Flash Flood Warning 18, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
222 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 1997

SEVERE WX AND FLASH FLOODING IN PROGRESS FROM THE NRN PERMIAN BASIN/
SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS..TO JUST WEST OF ODESSA..TO FST..TO THE BIG
BEND COUNTRY. A NEG TILT UPPER LOW OVER NE AZ WILL LIFT OUT AND
SLOWLY FILL OVERNIGHT. THIS SHUD HELP DIMINISH PCPN CHANCES FOR
TMRW. HOWEVER.. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THRU
TUESDAY. LOW CLOUDS HAVE HUNG TOUGH OVER THE NRN AND ERN CWA..
THEREFORE THE TEMPS HAVE NOT RISEN AS MUCH AS PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT.
ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM OFF THE NRN CALIFORNIA COAST WILL DIG IN TO
REPLACE THE FIRST ONE FOR THE FIRST PART OF THIS WEEK. WILL STAY
CLOSE TO COOLER FAN NUMBERS.J THANKS FOR EARLIER COOR SJT..LBB..AND
ABQ.

MAF  62/87  70/30
CNM  60/94  50/20
MRF  55/85  40/20
P07  69/89  60/40

BOYD/BRITE

NMZ027>029-TXZ045>048-050>052-057>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-090500-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
1101 AM CDT (1001 AM MDT) SUN JUN 8 1997

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN WEST TEXAS:

ANDREWS   CULBERSON  GLASSCOCK   MARTIN    REAGAN   UPTON
BORDEN    DAWSON     HOWARD      MIDLAND   REEVES   WARD
BREWSTER  ECTOR      JEFF DAVIS  PECOS     SCURRY   WINKLER
CRANE     GAINES     LOVING      PRESIDIO  TERRELL

AND IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO:

EDDY      LEA

SYNOPSIS: A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING THE EXTREME NORTHEAST
PERMIAN BASIN WILL EXIT THE OUTLOOK AREA BY NOON. SKIES WILL
GRADUALLY CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST OVER THE OUTLOOK AREA. STRONG
SOLAR HEATING WILL CAUSE THE ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME VERY UNSTABLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP MAINLY EAST OF A LINE...FROM
TERLINGUA...TO THE GUADALUPE PASS...TO WEST OF ROSWELL.
THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM OVER THE PERMIAN BASIN...SOUTHERN SOUTH
PLAINS...AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO MAY BECOME SEVERE. THE MAIN THREAT
FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLE
TORNADO DEVELOPMENT. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS AND THE HIGH
AMOUNT OF PRECIPITABLE WATER IN THE ATMOSPHERE MAY CAUSE MORE
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED HEAVY
RAINFALL.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

FOR THE WEST CENTRAL TEXAS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT LBBSPSSJT.
FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT LBBSPSLBB.

BOYD/BRITE