Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Flash Flood Warnings in 1997
Flash Flood Warning 16, NWS State College, PA
NWS State College, PA issued this flash flood warning at Jul 15, 1997, 6:20 PM EDT for Elk County, McKean County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 15, 1997, 6:20 PM EDT (22:20 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 15, 1997, 9:20 PM EDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS State College, PA
- Area
- Whole counties
Counties Elk County, PA, McKean County, PA
The radar
The State College radar (KCCX), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 758 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -144 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1163 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 18 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 57 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 54 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 TTAA00 KCTP 152219 FFWCTP PAC047-083-160120- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 620 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 1997 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE PA HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 920 PM EDT FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS... IN NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA ...MCKEAN COUNTY ...ELK COUNTY AT 615 PM STATE COLLEGE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO SHOW VERY HEAVY RAIN FALLING OVER SOUTHERN MCKEAN AND NORTHERN ELK COUNTIES. RADAR ESTIMATES THAT BETWEEN 2 AND 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN FROM THE KANE AREA TO ORMSBY SINCE 3 PM. RADAR ESTIMATES ANOTHER AREA OF MORE THAN 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN BETWEEN HALLTON AND BELLTOWN. THE RAINFALL SHOULD BEGIN TO TAPER OFF EARLY THIS EVENING... HOWEVER RUNOFF FROM PRIOR HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTRED TO CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. MOVE TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING. LA CORTE
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 15, 2:30 PM EDT, 3 hours 50 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 2:30 PM EDT, 3 hours 50 minutes before
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 230 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 1997 ...ZONE SUGGESTIONS... PHL...RECOMMEND 30 POP FOR SUSQ VAL FOR EVE. WITH A 95 OVER 68 WED SHD NOT VERIFY HEAT WARNING IN LWR SUSQ SO OK TO DROP FOR TOM. PIT...THINK TEMPS WED TOO LOW E OF MTNS. NEED UP 80S E OF MTS LOM ON MTS. THINK LWR SUSQ VAL NEEDS M90S WED. ...DISCUSSION... CU FRMG RPDLY AS OF NOON LDT. PIT SOUNDING IS QUITE UNSTABLE WITH -4 LI 33 K INDEX. MODIFIED SOUNDING GOES TO -6 LI AND 34 K INDEX. MODIFIED CAPE VALUE IS 1933 J/KG. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW CAPE VALUES UP TO 2300J/KG OVR SUSQ VAL AT 0Z WED. THERE ARE 2 FOCAL POINTS FOR CONVECTIVE INITIATION AND THEY ARE THE USUAL LAKE BREEZE CONVERGENCE AREA AND THE RIDGES FRM E WV INTO LAURELS AND S CENTRAL MTNS OF PA. CU LOOKS MUCH DIFFERENT THAN YDY. YDY CU LOOKED RAGGED WHILE TODAY CU HAS VERY WELL DEFINED TURRETS INDICATING LO LVL CAP IS ALREADY BREAKING. QUESTION MARK IS THE HIGHER LEVEL INVERSION AROUND 500MB. INITIAL SOUNDING SHOWS AN ISOTHERMAL LAYER FROM 500MB UP TO ABOUT 475MB. THERE APPRS TO BE ENUF ENERGY BELOW THAT LEVEL TO POP PAST THIS BUT AS TIME GOES BY LOW LEVEL WINDS BECOME DIVERGENT AND AFTER 0Z IT IS OVR FOR THE MTNS. OVR THE SUSQ VAL THE WINDS ARE FEEBLE AT BEST IN LOW LEVELS BUT AT LEAST THERE IS A PROPER PROFILE FOR CONVECTION THRU 6Z WED. GIVEN CAPE VALUES OVR 2000...LEE SIDE/THERMAL TROF OVR THE REGION UNTIL 6Z WED...AND CFROPA (FOR WHAT ITS WORTH) AROUND THE SAME TIME THERE IS A DECENT SHOT AT CONVECTION OVER THE SUSQ VAL E THRU LANCASTER AND SCHUYKILL COUNTIES AS WELL. THE LIMITING FACTOR HERE IS HOW MUCH HOT AIR WILL ADVECT E FROM THE ELEVATED HEATING SURFACES TO THE WEST. THIS CAN CAP CONVECTION AND KEEP CU TO JUST 1 TO 2 THOUSAND FEET THICK. MY EXPERIENCE IN NEW MEXICO WAS THAT THIS IS A VERY IMPORTANT FACTOR AND CAN EITHER DELAY OR STIFLE CONVECTION ENTIRELY. TRAJ SHOW AIRMASS FOR WED IS OVR OH AND IN TDY. DEWPTS ARE 66 TO 69 DEGREES OVR THAT AREA. FWC SHOWS NUMBERS STILL IN 90S FOR WED SO PITZFP NEEDS TO BE BUMPED UP E OF MTNS. WUD SUGGEST M 90S FOR LWR SUSQ WED. AGREE WITH PHL THAT COOLING AND DRYING WILL BE SLOWER COMING IN. WE HAVE TO WAIT FOR FRI NITE OR SAT FOR NEXT MEANINGFUL CFROPA. SO HEAT WAVE CONTINUES UNTIL THEN IN SUSQ VAL AND HOT SPOTS LIKE SO VALS E OF MTNS. PHL...THX FOR COORD. HEAD HEAD
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 15, 4:15 PM EDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
415 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 1997
TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0235 PM NORTH WARREN PA WIND DAMAGE
07/15/97 WARREN NUMEROUS TREES AND WIRES
DOWN NEAR RTE 62
0300 PM YOUNGSVILLE PA 1 INCH HAIL
07/15/97 WARREN
0300 PM NORTH WARREN PA WIND DAMAGE
07/15/97 WARREN TREE DAMAGE
0345 PM BRADFORD PA WIND DAMAGE
07/15/97 MCKEAN TREE DOWN ON CAR, STRONG
WINDSLocal storm report, Jul 15, 4:16 PM EDT, 2 hours 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
415 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 1997
TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0235 PM NORTH WARREN PA WIND DAMAGE
07/15/97 WARREN NUMEROUS TREES AND WIRES
DOWN NEAR RTE 62
0300 PM YOUNGSVILLE PA 1 INCH HAIL
07/15/97 WARREN
0300 PM NORTH WARREN PA WIND DAMAGE
07/15/97 WARREN TREE DAMAGE
0345 PM BRADFORD PA WIND DAMAGE
07/15/97 MCKEAN TREE DOWN ON CAR, STRONG
WINDSThe office that day
Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | McKean, Warren | 60 min |
| Jul 15, 3:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Elk, Warren | 60 min |
| Jul 15, 3:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | McKean | 62 min |
| Jul 15, 4:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Elk | 64 min |
| Jul 15, 5:13 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Elk | 62 min |
| Jul 15, 5:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Elk | 62 min |
| Jul 15, 5:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cameron | 65 min |
| Jul 15, 6:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Clearfield | 66 min |
| Jul 15, 7:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre | 63 min |
| Jul 15, 7:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Clinton | 63 min |
| Jul 15, 7:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Clearfield | 66 min |
| Jul 15, 7:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Huntingdon | 64 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 1997Every flash flood warning in 1997
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.