Flash Flood Warning 14, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
1035 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 1997

NEW DAY-1 SPC DISCO RAISES ANTE FOR SVR WX AROUND MUCH OF THE CWA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LATEST RADAR AND SATL DATA HAS ROUND-1 OF
SUNDAY MORNING CNVCTN (IN FORM OF AN MCS) WAS HEADING NORTH AND EAST
OF PERMIAN BASIN. 1445Z VISIBLE SATL IMAGERY SHOWS CLEARING OVER THE
SW COUNTIES. SFC DEWPOINTS AROUND THE REGION CONTINUE FROM THE UPPER
50S WRN COUNTIES TO MID 60S ERN PERMIAN BASIN. GIVEN HEATING FROM
SOLAR INSOLATION..CAPES AT RAOB LAUNCH TIME AROUND 1200 J/KG WILL
RAISE TO AOA 3000 BY 20Z. THIS ALONG WITH LIS IN THE -5 TO -8 RANGE
AND STORM RELATIVE HELICITIES NEAR 150 M/SEC*2 WILL GIVE WAY TO MORE
PSBL SUPERCELLS LATER TODAY..(SEE 15Z DAY-1 SVR STORM PROG). LBB WILL
MENTION SVR FOR OUR CNTIES EAST OF THE MTNS. ZONES FOR SE NM LOOK
FINE FOR NOW. FCST HI TEMPS AND POPS FOR BOTH STATES LOOK OK FOR NOW.

SNYDER IN SCURRY CNTY REPORTED SOME STREETS UNDER WATER FROM PCPN
AND SOME VEHICLE ACCIDENTS ASSOC FROM THIS. REAGAN COUNTY ALSO
REPORTED SOME LOW CROSSING FLOODING EARLIER.

BOYD/BRITE/PENDERGRAST

NMZ027>029-TXZ045>048-050>052-057>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-090500-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
1101 AM CDT (1001 AM MDT) SUN JUN 8 1997

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN WEST TEXAS:

ANDREWS   CULBERSON  GLASSCOCK   MARTIN    REAGAN   UPTON
BORDEN    DAWSON     HOWARD      MIDLAND   REEVES   WARD
BREWSTER  ECTOR      JEFF DAVIS  PECOS     SCURRY   WINKLER
CRANE     GAINES     LOVING      PRESIDIO  TERRELL

AND IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO:

EDDY      LEA

SYNOPSIS: A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING THE EXTREME NORTHEAST
PERMIAN BASIN WILL EXIT THE OUTLOOK AREA BY NOON. SKIES WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST OVER THE OUTLOOK AREA. STRONG
SOLAR HEATING WILL CAUSE THE ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME VERY UNSTABLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP MAINLY EAST OF A LINE...FROM
TERLINGUA...TO THE GUADALUPE PASS...TO WEST OF ROSWELL.
THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM OVER THE PERMIAN BASIN...SOUTHERN SOUTH
PLAINS...AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO MAY BECOME SEVERE. THE MAIN THREAT
FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLE
TORNADO DEVELOPMENT. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS AND THE HIGH
AMOUNT OF PRECIPITABLE WATER IN THE ATMOSPHERE MAY CAUSE MORE
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED HEAVY
RAINFALL.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

FOR THE WEST CENTRAL TEXAS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT LBBSPSSJT.
FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT LBBSPSLBB.

BOYD/BRITE