Flash Flood Warning 36, NWS Jackson, KY

Issued

Mar 4, 1997, 11:34 PM EST (04:34 UTC)

Expired

Mar 5, 1997, 11:30 AM EST

In force

12 hr

Issued by

NWS Jackson, KY

Area

Whole counties

County Pike County, KY

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

000 
TTAA00 KJKL 050434
FFWJKL
KYC195-051630-

BULLETIN - EBS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1134 PM EST TUE MAR 4 1997

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
FLASH FLOOD WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1130 AM EST
FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY

   ...PIKE
 
AT 1120 PM...A PIKE COUNTY SPOTTER CALLED THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN JACKSON TO REPORT A MUDSLIDE THAT IS 25 FEET HIGH BLOCKING
MARROWBONE CREEK IN THE EASTERN PART OF THE COUNTY. WATER IS
ACCUMULATING BEHIND THE MUDSLIDE.  IF THE MUDSLIDE BREAKS...PEOPLE
NEAR THE ROCKHOUSE AND BAD FORK CREEKS WILL BE AFFECTED WITH WATER
AND MUD.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. WE DO NOT KNOW THE VOLUME OF WATER THAT
WOULD BE RELEASED SHOULD THE MUDSLIDE BREAK...BUT PIKE COUNTY OFFICIALS
ARE TAKING THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS AND EVACUATING THE AFFECTED HOMES.

MORE RAIN IS IN THE FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY.  IF THE SITUATION CAN NOT
BE DIFUSED...WEDNESDAY/S RAIN HAS THE POTENTIAL TO AGGRAVATE THE
SITUATION.
 
EVERYONE SHOULD USE CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING IN PIKE COUNTY TONIGHT...AS
SOME SECONDARY ROADS AND LOW-LYING AREAS MAY BE COVERED BY FLOODWATERS
OR MUD.

&

GROSS/INGRAM

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Mar 4, 8:09 PM EST, 3 hours 25 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
810 PM EST TUE MAR 4 1997

QUICK PERUSAL OF 12Z MODELS INDICATE A WET FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY IN
ORDER.  ETA DUMPS 0.82 INCHES OF RAIN ON US STARTING SOMETIME AROUND
18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING WEDNESDAY EVENING. CFP EXPECTED
IN JKL WEDNESDAY AFTN WITH COOLER TEMPS BEHIND THIS ONE.

JUST GIVEN THE 12Z DATA...I WOULD NOT BE UNCOMFORTABLE WITH A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. EVEN THOUGH IT IS
SECOND PERIOD...THIS PART OF THE STATE DOESN/T NEED ANY MORE RAIN.
THE FLY IN THE OINTMENT IS THE TIME PERIOD OVER WHICH THE RAIN FALLS.
IF IT FALLS SLOWLY OVER A 9 TO 12 HOUR PERIOD...IT WILL LIKELY DO
LITTLE MORE THAN DELAY THE FALL OF OUR RIVERS.

GOOD INSTABILITY GRADIENT EXISTS ACROSS THE STATE DURING WED AFTN.
TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCE ACROSS FRONT WILL LIKELY BE 10 TO 20 DEGREES.
GOOD UVV COMES ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY WED AFTERNOON. THESE PARAMETERS
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CONVECTION WHICH WE DO NOT NEED. IN THAT
EVENT...ANOTHER MINOR CREST (ALBEIT PROBABLY BELOW FLOOD STAGE
IN MOST AREAS) ON SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE.

GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVE RAINS...FEEL THAT A FFA IS
WARRANTED FOR WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS NO DOUBT
IN MY MIND THAT ALL RAIN WILL GO INTO RUNOFF. FFA SHOULD STRESS THE
POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND MENTION THE POSSIBILITY FOR SOME QUICK
RISES...ESPECIALLY ON THE SMALLER STREAMS.

WINDS SHOULD PICK UP A MORE SOUTHERLY COMPONENT BY MIDNIGHT IN MOST
AREAS SO MINS WILL LIKELY OCCUR THIS EVENING AND THEN STABELIZE.
BUMPED MINS DOWN A COUPLE OF DEGREES...OTHERWISE LEFT PREVIOUS FCSTRS
NUMBERS ALONE. COORDINATED WITH MRX.
        |
JKL  48/62/32/48 2+6-
LOZ  46/60/32/48 2+6-

INGRAM

Flash Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 1997Every flash flood warning in 1997

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.