    REAGAN   UPTON
BORDEN    DAWSON     HOWARD      MIDLAND   REEVES   WARD
BREWSTER  ECTOR      JEFF DAVIS  PECOS     SCURRY   WINKLER
CRANE     GAINES     LOVING      PRESIDIO  TERRELL

AND IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO:

EDDY      LEA

A RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...THE TRANS-PECOS REGION...AND THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS
IN EDDY COUNTY.
SHALLOW LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA IS
EXPECTED TO DECREASE THROUGH DAY AS DEEP MIXING OCCURS. HOWEVER
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE AREA WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ALLOWING FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF HIGH-BASED SHOWERS AND STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE ISOLATED GUSTY WINDS
TO AROUND 60 MPH AND SMALL HAIL. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO APPROACH CENTRAL AREAS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN BY LATE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING INCREASING THE THREAT FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS FURTHER
EAST.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FOR THE WEST CENTRAL TEXAS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT LBBSPSSJT.
FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT LBBSPSLBB.

MURDOCH/BRITE